Dabur India — Q4 FY25 earnings call

Call held 13 May 2025

Management summary

Dabur India reported a challenging Q4 FY25 with consolidated revenue growing 0.6% in INR terms, primarily due to a 3.4% decline in India business, while international business grew strongly at 19.3% in constant currency. Full year FY25 revenue stood at INR 12,563 crores with PAT of INR 1,768 crores. The company outlined a refreshed Vision strategy targeting double-digit CAGR by FY28, focusing on premiumization, portfolio rationalization, and aggressive M&A, expecting sequential recovery in demand.

Highlights

  • Consolidated revenue for FY25 was INR 12,563 crores and PAT was INR 1,768 crores.

  • International business grew 19.3% in constant currency terms in Q4 FY25.

  • Market shares gained across 90% of the portfolio.

  • Emerging channels (modern trade, e-commerce, quick commerce) grew in double digits.

  • HPC Skincare grew 8%, driven by Gulabari franchise.

  • Home Care grew in low single digits, with Odonil gaining 67 basis points market share.

  • Hair Oils grew ahead of the category, gaining 196 basis points market share, and Coconut Hair Oil grew 11%.

  • Chyawanprash and Honey gained market shares of 162 bps and 75 bps respectively.

  • Glucose recorded a strong growth of 10% with market share gains of 112 basis points.

  • Hajmola franchise recorded 3.3% growth with market share gains of 233 basis points.

  • Dabur Health Juices grew 25% year-on-year.

  • Culinary business recorded a strong double-digit growth of 14% led by the Hommade brand.

  • Real Activ and coconut water recorded a robust growth of 11%, gaining 261 basis points market share in the J&N category.

Concerns

  • Consolidated revenue growth was 3.6% in constant currency terms for FY25, impacted by one-time inventory correction in India business in Q2.

  • Q4 FY25 consolidated revenue grew only 0.6% in INR terms (2.1% in constant currency).

  • India business declined by around 3.4% in Q4 FY25.

  • Standalone gross margin contracted by 240 basis points in Q4 FY25 due to inflation and competitive intensity.

  • Beverage portfolio was impacted by slowdown in urban consumption, leading to a decline in the overall portfolio.

Key financials

  1. Consolidated Revenue FY25 ₹12,563 Cr
  2. PAT FY25 ₹1,768 Cr
  3. Consolidated Revenue Growth Q4 FY25 (INR) 60% +0.6%YoY
  4. Consolidated Revenue Growth Q4 FY25 (Constant Currency) 2.1% +2.1%YoY
  5. Standalone Gross Margin Contraction Q4 FY25 240 bps
  6. Inflation Q4 FY25 4.5%

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 10.5%, net profit up 15.4% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue3,029 3,355 2,830 3,405 3,191 +5%3,559 +6%3,038 +7%3,764 +11%
EBITDA553 682 427 667 588 +6%734 +8%461 +8%741 +11%
Net profit418 516 313 508 445 +6%554 +7%362 +16%586 +15%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Segment breakdown

  • International Business
    19.3% Growth Q4 FY25 (Constant Currency)
  • India Business
    -3.4% Growth Q4 FY25
  • HPC Skincare
    8% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Home Care
    low single digits % Growth Q4 FY25
  • Coconut Hair Oil
    11% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Glucose
    10% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Hajmola Franchise
    3.3% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Dabur Health Juices
    25% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Culinary Business
    14% Growth Q4 FY25
  • Badshah
    6% Growth Q4 FY2512% Growth FY25
  • Real Activ and Coconut Water
    11% Growth Q4 FY25

Guidance & targets

Revenue

  • Full Year Value Growth Revenue · FY26 · Medium confidence high single digit, if not double-digit or near double-digit
    And we should also end the year with high single digit, if not double-digit or near double-digit kind of growth for the full year.

    — Mohit Malhotra

Beverages

  • Beverage Portfolio Growth Beverages · FY26 · Medium confidence low to mid-single digit
    Growth expectation actually low to mid-single digit as far as this beverage portfolio is concerned.

    — Rehan Hasan

  • Beverage Business CAGR Beverages · long-term · Medium confidence 10% plus
    In Beverage business, our CAGR is again 10% plus levels.

    — Mohit Malhotra

Health Care

  • Health Care CAGR Health Care · long-term · High confidence 7% to 8%
    I think in Health Care, if you look at the CAGR, CAGR of Health Care are in the range of around 7%, and 7% to 8%, that's what we want to sustain the CAGR.

    — Mohit Malhotra

Odomos

  • Odomos CAGR Odomos · long-term · Medium confidence 8% to 10%
    If you look at the CAGR also, it will be in the range of around 8% to 10% for us.

    — Mohit Malhotra

Market context

  • Sustainable Top Line CAGR Revenue · by FY28 · High confidence double-digit
    Our ambition is to achieve a sustainable double-digit CAGR by financial year '28 in both top line and also bottom line.

