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    CEAT

    CEATLTD
    Automobile and Auto Components·30 Apr 2025
    Management Summary

    CEAT Limited delivered robust growth in Q4 FY25, driven by strong performance in replacement and OEM segments, with double-digit volume growth. The company maintained healthy margins despite raw material volatility and outlined strategic initiatives including the Camso acquisition, premiumization, and EV readiness. Capital allocation remains focused on capacity expansion and integration of new businesses, while navigating global uncertainties and tariff challenges.

    Highlights

    8
    • Consolidated revenue for Q4 FY25 stood at INR 3,421 crores, marking a 14.3% YoY growth.

    • Full-year FY25 consolidated revenue reached INR 13,218 crores, an increase of 10.6% over the previous year.

    • Q4 FY25 volume growth was 11%, contributing to a full-year volume growth of 8.5%.

    • Consolidated EBITDA for Q4 FY25 was INR 394 crores, translating to an 11.5% margin, an expansion of 101 basis points QoQ.

    • Gross margin at the end of Q4 FY25 was 37.5%, with a target to reach 40%+.

    • FY25 capex was INR 950 crores, with a guidance of INR 900-1,000 crores for FY26.

    • The Board recommended a dividend of 300% (INR 30 per share) for FY25.

    • Debt-to-EBITDA stood at a healthy 1.3x and debt-to-equity at 1.44x as of March 31, 2025.

    Concerns

    1
    • US Tariff Situation Uncertainty (Sri Lanka)

    Key financials

    Metrics

    10

    Periods

    2

    Q4 FY25

    6
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹3,421 Cr
      YoY+14.3%
    • Volume Growth
      11%
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹394 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      11.5%
    • Gross Margin
      37.5%

    FY25

    4
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹13,218 Cr
      YoY+10.6%
    • Volume Growth
      8.5%
    • Consolidated PAT
      ₹449.56 Cr
      YoY-26.8%
    • EPS
      ₹116.84

    Segment breakdown

    Replacement
    high single-digit growth Volume Growth (Q4 FY25)
    OEM
    mid-20s double-digit growth Volume Growth (Q4 FY25)
    International Business
    slight degrowth growth Volume Growth (Q4 FY25)mid double-digits growth Volume Growth (FY25)
    IEM
    flat growth Volume Growth (Q4 FY25)
    List

    Capital allocation

    5
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹235 crores this quarter · ₹900 crores (FY26) planned

    Debt

    Gross ₹1,928 crores · 1.3x EBITDA

    Dividend

    ₹30/share (final)

    M&A

    Camso

    acquisition · integrated · Consideration ₹NaN (mixed)

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Generated healthy operating cash flow, which was used to manage largely our capex requirement and part of our additional working capital. (Page 7) ; Our cash profit was about INR1,080 crores. (Page 16)

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Indian Tyre Market Volume Growth
    6-7%
    High
    Volume
    Exports Volume Growth
    10-11%
    High
    Volume
    Ambernath Plant Volume
    double
    Medium
    Profitability
    Gross Margin
    40%+
    High
    Market Share
    OEM Market Share (4W & 2W EV)
    20-25%
    High
    Revenue
    International Business Saliency (with Camso)
    25%
    High
    Capacity
    Camso Capacity Utilization
    80-85%
    Medium
    Capacity
    Ambernath Plant Capacity
    150 tons per day
    High
    Capex
    Camso Specific Capex
    INR 100-125 crores
    High
    Debt
    Debt-to-EBITDA (Peak)
    2.2-2.3x
    Medium
    Debt
    Debt Level
    INR 3,000 crores
    Medium

    Gross Margin Improvement

    Q2 FY26
    Current37.5%
    Target40%+

    Why it matters

    Key profitability driver, management has a clear target for improvement.

    our gross margins, which are currently at about 37.5% may see some improvement there on in Q2. As we have been saying that, we are comfortable with a gross margin of 40% plus more the better, and we are now at quarter 4 end at 37.5%. So there is some ground to cover.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Gross Margin']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Global Uncertainties & Trade Barriers

    Ongoing global uncertainties, tariff and non-tariff barriers led to slight degrowth in international business in Q4 FY25.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Soft Urban Demand

