Skip to content

    Shilchar Tech.

    531201Good
    Capital Goods·28 Oct 2024
    Management Summary

    Shilchar Technologies reported strong performance for Q2 & H1 FY25, driven by buoyant demand in the transformer industry, particularly from the renewable energy sector. The company successfully expanded its total installed capacity to 7500 MVA and expects to fully utilize this new capacity by FY26, projecting a turnover of ₹750-800 crores. Management expressed confidence in maintaining healthy margins and growth, supported by a robust order book and strategic focus on exports.

    Highlights

    8
    • Total installed capacity increased to 7500 MVA in August 2024.

    • Commercialized incremental 3500 MVA capacity in August 2024.

    • Target turnover of 550 crores for FY24-25.

    • Projected turnover of 750-800 crores for FY26.

    • Export sales contributed almost 45% of H1 revenue.

    • Current order book stands at almost 450 crores, executable in 6-9 months.

    • Almost 60% of sales come from the renewable energy sector.

    • Per MVA realization is roughly 10 lakhs rupees.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items8 → 7 (-1)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • Total Installed Capacity
      7,500 MVA
    • Incremental Capacity
      3,500 MVA
    • Order Book
      ₹450 Cr
    • Renewable Sector Contribution
      60%
    • Per MVA Realization
      10 lakhs

    H1

    1
    • Export Revenue
      45%

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Turnover
    550 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Turnover
    750-800 crores
    High
    Capacity
    Incremental Capacity Utilization
    Fully utilized
    High
    Capacity
    Full Capacity Utilization
    Full capacity
    Medium
    Capacity
    Decision on further expansion
    Decision to be taken
    High
    Revenue Mix
    Domestic to Export Ratio
    Similar mix
    Medium
    Profitability
    Margins (25%+)
    Maintain current margins
    High

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Price pressure on margins due to industry capacity expansion

    Management expects some price pressure when new capacities from competitors come online from late FY25/early FY26, but believes strong demand will prevent a substantial reduction in EBITDA or net profit.Both acknowledged

    medium

    Teething troubles with new production capacity

    Management mentioned potential 'teething troubles' with the new 3500 MVA capacity but expects to gear up production fast and utilize full capacity in Q3 and Q4.Management acknowledged

    low

    CRGO import restrictions (BIS approval)

    BIS approval for CRGO imports caused temporary shortage and slight price increase for the industry, but Shilchar is not impacted due to advance licenses for exports.Both acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “So we are, you know, expecting a demand for coming, you know, next four to five years for sure and once we utilize the full capacity in year 25-26, we will have to increase the production capacity to, you know, meet this demand and for that, you know, we may take a call in coming December or January, whether to go for an expansion, further expansion and at what capacity.”

    Reveals management's long-term demand outlook and proactive approach to capacity planning beyond current expansion.

    asked by Yash Gandhi

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Demand Outlook and Capacity Expansion

    Shilchar Technologies reported a buoyant demand scenario for transformers, driven by India's rising power consumption and significant capacity additions in renewable and conventional energy. The company successfully commercialized an incremental 3500 MVA capacity in August 2024, bringing its total installed capacity to 7500 MVA. This expansion is already yielding results, with a notable increase in production observed in September, contributing to both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth in Q2.

    02

    Ambitious Revenue Targets and Growth Trajectory

    Management is highly optimistic about future growth, targeting a turnover of 550 crores for FY24-25. Following the full utilization of its incremental capacity by FY26, the company projects a substantial turnover of 750-800 crores. This growth is expected to be sustained by strong domestic and export inquiries, with a commitment to maintaining a similar domestic to export revenue mix for the upcoming financial year.

    03

    Robust Order Book and Operational Efficiency

    The company currently holds a strong order book of almost 450 crores, which is expected to be executed within the next six to nine months. Management highlighted operational efficiency, low overheads, and absence of finance costs as key factors contributing to its consistently higher EBITDA margins compared to competitors. Export sales, which constituted almost 45% of H1 revenue, also contribute significantly to profitability.

    04

    Strategic Focus on Renewable Energy Sector

    Shilchar Technologies primarily caters to the renewable energy sector, with almost 60% of its sales coming from inverter duty transformers (IDTs) for solar and wind projects. Management noted that India targets 25-30 gigawatts of solar installations annually, creating a sustained demand for transformers, with a one-to-one correlation between installed gigawatts and required transformer capacity. The company's transformers for solar applications are typically around 17-18 MVA, 33 kV or 66 kV class.

    05

    Future Capacity Planning and Market Dynamics

    With demand expected to remain robust for the next four to five years, Shilchar plans to make a decision on further capacity expansion in December or January. The company estimates it can install almost 25,000 to 30,000 MVA using its existing land parcel. While acknowledging potential price pressure from new industry capacities coming online in late FY25/early FY26, management believes strong demand will mitigate any substantial margin reduction, maintaining current margins for the next couple of years.

    06

    CRGO Supply and Export Market Penetration

    Despite industry-wide issues with CRGO imports due to BIS approval, Shilchar Technologies is not impacted, leveraging advance licenses for exports to ensure material availability, though prices have increased slightly. The company has also made a breakthrough in the European market, expanding its export focus beyond North America and the Middle East, where it has built customer trust over 10 years. Management noted that entering foreign markets requires significant effort and a strong track record.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.