    — Mohit Malhotra

  • Sustainable Bottom Line CAGR Profitability · by FY28 · High confidence double-digit
    Our ambition is to achieve a sustainable double-digit CAGR by financial year '28 in both top line and also bottom line.

    — Mohit Malhotra

What to watch in Q1 FY26

India Business Growth

Next quarter (Q1 FY26)
Current Declined ~3.4% in Q4 FY25
Target Sequential improvement towards high single digit to double digit value growth

Why it matters

India business is the core market, and its recovery is crucial for overall company growth targets.

So, I think sequential recovery is what we are also seeing. And we should also end the year with high single digit, if not double-digit or near double-digit kind of growth for the full year.

Risks & concerns

  • Slowdown in urban consumption, high food inflation, unfavorable season

    medium

    Challenging year due to these macro factors impacting business fundamentals.

    Management acknowledged

  • General trade in urban markets under pressure

    medium

    Urban general trade remained weak, impacting overall India business.

    Management acknowledged

  • Competitive intensity in beverage portfolio

    medium

    Impacted beverage business, especially in urban areas, leading to a decline in the overall portfolio.

    Management acknowledged

  • Standalone gross margin contraction

    medium

    240 bps contraction in Q4 FY25 due to 4.5-5% inflation and inability to pass on full price increases.

    Management acknowledged

  • Recycled plastic compliance challenges

    medium

    New regulations (10% for flexible, 30% for hard) are challenging due to limited capacity, higher cost of recycled plastic, and reluctance to use in food/Ayurvedic products; company has represented to the government.

    Both acknowledged

  • Impact of delayed and contracted winters

    low

    Affected sales of Honey and Chyawanprash, but company is launching all-season campaigns.

    Management acknowledged

Q&A highlights

8 direct
McKinsey engagement and strategic refresh Direct
And the ones which stand out is that we shall weed and feed our portfolio and portfolio rationalization will happen and a clear exit path for some of the categories, which are the non-performers, have been identified to release capital, which is what I mentioned. So the categories that we will get out from is the tea category, and our baby diaper category, the sanitizing category, which actually happened and the Vita category.

Management detailed specific categories to be exited (tea, baby diapers, sanitizing, Vita) as part of the portfolio rationalization strategy.

Asked by Abneesh from Nuvama

FY26 demand outlook and India business growth Direct
So, I think sequential recovery is what we are also seeing. And we should also end the year with high single digit, if not double-digit or near double-digit kind of growth for the full year. That's the guidance that we can give by looking at the macroeconomic situation at the moment.

Management provided a forward-looking guidance for FY26 full year value growth, indicating sequential recovery.

Asked by Abneesh from Nuvama

Fruit juice business, Campa Cola competition, and FY26 outlook Direct
So as far as commissions are concerned, we have not changed any channel margins. We have not changed any channel margins other than out-of-home portfolio where we have kind of increased our channel margins a little bit to compete with this Campa Cola war, which is being played out. So for our out-of-home portfolio, we have increased the margins slightly. Growth expectation actually low to mid-single digit as far as this beverage portfolio is concerned.

Management clarified channel margin adjustments and provided a conservative growth outlook for the beverage portfolio in FY26 due to competitive intensity.

Asked by Abneesh from Nuvama

Rural/urban slowdown, M&A/premiumization strategy, and GT channel inventory Direct
If you look at the urban and rural, our rural in tertiary is growing by around 13%, 14%. That's what Nielsen tells us for the Q4 data. So, the business fundamentals are fine. We are growing by 14% and urban is what is flat, and which is there with the category. It's in line with the category. But overall, we are growing ahead of the category. So what's happened is, we have kind of rationalized some sort of schemes or have not given the scheme, because we did not load. Because we did not load, we did not give extra credit, we did not give extra schemes, because of which the little bit of inventory in the wholesale has, I think, gone down and STRs have gone down.

Management provided granular detail on rural vs. urban growth trends and explained the impact of inventory correction on primary sales vs. resilient secondary sales.

Asked by Prakash Kapadia from Spark PMS

Premiumization initiatives, timeframe, investment, and margin impact Direct
Yes. So, Kunal, we are setting up a cadence of looking at monitoring of the strategy that McKinsey has recommended. So that journey should begin as we speak from this quarter onwards. And the exact timelines as we are still working on it, the exercise we just finished. So, I can't give you right now, but we'll start from current year onwards itself. Even the GTM rekindlement should start from the current year itself is what we'd be looking at. And also, just to add on the premiumization margin, there will be specific guardrails where every new product launch will have to have an accretive margin to the core product of it. And therefore, it will lift the overall gross margin profile.

Management confirmed the immediate start of premiumization initiatives and committed to accretive margins for new premium products.

