Apcotex Industries Limited — Q4 FY25 earnings call

Call held 8 May 2025

Management summary

Apcotex Industries delivered a robust Q4 and FY25, marked by strong revenue and volume growth, and significant margin recovery in Q4. The company is strategically planning capacity expansions in both latex and rubber segments, while navigating external challenges such as crude oil price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties impacting global trade. Management expressed confidence in margin normalization and continued export growth.

Highlights

  • Operating income for Q4 FY25 grew 12.5% YoY to ₹349 crores, supported by highest-ever quarterly volume and export volume growth of 15% and 22% respectively.

  • EBITDA margin for Q4 FY25 improved significantly to 11%, up from 10% in Q4 FY24 and 7.63% in Q3 FY25, driven by higher volumes and improved capacity utilization.

  • Full-year FY25 revenue grew 24% YoY to ₹1,392 crores, with overall volume growth of 16% and export volume growth of 24%, supported by enhanced product mix and better price realization.

  • The company maintains a very strong market share in SB Latex and is bullish on its growth, especially in exports, with expectations to exceed 40% of total turnover in the next couple of years.

  • Investment of ₹3.27 crores in a hybrid power project for the Gujarat plant is expected to provide significant savings and move 60-70% of power consumption to renewable energy.

Concerns

  • Uncertainty surrounding US tariffs on Chinese gloves is creating market uncertainty, indirectly affecting some of Apcotex's customers who export to the US.

  • Sharp falls in crude oil prices are expected to challenge Q1 FY26 margins due to inventory push and forced finished goods price reductions.

  • The APCOBuild segment experienced a difficult year with single-digit growth due to a crowded Indian construction chemical market.

  • Overcapacity in the nitrile latex industry post-COVID has led to lower margins, with the company waiting for industry capacity utilization to normalize.

Key financials

2 periods

Q4

  • Operating Income
    ₹349 Cr
    YoY +12.5%
  • EBITDA
    ₹39 Cr
    YoY +23%
  • EBITDA Margin
    11%
    QoQ +44.2%
  • PAT
    ₹17 Cr
    YoY +10% QoQ +44.8%

FY25

  • Revenue from Operations
    ₹1,392 Cr
    YoY +24%
  • EBITDA
    ₹125 Cr
    YoY +9.5%
  • EBITDA Margin
    9%
  • PAT
    ₹54 Cr
  • Cash Profit
    ₹95.6 Cr
    YoY +12.1%

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 39.9%, net profit up 315.8% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue351 355 349 376 337 −4%331 −7%398 +14%526 +40%
EBITDA27 27 38 39 41 +52%44 +63%55 +45%117 +200%
Net profit11 12 17 19 25 +127%22 +83%35 +106%79 +316%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Capital allocation

high confidence
  • Debt Gross ₹185 Cr · Net ₹85 Cr · 0.7× EBITDA
    • Repayment One year of term loan installment repaid, remaining to be closed in next three years (total 4-year period).
    our total as on March 31st, '25, the total borrowings would be about Rs. 185 crores.
  • Liquidity Cash ₹100 Cr Cash kept for future opportunities, also covers term loan.
    we also have cash in the books of about Rs. 100 crores that we have kept for future sort of opportunities or immediate opportunities. So, I beg to differ, I think our balance sheet is one of the healthiest that you would see.

Guidance & targets

Margin

  • EBITDA Margin Normalization Margin · future quarters · High confidence 14-15%
    we expect the margins to normalize at about 14%, 15% now.

    — Abhiraj Choksey

Market Share

  • Export Contribution to Revenue Market Share · next couple of years · High confidence >40%
    we do expect it to go above 40% over the next couple of years.

    — Abhiraj Choksey

Profitability

  • Return on Capital Profitability · not specified · High confidence >=25%
    we target at least 25% return on capital.

    — Abhiraj Choksey

Revenue

  • Nitrile Latex Revenue Revenue · FY25 · High confidence ₹400-450 crores

    Previously ₹600 crores₹400-450 crores

    Yes, I think that Rs. 600 crores, from what I recall, was at 80,000 tons, at 50,000 tons we would be closer to sort of Rs. 400 crores, Rs. 450 crores.

