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    AYE

    AYE
    Financial Services·13 Mar 2026
    Management Summary

    Aye Finance reported robust Q3 FY26 performance with strong AUM and disbursement growth, driven by its micro-scale business model. While profitability was impacted by elevated credit costs and investments in the new mortgage team, the company is on track to achieve its FY26 AUM growth guidance and expects credit costs to normalize, aiming for a 4-4.5% ROA in the next three years. The company emphasized its diversified portfolio, technology-driven underwriting, and strong collection capabilities.

    Highlights

    5
    • AUM grew by 23.5% year-on-year and 5.5% quarter-on-quarter, reaching INR 6,428.57 crores as of December 2025.

    • Disbursements in Q3 FY26 stood at INR 1,310 crores, marking a 35% year-on-year growth and adding 41,015 new borrowers.

    • PAT for Q3 FY26 was INR 43 crores, an 87% year-on-year increase and 23.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, despite a one-time impact of INR 1.7 crores.

    • Collection efficiency for the non-OD bucket improved to 99.3% in December and further to 99.4% in February 2026, with bucket one efficiency rising from 42.8% in April to 60% in February 2026.

    • Net worth was augmented by INR 710 crores through the IPO, bringing the total to INR 2,483 crores post-IPO.

    Concerns

    3
    • Credit cost remained elevated at 4.67% of AUM in Q3 FY26, higher than the desired 3.5-3.75% range.

    • Operating expenses are currently impacted by the investment in the mortgage loans team, which has added over 1,400 people in the last 1.5 years.

    • Hypothecation loan approval rates have decreased from 55% to 40-45%, potentially limiting growth in this segment.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items13 → 8 (-5)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    08 metrics
    1. 01AUM₹6,428.57 Cr+23.5%YoY
    2. 02Disbursements₹1,310 Cr+35%YoY
    3. 03Net Worth (Post-IPO)₹2,483 Cr
    4. 04Total Income₹449 Cr+21.3%YoY
    5. 05NIM14.2%

    Segment breakdown

    Share of AUMPAR 30PAR 90
    Mortgage Loans21%3.5%2.7%
    Hypothecation Loans77.5%7.5%5.7%
    Heatmap· 3 shared metrics

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    AUM Growth
    AUM Growth
    29-30%
    High
    AUM Growth
    AUM CAGR
    30%
    High
    AUM Mix
    Mortgage Share of AUM
    30%
    High
    Credit Cost
    Annualized Credit Cost
    <4%
    High
    Credit Cost
    Credit Cost Range
    3.25-3.75%
    High
    Operating Expense
    Opex Ratio
    7-7.5%
    High
    Profitability
    ROA
    4-4.5%
    High
    Hypothecation Growth
    Approval Rate
    55%
    Medium

    Credit Cost Normalization

    next quarter (Q4 FY26) and next 3 years
    Current4.67% (Q3 FY26 annualized)
    Target<4% (Q4 FY26), 3.25-3.75% (next 3 years)

    Why it matters

    Directly impacts profitability and ROA, a key component of the 3-year vision.

    So we believe that quarter 4 we should be at a quarterly annualized credit cost of less than 4% which is a good place to start the next financial year and come down to a level. Our comfort range with respect to credit cost typically is in the 3.5% range with about gross plus 0.25% to minus 0.25%.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Credit Cost (Annualized)']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Elevated Credit Costs

    Credit cost of 4.67% of AUM in Q3 FY26 is higher than the desired 3.5-3.75% range, impacting profitability.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Operating Expense Impact from Mortgage Team Investment

    Addition of over 1,400 people to the mortgage team in the last 1.5 years is currently increasing the operating expense ratio.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Lower Hypothecation Loan Approval Rates

    Approval rates for hypothecation loans have dropped from 55% to 40-45% due to tightened credit policies, affecting growth.Management acknowledged

    low

    Bihar Regulatory Environment and Portfolio Stress

    Analyst raised concerns about the MFI bill and lower bucket 1 collection efficiency in Bihar (40%), but management stated minimal impact on their non-MFI NBFC model and strong non-OD collections (99.2-99.4%).Analyst downplayed

    low

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “So we believe that the mortgage share of the overall portfolio should increase to about 30% which is the ideal mix... quarter 4 we should be at a quarterly annualized credit cost of less than 4%... Our comfort range with respect to credit cost typically is in the 3.5% range.”

    Analyst sought clarity on strategic portfolio mix and the path to credit cost normalization, which management addressed with specific targets.

    asked by Shalin Kapadia

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Robust Growth and AUM Diversification

    Aye Finance demonstrated strong growth in Q3 FY26, with AUM expanding by 23.5% year-on-year and 5.5% quarter-on-quarter, reaching INR 6,428.57 crores as of December 2025. Disbursements for the quarter were INR 1,310 crores, a 35% year-on-year increase, adding 41,015 new borrowers. The company aims to achieve 29-30% AUM growth for the full FY26 and targets a 30% CAGR over the next three years. The portfolio is well-diversified across 18 states and 3 union territories, with a granular book of 5.23 lakh loans as of December 2025.

    02

    Improving Asset Quality and Credit Cost Trajectory

    Asset quality showed significant improvement, with non-OD collection efficiency at 99.3% in December and further improving to 99.4% in February 2026. Bucket one collection efficiency also rose from 42.8% in April to 58% in December and 60% in February 2026. Despite these improvements, the annualized credit cost in Q3 FY26 was 4.67% of AUM, which is higher than the desired 3.5-3.75% range. Management expects credit costs to fall below 4% in Q4 FY26 and normalize to the 3.25-3.75% range over the next three years.

    03

    Profitability Drivers and Outlook

    PAT for Q3 FY26 was INR 43 crores, an 87% year-on-year and 23.4% quarter-on-quarter growth, even after absorbing a one-time📎 impact of INR 1.7 crores. Total income for the quarter was INR 449 crores, growing 21.3% YoY and 5% QoQ. NIM remained stable at 14.21%. Profitability has been impacted by elevated credit costs and increased operating expenses due to investment in the mortgage team. However, with credit costs expected to decline and operating leverage from the mortgage team, the company targets an ROA of 4-4.5% and an opex ratio of 7-7.5% over the next three years.

    04

    Operational Efficiency and Technology Adoption

    Aye Finance leverages technology for efficiency, with 100% paperless loan origination and 32% of underwriting done using AI/ML models. 96.8% of customers are registered on ACH, and 84.1% of collections occur through digital modes. The company uses a cluster-based underwriting method for the remaining 68% of underwriting. The branch network, comprising 527 branches (44 new in FY26), contributes to growth, with repeat loans being a highly efficient channel, generating INR 1.8 crores in disbursements per telecaller per month.

    05

    Strategic Focus on Mortgage Lending

    The mortgage loan portfolio, which constitutes 21% of AUM (INR 1,350 crores as of December 2025), is a key growth driver. The company aims to increase the mortgage share of its overall portfolio to an ideal mix of 30% over the next three years. This shift is intended to increase loan tenure and reduce runoff rates. While competition exists in the micro-LAP segment, Aye Finance's focus on business loans and a robust 45-day end-use verification process differentiates its offering.

    06

    Bihar Portfolio Resilience and Regulatory Impact

    Despite concerns regarding the MFI bill and lower bucket one collection efficiency in Bihar (40%), management stated that the state's AUM concentration is 15.5% and non-OD collections remain strong at 99.2-99.4%. The company believes its business model, focused on non-MFI NBFCs lending to traders and manufacturers, makes it less susceptible to such regulatory impacts, similar to experiences in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.