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    Apollo Tyres

    APOLLOTYRE
    Automobile and Auto Components·7 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Apollo Tyres delivered a resilient Q3 FY25 performance with consolidated revenue growth and stable margins, driven by strong performance in Europe and replacement segments in India. Despite raw material cost pressures and challenging market conditions, the company managed to reduce net debt and improve product mix. Management anticipates recovery in demand momentum and operating performance going forward, supported by internal initiatives and reduced RM inflation.

    Highlights

    8
    • Consolidated top line grew 8% QoQ and 5% YoY, reaching INR 69.3 billion.

    • Consolidated EBITDA margin stood at 13.7% (INR 9.5 billion), broadly stable QoQ despite raw material cost pressures.

    • Net debt reduced by INR 4.5 billion QoQ, with consolidated Net Debt to EBITDA at 0.7x.

    • India operations reported revenue of INR 45.4 billion (5% YoY growth) and EBITDA margin of 11.1% (INR 5 billion).

    • Europe operations achieved revenue of EUR 181 million (3% YoY, 6% QoQ) and an EBITDA margin of 17.7% (EUR 32 million).

    • UUHP segment accounted for 48% of PCLT replacement volumes in Europe, up from 43%.

    • FY25 Capex is now expected to be around INR 700-800 crores, lower than initial plans.

    • FY26 Capex is projected to increase to approximately INR 1,500-1,550 crores, including growth capex.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Risks discussed6 → 4 (-2)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    09 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Revenue₹6,930 Cr+5%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated EBITDA₹950 Cr
    3. 03Consolidated EBITDA Margin13.7%
    4. 04India Revenue₹4,540 Cr+5%YoY
    5. 05India EBITDA₹500 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    RevenueEBITDAEBITDA Margin
    India Operations₹4,540 Cr₹500 Cr11.1%
    Europe Operations₹181 Cr₹32 Cr17.7%
    Heatmap· 3 shared metrics

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹700 crores

    cut

    Debt

    Gross ₹3,500 crores · 0.7x EBITDA

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capex
    FY25 Total Capex
    INR 700-800 crores
    Medium
    Capex
    FY26 Total Capex
    INR 1500-1550 crores
    Medium
    Capacity
    FY26 PCR Capacity Addition (India)
    7-8%
    Medium
    Capacity
    FY26 PCR Capacity Addition (Europe)
    Slightly more than 7-8%
    Medium
    Raw Material Costs
    RM Cost Trend
    Flattish
    High
    Demand Outlook
    India Replacement Demand Momentum
    Healthy and strong pickup
    High
    Demand Outlook
    Europe Demand Recovery
    Continue to recover
    High
    Demand Outlook
    CV Segment Recovery
    Coming back
    High
    Demand Outlook
    OEM Segment Recovery
    Showing signs of recovery
    High

    Interest Cost Trend

    Coming quarters
    CurrentIndia interest cost up due to working capital borrowings, Europe down
    TargetReduction in interest cost reflecting debt deleveraging

    Why it matters

    To assess if deleveraging translates into lower finance costs, improving net profitability.

    Amyn Pirani: Okay. Okay. So, this reduction in debt should start reflecting in the interest cost number in the coming quarters. Gaurav Kumar: Yes.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Interest Expense']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Elevated raw material costs

    Despite cost control, raw material costs remained elevated, impacting margins, though a plateauing is expected.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Challenging demand environment

    Overall demand momentum faced challenges, particularly in the OEM segment in India, though green shoots are visible.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Competitive intensity impacting pricing

    The competitive market situation prevents immediate price hikes, despite management not being satisfied with current margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Rupee devaluation impact on raw material basket

    Rupee devaluation does not favor the raw material basket, potentially offsetting some benefits from softening crude derivatives.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “So, Amyn, you're right. The India interest cost has gone up mainly on account of working capital borrowings, which is largely a combination of the profitability challenges and a slightly weaker market, and the Europe interest cost has come down. Moving up on the working capital borrowings, etc., is fairly a temporary measure.”

    Analyst questioned why interest costs remained stable or increased in India despite debt reduction, highlighting a potential drag on profitability from working capital.

    asked by Amyn Pirani

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Consolidated Performance Overview

    Apollo Tyres reported a consolidated top line growth of 8% quarter-on-quarter and 5% year-on-year, reaching INR 69.3 billion. Despite elevated raw material costs, consolidated EBITDA margins were maintained at 13.7%, amounting to INR 9.5 billion. The company also achieved a significant net debt reduction of INR 4.5 billion during the quarter, bringing the consolidated net debt to EBITDA ratio to 0.7x, which is flat compared to the beginning of the fiscal year.

    02

    India Operations: Replacement Drives Growth

    In India, revenue grew by 5% year-on-year to INR 45.4 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 11.1% (INR 5 billion). The overall volume growth was marginal, as a 5% increase in the replacement segment (TBR and PCR) was largely offset by a 10% decline in the OEM segment. Export volumes remained flattish. Management expects replacement demand momentum to continue to be healthy in Q4 FY25 and beyond, with green shoots visible across segments.

    03

    Europe Operations: Strong Topline and Product Mix Improvement

    Europe operations demonstrated robust performance, with revenue growing 3% year-on-year and 6% sequentially to EUR 181 million. The EBITDA margin improved significantly to 17.7% (EUR 32 million), up from under 15% in the previous quarter. This growth was supported by a 7% increase in replacement segment revenues and a substantial improvement in product mix, with the Ultra Ultra High Performance (UUHP) segment now contributing 48% of PCLT replacement volumes, up from 43% previously.

    04

    Raw Material Outlook and Pricing Strategy

    Raw material costs for Q3 FY25 were approximately INR 175 per kg, up 15% YoY and 2% QoQ. Natural rubber was around INR 215/kg, synthetic rubber at INR 195/kg, and carbon black at INR 120/kg. For Q4 FY25, RM costs are expected to be range-bound, similar to Q3, indicating a plateauing. Given the current market situation and competitive intensity, the company has no immediate plans for price hikes, despite management acknowledging that current margins are not ideal.

    05

    Capital Expenditure and Capacity Expansion

    The consolidated Capex for the first nine months of FY25 stood at INR 500 crores, with India's share being INR 350 crores. The full-year FY25 Capex is now expected to be lower than initially planned, estimated at INR 700-800 crores. For FY26, Capex is projected to increase, comprising a normal maintenance Capex of INR 700-750 crores plus an additional INR 800 crores for growth. This growth Capex will add approximately 7-8% to India's PCR capacity and slightly more in Europe, leading to an overall capacity addition of about 10%.

    06

    Strategic Focus and New Market Penetration

    Apollo Tyres continues to focus on premiumization, with the UUHP segment growing faster in Europe. The company is actively pursuing new growth markets, with the US identified as a key focus for PCR Vredestein and Apollo TBR, and the Middle East (specifically Saudi Arabia) for future expansion. R&D efforts are securing model wins from German PV manufacturers, and sustainability initiatives, such as the zero-liquid discharge certification at the AP plant, remain a core pillar.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.