    — Abhiraj Choksey

What to watch in Q1 FY26

Rubber Segment Capacity Expansion Decision

Next 3-4 months
Current Under consideration
Target Decision made on capacity addition

Why it matters

Indicates future growth and investment in a key segment, contingent on anti-dumping investigation conclusions.

We will be deciding in the next three to four months, I suspect.

Risks & concerns

  • US Tariffs & Market Uncertainty

    high

    US tariffs on Chinese gloves create uncertainty for Apcotex's customers who export to the US, potentially impacting future orders.

    Management acknowledged

  • Crude Oil Price Volatility

    medium

    Sharp falls in crude oil prices can lead to inventory losses and pressure on finished goods prices, posing a challenge for Q1 FY26 margins.

    Management acknowledged

  • Overcapacity in Nitrile Latex Industry

    medium

    Post-COVID capacity additions in the nitrile latex industry have led to lower margins, with recovery dependent on capacity utilization normalization.

    Management acknowledged

  • Geopolitical Environment

    medium

    The current geopolitical environment is not favorable and could impact business outlook, though direct effects are not yet seen.

    Management acknowledged

Q&A highlights

7 direct
Crude Oil Prices and Margin Impact Direct
See, historically we have seen, in the short term it's not so beneficial because when prices fall so sharply, we are left with some inventory push, finished goods and raw material. And that's going to be the challenge really this quarter in Q1, because as you have seen that compared to March end to now crude oil has really fallen around.

Clarifies that falling crude prices can negatively impact margins in the short term due to inventory effects, contrary to common assumptions.

Asked by Dikshant Gupta

Nitrile Latex Revenue Guidance Revision Direct
Yes, I think that Rs. 600 crores, from what I recall, was at 80,000 tons, at 50,000 tons we would be closer to sort of Rs. 400 crores, Rs. 450 crores. So what's the investment done so far, we have left a small investment for later, which you would only do if the margins improve.

Management revised down the expected revenue contribution from the nitrile latex business for FY25, linking it to lower volume assumptions and margin considerations for future investment.

Asked by Aditya Khetan

Margin Sustainability and External Factors Direct
So one is of course we are growing volumes, that will obviously, as you said, expand margins. There are a few other plans as well to kind of reduce cost, which are ongoing. But however, yes, the external factors, especially in the nitrile latex business which has pulled down the margin overall for the year and for the quarter as well, although there's been an improvement in Q4, there is the external factor.

Addresses the interplay between external market factors and internal strategies for margin improvement, highlighting the impact of industry overcapacity in nitrile latex.

Asked by Sani Vishe

US Tariffs and Market Uncertainty Direct
Obviously the duties, except for China, the duties worldwide is now 10% into the US. But given the uncertainty, that could change again in July, right, after 90 days. So, I think there is a lot of uncertainty, so there is, in Q1 at least, in Q2 perhaps this US situation may create a lot of uncertainty in the world and for some of our customers.

Highlights the significant impact of changing US tariffs on Chinese products, creating uncertainty for Apcotex's customers and potentially affecting future business.

Asked by Rudraksh Raheja

Future Capacity Expansion Plans Partial
Yes, we will run out of. So we expect that, again, as I said, we will wait and watch. Of course, we are making multiple plans for further expansion of our current product range, which is NBR, butadiene latexes, styrene acrylic latexes, and nitrile latex we will not be expanding immediately, we will probably wait a year or two depending on how the margins play out.

Provides insight into the company's strategic approach to capacity expansion, indicating a cautious, margin-dependent decision-making process for certain segments.

Asked by Rudraksh Raheja

Borrowings vs. Profitability Direct
Some of it is term loan. So, again, we have debtors as well. Sorry, some of it is working capital loan. So the working capital loan is probably more than half of this. And the term loan is probably a little less than half now. So, in fact, on the contrary, I think our balance sheet is extremely healthy and we also have cash in the books of about Rs. 100 crores that we have kept for future sort of opportunities or immediate opportunities.

Clarifies the composition of the company's borrowings, distinguishing between term loans and working capital, and emphasizes the healthy balance sheet supported by cash reserves.

