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    Apar Inds.

    APARINDS
    Capital Goods·28 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Apar Industries reported robust top-line growth in Q3 FY25, primarily fueled by strong domestic demand across its Conductor and Cable segments. However, profitability saw a decline due to a shift in product mix towards less profitable domestic orders, increased competition, and short-term freight cost impacts. The company maintains a healthy order book and is optimistic about future margin recovery as export markets, particularly the US, improve and cost optimization initiatives take effect.

    Highlights

    7
    • Consolidated revenue for Q3 FY25 stood at INR 4,716 crores, marking a 17.7% year-on-year growth.

    • Domestic revenue grew strongly by 31.8% YoY, driven by T&D renewables and railway business.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY25 was INR 401 crores, a 7.1% decline YoY, with the EBITDA margin at 8.5%.

    • Profit after tax (PAT) for Q3 FY25 was INR 175 crores, down 19.7% YoY, resulting in a PAT margin of 3.7%.

    • The Conductor business reported a healthy order book of INR 7,600 crores, with new orders of INR 3,077 crores received in Q3, up 62.3% YoY.

    • The Cable business revenue grew by 37% YoY to INR 1,266 crores, supported by strong domestic demand.

    • Exports contributed 33.5% to overall revenue in Q3 FY25, a decrease from 40.7% in Q3 FY24, but grew 14.3% YoY.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items11 → 6 (-5)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹4,716 Cr
      YoY+17.7%
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹401 Cr
      YoY-7.1%
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      8.5%
    • Consolidated PAT
      ₹175 Cr
      YoY-19.7%
    • Consolidated PAT Margin
      3.7%

    9M

    3
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹13,371 Cr
      YoY+14.3%
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹1,198 Cr
      YoY+2%
    • Consolidated PAT
      ₹571 Cr
      YoY-3%

    Segment breakdown

    Revenue Growth Q3 FY25Volume Growth Q3 FY25Revenue Growth 9M FY25Volume Growth 9M FY25
    Conductor Business23.4%19%17.2%8.5%
    Oil Business-0.6%4.8%7.2%
    Cable Business37%27.5%
    Heatmap· 4 shared metrics

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 7,600 crores

    as of 2024-12-31

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 3,077 crores

    Execution

    20% of orders executed after FY27 (1 year later)

    Composition

    Mix2 products
    • Conductor₹ 7,600 crores83.1%
    • Cable₹ 1,550 crores16.9%

    Share of order book by product (derived from disclosed amounts)

    Cancellations / Deferrals

    • other:Many conductor and infrastructure tenders went for retendering due to budget values being lower than quoted values, impacting HTLS projects.

    "The order book is healthy, with new orders showing strong growth, but execution has been impacted by retendering of government projects due to cost mismatches."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Interest-bearing acceptance is about INR 2,500 crores and the total LC is about INR 3,300 crores. Working capital is being optimized by using cash for purchases or reducing acceptance.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Margin
    Conductor EBITDA per metric ton
    INR 28,500
    High
    Margin
    Blended Margins
    11-12%
    High
    Growth
    Overall Company Growth
    25%
    High
    Growth
    Cable Division Top Line Growth
    25%
    High
    Growth
    Conductor Division Volume Growth
    10%
    High
    Growth
    Oil Division Volume Growth
    5-8%
    High

    FY26 Capex Budget Finalization

    next month or so
    CurrentINR 270 crores (9M FY25)
    TargetFinalized FY26 Capex plan

    Why it matters

    Capex plans indicate future growth and capacity expansion, crucial for a capital goods company.

    Capex is till 9 months, we've done about INR 270 crores. And the budget, of course is underway. So we are going to – we'll be finalizing it in the next month or so.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.capex.fy_planned

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Government capex execution delays

    Planned transmission line and substation additions are significantly behind target (50% and 65% respectively for 9M FY25) due to tenders being retendered as bids exceeded budgets.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Margin pressure from domestic market competition and mix shift

    Domestic business, while growing strongly, offers lower profitability compared to export markets, and increased competition in India is impacting margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Chinese competition in export markets

    Chinese producers have a cost advantage due to cheaper raw materials, leading Apar to divert capacity to the Indian market rather than compete at a loss.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Short-term freight cost volatility (Red Sea issues)

    Red Sea issues caused a temporary spike in freight rates, impacting margins on DDP shipments to the US, but this trend is now reversing.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So I think time will tell, but at least as of today, we have not seen any signs where the business should just suddenly turn on its head.”

