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    CCL Products

    CCL
    Fast Moving Consumer Goods·6 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    CCL Products reported a resilient Q3 FY25 with 14.13% YoY revenue growth and 13.53% EBITDA growth, despite challenging green coffee price volatility and supply chain headwinds. Net profit remained flat due to tax changes. The domestic branded business showed strong momentum, growing 50% YTD, while overall volume growth was marginal at 3-4% for the quarter. The company is focused on long-term contracts and strategic market share gains, with new capacities coming online.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q3 FY25 turnover reached ₹758.4 crores, marking a 14.13% growth over the previous year's ₹664.48 crores.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY25 stood at ₹127.22 crores, a 13.53% increase compared to the corresponding quarter.

    • Year-to-date turnover for the Group reached ₹2,269.9 crores, an 17.8% growth over the previous year's ₹1926.98 crores.

    • YTD EBITDA increased by 20.37% to ₹396.46 crores, and YTD PAT grew 12.77% to ₹208.47 crores.

    • The domestic business continues to be robust, with YTD turnover of ₹330 crores and brand contribution of ₹220 crores, with B2C growing at 50%.

    Concerns

    4
    • Net profit after tax for Q3 FY25 remained flat at ₹63 crores (vs ₹63.2 crores last year) due to SEZ operations (50% profit now taxed) and higher deferred tax.

    • Supply chain headwinds and volatile, rising green coffee prices continue to pose challenges to the business front.

    • Q3 FY25 volume growth was marginal at 3-4%, with India's growth flattish at 5-6% and Vietnam's growth also flat.

    • Working capital remains high at ₹1,200 crores, contributing to a total debt of approximately ₹2,000 crores.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items3 → 6 (+3)Risks discussed5 → 6 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Q3 FY25

    4
    • Turnover
      ₹758.4 Cr
      YoY+14.1%
    • EBITDA
      ₹127.22 Cr
      YoY+13.5%
    • PBT
      ₹71.87 Cr
      YoY+7.8%
    • PAT
      ₹63 Cr
      YoY-0.3%

    YTD FY25

    4
    • Turnover
      ₹2,269.9 Cr
      YoY+17.8%
    • EBITDA
      ₹396.46 Cr
      YoY+20.4%
    • PBT
      ₹246.37 Cr
      YoY+19.7%
    • PAT
      ₹208.47 Cr
      YoY+12.8%

    Segment breakdown

    • Domestic Business (Q3 FY25)₹130 Cr28.3%
    • Domestic Business (YTD FY25)₹330 Cr71.7%
    Donut· Share of Turnover

    Capital allocation

    2
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Debt

    Gross ₹2,000 crores

    Cost 5.3%

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Long-term volume growth
    15%
    High
    Volume
    FY25 volume growth
    10-20%
    Medium
    Profitability
    EBITDA growth
    15-20%
    High
    Domestic Business
    Total domestic business turnover
    430-440 crores
    High
    Domestic Business
    B2C turnover
    300 crores
    High
    Debt
    Annual debt repayment
    150-200 crores
    High

    Green coffee price trend

    May-June (Brazilian crop)
    CurrentVolatile and rising, no softening despite new crops
    TargetSoftening trend, especially after Brazilian crop

    Why it matters

    Coffee prices are a major input cost; softening prices would alleviate margin pressure and working capital requirements.

    Praveen Jaipuriar: "So, at least in India, the crop is started pouring in, but this year we don't see that the prices will drop because Indian coffee prices will also follow global trends. Globally, even after Vietnam crop has started to pour in and has started to come, we haven't seen any price reduction this time. So, probably we will have to wait for, you know, other crops to come in, which is Brazilian crop in May-June. That's the time we will see how the trend goes, but as of now the prices are not, you know, softening."

