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    Borosil Renew.

    BORORENEW
    Capital Goods·21 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Borosil Renewables reported a challenging Q3 FY25 with sales value growing only 3.6% to INR 275.28 crores and a post-tax loss of INR 8.64 crores, primarily due to severe price pressure from Chinese dumping. However, the provisional notification of antidumping duties in December 2024 and subsequent final recommendations offer significant relief, with improved pricing and profitability expected from January 2025. The company is also progressing with a 500 TPD capacity expansion and aims to reduce losses from its German operations.

    Highlights

    5
    • Standalone sales volume grew by 14% over the previous quarter.

    • Antidumping duty (ADD) on solar glass from China and Vietnam provisionally notified on Dec 4, 2024, with final findings recommending definitive duty for 5 years.

    • Improved prices expected from January 2025, moving towards INR 140 per millimeter per square meter (INR 56,000 per ton).

    • Expected EBITDA margin of ~30% at INR 56,000 per ton selling price, which management believes is sustainable.

    • New 500 TPD capacity expansion is underway, with commissioning targeted by September 2026.

    Concerns

    5
    • Total standalone sales value grew only 3.6% QoQ to INR 275.28 crores due to severe price pressure.

    • Average ex-factory prices fell to INR 105 per millimeter per square meter (INR 42,000 per ton) from INR 115 (INR 46,000 per ton) in the preceding quarter.

    • Standalone EBITDA reduced significantly to INR 20.89 crores from INR 52.88 crores QoQ.

    • Post-tax loss of INR 8.64 crores in Q3 FY25, compared to a profit of INR 12.62 crores in the previous quarter.

    • German operations incurred a negative EBITDA of INR 14.38 crores, leading to a temporary pause of hot-end operations from Dec 31, 2024.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    07 metrics
    1. 01Standalone Sales Value₹275.28 Cr+3.6%QoQ
    2. 02Standalone EBITDA₹20.89 Cr-60.5%QoQ
    3. 03Standalone Post-tax Loss₹-8.64 Cr
    4. 04Consolidated Net Revenue₹361.49 Cr-3.1%QoQ
    5. 05Consolidated EBITDA₹5 Cr-85.5%QoQ

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    partially from preferential issue proceeds, balance from accruals and bank loans

    Debt

    2.5x EBITDA

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Pricing
    Average Selling Price
    INR 140 per millimeter per square meter (INR 56,000 per ton)
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA Margin
    near 30%
    High
    Profitability
    German Operations EBITDA Loss Reduction
    INR 4 crores per month
    High
    Revenue
    Indian Operations Revenue Increase
    INR 60 crores per quarter
    High
    Cost Reduction
    Captive Power Savings
    INR 17 crores per annum
    High
    Capacity
    New 500 TPD Facility Commissioning
    operational
    High
    Debt
    Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio
    not to exceed 2.5x
    High

    Final Antidumping Duty approval

    By beginning of May 2025
    CurrentDGTR final findings published, forwarded to Finance Ministry
    TargetFinal notification by Finance Ministry

    Why it matters

    Crucial for sustained profitability improvement in Indian operations.

    generally the time which finance ministry takes in extreme cases is 3 months from the date of submission of final recommendation by the DGTR. So from that perspective, we should expect this decision to be in the beginning of May, at the most at the latest.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[category='Regulatory', metric='Antidumping Duty Approval']

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Continued Chinese dumping via indirect routes (e.g., Malaysia)

    Chinese manufacturers might try to bypass AD duty through other countries, but management believes this won't be a significant problem due to market dynamics.Analyst downplayed

    medium

    Delay in final approval of Antidumping Duty by Finance Ministry

    While DGTR has recommended, final approval from the Finance Ministry is pending, which could take up to 3 months, expected by May 2025.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    German operations losses due to political uncertainty and lack of demand

    German plant facing significant losses due to lack of demand from module manufacturers and political crisis delaying policy decisions, leading to temporary pause of hot-end operations.Management acknowledged

    high

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “the right issue has already been withdrawn, so there is nothing in the right issue now. Whatever right issue, INR450 crores was there, it is gone now. It's withdrawn already.”

    Clarifies the company's funding strategy for the 500 TPD capex, explaining the shift from a rights issue to a preferential issue and the reason for the rights issue withdrawal.

    asked by Sunny from IFA

    3 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Impacted by Price Erosion and German Losses

    Borosil Renewables reported a challenging Q3 FY25, with standalone sales volume growing 14% QoQ but value increasing only 3.6% to INR 275.28 crores. This was primarily due to a steep decline in average ex-factory prices to INR 105 per millimeter per square meter (INR 42,000 per ton) from INR 115 (INR 46,000 per ton) in the preceding quarter, driven by increased Chinese dumping. Consequently, standalone EBITDA reduced significantly to INR 20.89 crores from INR 52.88 crores QoQ, leading to a post-tax loss of INR 8.64 crores. Consolidated results also reflected this pressure, with net revenue at INR 361.49 crores and EBITDA at INR 5.0 crores, further impacted by a negative EBITDA of INR 14.38 crores from overseas subsidiaries.

    02

    Antidumping Duty Offers Significant Relief and Improved Outlook

    A major positive development was the provisional antidumping duty (ADD) notification on solar glass imports from China and Vietnam on December 4, 2024. The DGTR has since issued final findings recommending a definitive ADD for 5 years. Management expects this measure to restore fair competition, with improved prices reflecting from January 2025, moving towards INR 140 per millimeter per square meter (INR 56,000 per ton). This price realization is projected to increase standalone revenue by approximately INR 60 crores per quarter and lead to a sustainable EBITDA margin of around 30%. Final approval from the Finance Ministry is anticipated by May 2025.

    03

    Strategic Capacity Expansion and Market Demand

    The company is proceeding with its expansion plans, including a new 500 tons per day (TPD) furnace with an initial estimated capex of INR 675 crores, expected to be commissioned by September 2026. This expansion is supported by the proceeds from a recent preferential issue of INR 517.66 crores. Management highlighted the buoyant demand for solar glass, with India's module manufacturing capacity expected to double to 150 gigawatts in 2-3 years and solar installations projected to rise to 40-50 gigawatts annually. The company's own capacity, including the new expansion, is set to reach 41.25 gigawatts or 6,300 tons per day.

    04

    Addressing German Operations Challenges

    The German subsidiary faced significant challenges, reporting a negative EBITDA of INR 14.38 crores in Q3 FY25. Due to political uncertainty and a lack of demand from local module manufacturers, the hot-end operations were temporarily paused from December 31, 2024. Management is implementing measures, including short-time work for employees, to minimize losses and expects to reduce the EBITDA loss from approximately INR 8 crores per month to INR 4 crores per month. The company remains optimistic about the long-term prospects in Germany, anticipating policy support for domestic manufacturing post-elections.

    05

    Focus on Cost Efficiency and Capital Structure

    Borosil Renewables is actively pursuing cost efficiencies, including the planned installation of a 16.5 MW solar/wind hybrid captive power plant. This initiative is expected to generate annual savings of INR 17 crores and become operational by July/September 2025, further improving margins. Regarding capital structure, the company adheres to a policy of maintaining net debt to EBITDA below 2.5x. The recent preferential issue, which raised INR 517.66 crores, will be utilized for funding the ongoing capex, with the balance to be met through internal accruals and bank loans.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.