    Analysts are concerned about potential policy shifts in the US impacting import demand, which is a key export market for Apar.

    asked by Amit from PL Capital

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Overview and Domestic Growth Drivers

    Apar Industries reported a consolidated revenue of INR 4,716 crores in Q3 FY25, marking a 17.7% year-on-year increase. This growth was primarily driven by a strong 31.8% YoY increase in domestic revenue, with continued focus on Transmission & Distribution (T&D) renewables and railway projects. Exports contributed 33.5% to the overall revenue, a decrease from 40.7% in the prior year, but still grew by 14.3% YoY. For the nine-month period, consolidated revenue reached INR 13,371 crores, up 14.3% YoY, with domestic revenue higher by 44.8%.

    02

    Profitability Challenges and Mix Shift

    Despite robust revenue growth, Q3 FY25 saw a decline in profitability. EBITDA was INR 401 crores, down 7.1% YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 8.5%. Profit after tax (PAT) fell by 19.7% YoY to INR 175 crores, resulting in a PAT margin of 3.7%. This margin compression is attributed to a shift in business mix from more profitable exports to the domestic market, which offers lower margins. Additionally, short-term impacts from increased freight costs due to Red Sea issues and competitive pricing in the domestic market contributed to the pressure.

    03

    Conductor Business Performance and Order Book

    The Conductor business revenue grew by 23.4% YoY in Q3 FY25, with volumes up 19%. Exports contributed 25% to the segment's revenue, down from 40% a year ago. The premium product mix contribution was 37.4%. The EBITDA per metric ton for conductors was INR 29,593, lower than INR 41,500 in Q3 FY24, primarily due to a lower premium product execution and a shift in geographic mix. The segment holds a healthy order book of INR 7,600 crores, with new orders of INR 3,077 crores received during the quarter, a 62.3% increase YoY.

    04

    Cable Business Growth and Strategic Initiatives

    The Cable business demonstrated strong performance, with revenue growing 37% YoY to INR 1,266 crores in Q3 FY25, driven by robust domestic demand. Domestic revenue increased by 30.4%, while the export mix stood at 34%. EBITDA for the cable segment was INR 122 crores, up 14.2% YoY, though the EBITDA margin was 2% lower than the previous year. The company is implementing a strong Industry 4.0 program, aiming to connect over 400 machines by March end to enhance productivity and optimize costs, especially in the competitive domestic market.

    05

    US Market Outlook and Utility Approvals

    The US market, a key focus for Apar, showed signs of recovery with billing increasing by 8.5% sequentially in Q3 FY25. Management noted that the excess stock in the US market is now behind them, and inquiry levels are increasing. The company is actively working on securing utility approvals in the US, which is a stringent and time-consuming process, to expand its customer base and capitalize on the approximately $20 billion per annum cable market, where 50% of demand is imported.

    06

    Government Capex and Tendering Delays

    There has been a slowdown in the execution of government-planned transmission lines and substation capacity additions. For the April-December period, only 50% of planned transmission lines and 65% of planned substation capacity were added. This is largely due to tenders being retendered because initial bids exceeded budget values, influenced by rupee depreciation and commodity price movements. Management expects this pace to pick up as these projects are essential for the growing power demand and renewable energy integration.

    07

    Capital Structure and Working Capital Management

    As of December end, the company reported short-term debt of INR 120 crores and long-term debt of INR 330 crores. Interest-bearing acceptance stood at INR 2,500 crores, with total LCs at INR 3,300 crores. Despite a reduction in acceptance levels due to working capital optimization, interest costs increased in Q3 FY25, primarily due to the reclassification of exchange rate fluctuations (INR 85/dollar) to finance costs and higher interest on discounted receivables. Capex for the nine-month period was INR 270 crores, with the FY26 budget currently being finalized.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.