    Urban demand continues to be soft, creating a 4-5% demand delta compared to peppy rural demand, especially impacting passenger car tyres.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Latin American Currency Depreciation

    Currency depreciation in Latin American markets has made imports more expensive, rendering CEAT somewhat uncompetitive.Management acknowledged

    medium

    US Tariff Situation Uncertainty (Sri Lanka)

    Uncertainty regarding US tariffs, specifically the 44% reciprocal tariff on Sri Lankan imports, which impacts Camso's business. Management is hopeful for a better resolution.Management acknowledged

    high

    Camso Integration Challenges

    Initial quarters post-acquisition will focus on stabilizing operations and retaining customers, with full integration taking time.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “So we expect CV to be in OEMs, the vehicle growth to be in single-digit. It should be in a positive territory basis the information that we are receiving. And our play will be we are a small player in TBR. So our play will be in just about double-digit kind of share of business for that growth.”

    Provides management's outlook on a key commercial vehicle segment and CEAT's market share aspirations within it.

    asked by Mumuksh Mandlesha

    2 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Robust Q4 & FY25 Performance

    CEAT Limited delivered a strong Q4 FY25, with consolidated revenue growing 14.3% YoY to INR 3,421 crores. For the full fiscal year, revenue increased by 10.6% to INR 13,218 crores, marking the highest revenue achieved to date. Volume growth in Q4 was 11%, contributing to an 8.5% volume growth for FY25, driven by robust performance in both replacement and OEM segments.

    02

    Market Dynamics & Segment Growth

    The Indian tyre market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6-7% in volume terms until 2047, with exports expected to grow faster at 10-11% long-term. In Q4, replacement demand saw high single-digit growth, while OEM demand grew strongly in the mid-20s, particularly in passenger and 2-wheeler segments. Rural demand continues to be more buoyant than urban demand, which remains soft, creating a 4-5% demand delta.

    03

    Margin Management & Raw Material Trends

    Consolidated EBITDA for Q4 FY25 stood at INR 394 crores, achieving an 11.5% margin, an expansion of 101 basis points QoQ. Gross margin was 37.5% at quarter-end, with management targeting 40%+. While crude prices are trending downwards, natural rubber prices remain firm. The company expects raw material consumption costs in Q1 FY26 to be similar to or slightly lower than Q4 FY25, but anticipates a spike in other expenses due to IPL marketing in Q1.

    04

    Strategic Initiatives & Premiumization

    CEAT is actively pursuing electrification, international business expansion, premiumization, and digital transformation. The company launched advanced tyres, including Z-rated 21-inch, CALM technology (low noise), and run-flat tyres, supporting its premiumization journey. The Chennai plant was designated a new Lighthouse by the World Economic Forum, signifying high productivity and efficiency, following Halol.

    05

    Camso Acquisition & International Expansion

    The acquisition of Camso is progressing, with results to be consolidated from Q2 FY26. This acquisition, with a total consideration of $225 million, is expected to be margin-accretive and drive robust growth, contributing to 25% international business saliency by FY26. While the US market presents tariff uncertainties (44% reciprocal tariff on Sri Lanka), CEAT has mitigation plans and is hopeful for a better resolution.

    06

    Capital Allocation & Financial Health

    CEAT spent INR 235 crores on capex in Q4, with a total FY25 capex cash outflow of INR 946 crores. For FY26, capex is guided at INR 900-1,000 crores, including INR 100-125 crores per annum for Camso for the first two years. Consolidated gross debt was INR 1,928 crores, with a healthy debt-to-EBITDA of 1.3x and debt-to-equity of 1.44x. Management expects debt-to-EBITDA to peak at 2.2-2.3x post-Camso acquisition.

    07

    Sustainability & Innovation

    CEAT's ESG score improved to 56, and its Halol and Ambernath plants received International Sustainability and Carbon Certificates. The company also earned ISO 2400 certification and was ranked in the top 15 percentile globally by EcoVadis, highlighting its commitment to sustainable practices and ethical sourcing. Innovation continues with new 2-wheeler tyres and award-winning truck bus radial products.

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