    How to verify

    risks_and_concerns[risk='Volatile and rising green coffee prices']

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Volatile and rising green coffee prices

    Green coffee prices have remained volatile and rising, posing a challenge to the business front.Management acknowledged

    high

    Flat PAT due to SEZ tax and deferred tax

    Net profit after tax remained flat due to 50% of SEZ profits now falling under the tax bracket and higher deferred tax.Management acknowledged

    medium

    High working capital and total debt

    Working capital remains high at ₹1,200 crores due to high coffee prices, contributing to a total debt of ₹2,000 crores.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Demand pressure due to high prices

    High coffee prices create pressure on consumers and the value chain, making price increases difficult without impacting volumes.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Short-sighted market and anxiety in B2B segment

    The B2B market remains anxious and short-sighted, with clients wary of long-term commitments due to price volatility.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Smaller players struggling with working capital and operations

    Management observes proposals for taking over smaller players' manufacturing units, indicating their struggle with high coffee prices and working capital.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Praveen Jaipuriar: "our market shares are really low single digits. Yes, for B2B we probably globally are at 7-8% market share and in domestic market, the B2C is 3 to 4% market share all-India, which means that we have very good ample room for growth by taking market share.”

    Analyst questioned growth potential in a slow-growing category; management highlighted low market share as an opportunity for aggressive growth and B2C's role in margin expansion.

    asked by Charisha

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance and YTD Overview

    CCL Products reported a Q3 FY25 turnover of ₹758.4 crores, a 14.13% year-on-year growth. EBITDA for the quarter increased by 13.53% to ₹127.22 crores, and Profit Before Tax (PBT) grew 7.77% to ₹71.87 crores. However, Net Profit After Tax (PAT) remained flat at ₹63 crores, primarily due to 50% of SEZ profits now being subject to tax and higher deferred tax. For the nine months ended FY25, the Group achieved a turnover of ₹2,269.9 crores (17.8% growth), EBITDA of ₹396.46 crores (20.37% growth), and PAT of ₹208.47 crores (12.77% growth).

    02

    Domestic Business Growth and Market Share Strategy

    The domestic business continues its robust performance, achieving a gross turnover of ₹330 crores year-to-date, with branded contribution at ₹220 crores. For Q3 FY25, domestic business turnover was ₹130 crores, with branded sales contributing ₹90 crores. The B2C segment is growing at 50% year-to-date, and the company is on track to meet its FY25 target of ₹300 crores for B2C and ₹430-440 crores for total domestic business. Management emphasized gaining market share, particularly in quick commerce and modern trade where performance is strong, and expanding distribution in non-South markets.

    03

    Green Coffee Price Volatility and Margin Management

    The company faces ongoing challenges from volatile and rising green coffee prices. Despite these headwinds, CCL Group has maintained its EBITDA growth at 15-20% by focusing on long-term, higher-margin contracts and private label businesses. While price increases are implemented in the B2C segment, they are calibrated to balance volume and price, with 30-40% price increases already taken in larger packs over the last 1-1.5 years and another 10-15% lag remaining. Grammage cuts of 10-15% have also been applied to low-unit-price (LUP) sachets.

    04

    Working Capital, Debt, and Capital Expenditure

    Working capital remains high at ₹1,200 crores, primarily driven by elevated green coffee prices. Total debt stands at approximately ₹2,000 crores, with long-term debt at ₹790-800 crores. The company aims to keep its global interest rates low, currently at around 5.25%. Management expects peak debt to be around ₹2,200 crores this year, with annual repayments of ₹150-200 crores. The Indian part of the new facility has been capitalized at ₹400 crores, and the Vietnam facility is expected to be commercialized and capitalized by the end of the current quarter. No significant capex is planned for the next year, as capacity building is largely complete for the next three years.

    05

    Volume Growth and Future Outlook

    Q3 FY25 saw marginal volume growth of 3-4%, which management described as an aberration. Year-to-date volume growth is around 10%. This lower growth was partly due to less aggression in transactional and opportunistic business, with a focus on long-term, value-based contracts. Despite the Q3 aberration, the company remains committed to its long-term volume growth guidance of 15% and expects to maintain EBITDA growth in the 15-20% range. The company believes that increased acreage and good crops, particularly from Brazil (expected May-June), will eventually lead to softening coffee prices.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.