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    Apollo Pipes Limited

    APOLLOPIPE
    Capital Goods·30 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    Apollo Pipes faced a challenging first 9 months of FY26 with flat sales volumes due to market headwinds and price volatility, leading to negative volume growth and margin compression in Q3. However, management is confident of a strong Q4, citing recent 25% Y-o-Y sales growth, strategic market share expansion, and upcoming capacity additions like the Varanasi plant. The company continues its CAPEX plans without debt and expects inventory levels to normalize.

    Highlights

    5
    • Expected strong Q4 sales performance with 25% Y-o-Y growth in sales volume for the last 6 weeks (Dec-Jan).

    • Housing segment grew above 10% Y-o-Y in 9 months FY26, with fittings and CPVC also showing 10% Y-o-Y growth.

    • New products like PLB ducts, DWC pipes, PE gas pipes, PVC-O pipes, and UPVC doors/windows are being added.

    • Varanasi plant is on track to commence next month (March 2026), strengthening Eastern India presence.

    • Committed CAPEX of Rs. 150 crores for FY26 and Rs. 100 crores for FY27 without adding any debt.

    Concerns

    4
    • First 9 months of FY26 were challenging with flat sales volume due to weak end-user demand, raw material price volatility, oversupply, and price wars.

    • Q3 FY26 saw negative volume growth and EBITDA margins dropped to Rs. 6,500 per ton from Rs. 9,000-10,000 per ton.

    • High inventory levels as of December 2025, though expected to normalize to 60 days in Q4.

    • PVC resin prices remain highly unpredictable, with a significant fall in Q3 and subsequent recovery in January.

    What Changed3

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items14 → 9 (-5)Risks discussed5 → 4 (-1)Q&A highlights6 → 8 (+2)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Q3 FY26

    3
    • EBITDA per ton
      ₹6,500
    • Inventory Loss
      50 Mn
    • Other Income
      56 lakhs

    9M FY26

    5
    • Sales Volume
      YoY0%
    • Housing Segment Volume Growth
      YoY+10%
    • Fitting Business Volume Growth
      YoY+10%
    • Water Tank Business Volume Growth
    • CPVC Volume Growth
      YoY+10%

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹150 crores

    entirely through internal accruals without debt

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    M&A

    Kisan Mouldings

    acquisition · integrated

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Warrants of Rs. 110 crores (25% received in April 2025, 75% by Oct 2026) from Kitara Capital to fund expansion.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Q4 FY26 Sales Volume
    32,000-35,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    FY26 Sales Volume
    106,000-107,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    FY26 Overall Volume Growth
    high single-digit
    Medium
    Volume
    FY27 Sales Volume Growth
    high-digit double growth
    High
    Product Mix
    Housing Portfolio Share
    70%-75%
    High
    Capacity Utilization
    Kisan Mouldings Capacity Utilization
    70% (35,000-38,000 tons)
    High
    Profitability
    Kisan Mouldings EBITDA per ton
    Rs. 4,000-5,000
    High
    Profitability
    Apollo Pipes EBITDA per ton
    Rs. 9,000-10,000
    High
    Inventory
    Inventory Days
    60 days
    High

    Q4 FY26 Sales Volume

    next quarter
    CurrentNegative volume growth in Q3 FY26
    Target32,000-35,000 tons

    Why it matters

    Verifies the effectiveness of aggressive market share strategies and the anticipated strong Q4 performance.

    So, for Q4, we are targeting volume of 32,000-35,000 tons.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Sales Volume (Q4 FY26)']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Weak end-user demand, oversupply, and price war in PVC pipe industry

    The first 9 months of FY26 were challenging due to these factors, leading to flat sales volume and margin pressure.Management acknowledged

    high

    High volatility and unpredictability of PVC resin prices

    Sharp fluctuations in prices (e.g., Rs. 11/kg fall in Q3, Rs. 7-8/kg recovery in Jan) make forecasting difficult and impact channel partner behavior and inventory levels.Management acknowledged

    high

    High inventory levels as of December 2025

    Inventory levels were at 80 days in December 2025 due to lower-than-expected sales, though expected to reduce to 60 days in Q4.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Potential dumping from China due to VAT rebate removal

    Removal of VAT rebate on exports by China from April 1st could lead to increased material flow from China, potentially impacting domestic PVC resin prices.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “The first 9 months of FY '26 have been the most challenging period for the Indian PVC pipe industry. The multiple issues pertain to headwinds such as weak end-user demand, heightened volatility in raw material prices, oversupply in the market, and price war among PVC players.”

    Highlights the challenging market conditions and competitive pressures faced by the industry, impacting Apollo Pipes' performance.

    asked by Nikhil

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Challenging Market Conditions and Strategic Adjustments

    The first nine months of FY26 proved to be the most challenging period for the Indian PVC pipe industry, characterized by weak end-user demand, heightened raw material price volatility, market oversupply, and intense price wars. This environment led to flat sales volumes for Apollo Pipes, contrary to expectations of double-digit growth. In response, the company adopted a more aggressive strategy for market share expansion, which has begun to show positive results from December onwards, with a 25% Y-o-Y sales volume growth observed in the last six weeks.

    02

    Segmental Performance and Product Diversification

    Despite the overall market challenges🌐, Apollo Pipes' housing segment, accounting for 60% of its total business, demonstrated robust performance, growing over 10% Y-o-Y in the first nine months of FY26. The fittings business and CPVC volumes also grew by 10% Y-o-Y, while the water tank business achieved high double-digit growth. The company is actively diversifying its product portfolio by adding new offerings such as PLB ducts, DWC pipes, PE gas pipes, PVC-O pipes, and UPVC doors and windows, aiming to strengthen its presence in the building materials space.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Geographical Growth

    Apollo Pipes incurred a CAPEX of Rs. 125 crores in the first nine months of FY26, with a total FY26 CAPEX projected to reach Rs. 150 crores. The company plans to expand its total installed capacity to 2,86,000 tons over the next two years without incurring any additional debt. The West India facility is now fully integrated and operational, and the new Varanasi plant is expected to commence operations next month (March 2026), which will significantly enhance the company's market reach in Eastern India.

    04

    PVC Resin Price Volatility and Inventory Management

    The PVC resin market experienced extreme volatility, with prices falling by approximately Rs. 11/kg from October to December 2025 (from Rs. 72 to Rs. 61) before recovering by Rs. 7-8/kg in January. This unpredictability led to cautious behavior and continuous restocking by channel partners, contributing to high inventory levels (80 days) as of December 2025. However, management anticipates that strong sales momentum in Q4 will help reduce inventory days to 60 by Jan-Feb 2026.

    05

    Kisan Mouldings Integration and Future Outlook

    The integration of Kisan Mouldings, acquired in FY25, has been completed, with all key functions now streamlined. Although the business faced initial struggles, its foundation is now set, and management expects traction from Q4 onwards. Kisan Mouldings currently operates at 40% utilization (21,000-22,000 tons/year), with a target to reach 70% utilization (35,000-38,000 tons/year) in the next two years. A CAPEX of Rs. 30-40 crores is planned for modernization to boost capacity by 15-20%, with an expected EBITDA of Rs. 4,000-5,000 per ton in FY27/FY28.

    06

    Funding and Shareholding Structure

    Apollo Pipes secured Rs. 110 crores through warrants in April 2025, with 25% already received and the remaining 75% expected by October 2026. These warrants are held by Kitara Capital, a Middle Eastern fund, and are intended to support the company's capacity expansion plans without increasing its debt burden. Management clarified that there are no outstanding warrants from the promoter entity, as all promoter warrants were fully exercised in 2025.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.