Asked by TK Pandya

Confidence in Normalized Margins Direct
It's not fair to compare 10, 12 years because the company was very different 10, 12 years ago, we were probably a Rs. 400 crores company, now we are Rs. 1,400 crores company. So one is, we are achieving scale slowly but surely, right. We are going closer and closer to global scale. ... So therefore when that normalizes, we expect margins of those products to go back to normal. Nitrile latex, because it's used in medical gloves mostly, even more capacity than normal was added.

Explains the rationale behind the expectation for 14-15% normalized margins, citing increased scale and the anticipated normalization of industry capacity utilization post-COVID.

Asked by Rohit

APCOBuild Segment Performance Direct
Difficulty year in the sense that we have been used to 18%, 20% or maybe more growth earlier. This year the growth is in single digits. I just mean from that point of view it was not such a great year. Because the previous sort of many years, six, seven, eight years we have had good growth. We have just seen the Indian sort of construction chemical space is crowded, the growth hasn't been there.

Provides specific context for the underperformance of the APCOBuild segment, attributing it to a crowded market and slower growth compared to historical trends.

Asked by Ankit Kanodia

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strong Q4 and FY25 Financial Performance

Apcotex Industries delivered a robust Q4 FY25, with operating income growing 12.5% YoY to ₹349 crores, driven by a 15% increase in overall volume and a 22% rise in export volume. EBITDA for the quarter stood at ₹39 crores, a 23% growth, leading to an improved EBITDA margin of 11%, significantly higher than Q3 FY25's 7.63%. For the full fiscal year 2025, revenue from operations increased 24% YoY to ₹1,392 crores, with overall volume growth of 16% and export volumes up 24%. FY25 EBITDA was ₹125 crores (9.5% growth), and cash profit rose by ₹10.3 crores to ₹95.6 crores.

Margin Recovery and Future Outlook

The company experienced a positive trend in profitability during Q4 FY25, with EBITDA margin reaching 11%. Management expects margins to normalize to 14-15% in the future, attributing this to increasing scale and the normalization of industry capacity utilization post-COVID. While short-term crude oil price volatility can impact margins due to inventory effects, the long-term outlook for margins is positive as industry dynamics improve.

Segmental Performance and Strategic Focus

For FY25, the business mix was approximately two-thirds latex and one-third rubber. The nitrile latex segment contributed about 14-15% to total revenue, with an expected revenue range of ₹400-450 crores for FY25. The NBR segment operated at nearly 100% capacity utilization. While the paper and carpet segments faced challenges, the construction segment remained steady. The company is bullish on SB Latex, where it holds a strong market share and sees good growth in exports.

Capacity Expansion Plans and Return on Capital

Apcotex is planning capacity expansions in both the rubber and latex segments. For NBR, a decision is pending the final conclusions of an anti-dumping investigation. The company aims for a return on capital of at least 25% for any new investments. While current capacity is sufficient for the near term, management anticipates needing more capacity within the next year and a half, especially in the latex business.

Debt Management and Liquidity

As of March 31, 2025, total borrowings stood at ₹185 crores, comprising both term loans (approximately ₹125 crores for past projects) and working capital loans (approximately ₹80 crores). The company has already repaid one year of its term loan and expects to close the remaining in the next three years. With ₹100 crores in cash, management considers the balance sheet healthy and well-managed, with net debt to EBITDA at 0.68.

Impact of External Factors and Geopolitical Risks

The company is navigating challenges from external factors, including the sharp fall in crude oil prices, which is expected to impact Q1 FY26 margins due to inventory adjustments. Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly US tariffs on Chinese gloves, are creating market uncertainty for Apcotex's customers who export to the US. While no direct impact has been felt yet, the situation is being closely monitored for potential indirect effects on business.

Green Energy Initiative

Apcotex has invested ₹3.27 crores in a hybrid power project for its Gujarat plant, which includes wind power generation. This initiative is part of a Gujarat Government scheme to promote renewable energy, aiming to transition 60-70% of the plant's power consumption to renewable sources. The project is expected to yield significant savings and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, aligning with ESG objectives.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.