Asked by Kunal Vora from BNP Paribas

Standalone GM contraction in Q4, reasons, and forward outlook Direct
Yes. I think you see almost 240 bps of contraction in our stand-alone in quarter 4 and our inflation is the highest in this quarter in this year. So almost 80% of the inflation of the year has come in this quarter itself, which has impacted this almost 250 bps itself. And most of the price increases we took, they were by and large negated by certain trade promotion intensities and hence, the gross margins got impacted. To rephrase, I think, it's all linked. I think its inflation, which is a key issue. So we had an inflation of around inflation 4.5%- 5% and price increase was to an extent of 3.5%, and because of competitive intensity, we could not take the full inflation into the price increase. And that is why this GM contraction of 247 basis points that you see.

Management provided a clear explanation for the Q4 gross margin contraction, attributing it to high inflation and inability to pass on full price increases due to competitive intensity.

Asked by Harit Kapoor from Investec

Hair Oil premiumization strategy vs. bottom-of-pyramid aggression Direct
So premiumization, we've not embarked upon. Like in Hair Care, especially, I think we were very busy consolidating our portfolio and trying to gain back market share that we lost to competition in Dabur Amla, especially because you had a competitor who was half at your price point. So now that we've got our strategy in place and we've gained all-time high market share of 19.1% from 14% around 3 years back. We will start on the journey of premiumization and premiumization is more urban linked for us. And e-commerce, quick-commerce, all these channels actually help us to get on to the premiumization journey, which is fairly easy to do. As far as rural is concerned, INR10, INR20 price points and INR50 or INR100 price points also in Hair Care, just ride our rural infrastructure. There's not as much of brand trending that you not need to do on at the bottom of the pyramid. It is at the top of the pyramid that you need to do that, so which we have not done it. So like I was telling you, serums, masks, conditioners, etc. that should come in and help our premiumization journey. I don't see both of them conflicting with each other at all.

Management clarified how it plans to pursue both premiumization (urban-focused, e-commerce) and mass-market strategies (rural, small packs) without conflict.

Asked by Harit Kapoor from Investec

Recycled plastic compliance and government regulations Direct
So as far as recycled plastic is concerned, our use of recycled plastic is fairly limited like all other players in the industry, and therefore, we've represented to the government also on the same because the recycled plastic today is more dearer in the market as compared to the regular plastic. And moreover, we are a health care company. In a health care company where 50%-60% of the portfolio is coming from wellness foods and they're coming from health care, we are very reluctant to use recycled plastic in food products and also in our Ayurvedic product. Like in pharmaceutical industry, you don't use recycled plastic. So we are reluctant. As far as personal care is concerned, yes, with the 50% of the portfolio, we can use recycled plastic, but that is today dearer than the existing packaging material and will have an implication on the gross margins and the operating profit of the company. That's why the representation has happened to the government, because the demand of recycled plastic is higher than the supply.

Management explained the challenges and cost implications of recycled plastic regulations, their reluctance to use it in certain categories, and their representation to the government for more time.

Asked by Manoj Trivedi from SP Securities

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q4 FY25 Performance Overview and Full Year Results

Dabur India reported a challenging Q4 FY25, with consolidated revenue growing 0.6% in INR terms and 2.1% in constant currency. This was primarily due to a decline of approximately 3.4% in the India business. In contrast, the international business demonstrated strong performance, growing 19.3% in constant currency. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company achieved a consolidated revenue of INR 12,563 crores and a Profit After Tax (PAT) of INR 1,768 crores, reflecting a 3.6% constant currency growth for the year, impacted by a Q2 inventory correction.

Strategic Vision and Portfolio Refresh for FY28

The company has unveiled a refreshed Vision strategy, aiming to achieve a sustainable double-digit CAGR in both top line and bottom line by financial year 2028. This strategy is built on seven key pillars, including continued investment in core brands like Dabur Red, Real, and Chyawanprash. A significant focus will be on premiumization and contemporization across the portfolio, with specific examples in hair care (serums, conditioners), oral care (benefit-led toothpaste), and healthcare (gummies, effervescents). Dabur also plans to rationalize underperforming products such as tea, baby diapers, and Vita to free up capital for bigger bets.

Category-wise Performance Highlights

Within the HPC segment, Skincare recorded an 8% growth driven by the Gulabari franchise, while Home Care grew in low single digits, with Odonil gaining 67 basis points market share. Hair Oils grew ahead of the category, securing 196 basis points market share, and Coconut Hair Oil saw an 11% growth. The Healthcare portfolio experienced muted performance, as Honey and Chyawanprash were affected by delayed winters, though both gained market shares of 162 bps and 75 bps respectively. Glucose was a strong performer, growing 10% with 112 basis points market share gains.

Foods and Beverages Segment Performance

The Foods business continued its growth momentum, with the Culinary segment growing 14% led by the Hommade brand. Badshah grew 6% in Q4 and 12% for the full FY25. The beverage portfolio faced challenges due to a slowdown in urban consumption, where 70% of its sales are concentrated. However, premium segments like Real Activ and coconut water recorded a robust 11% growth, contributing to a 261 basis points market share gain in the Juices & Nectars (J&N) category.

Gross Margin Pressure and Outlook

Dabur experienced a standalone gross margin contraction of 240 basis points in Q4 FY25. This was primarily attributed to high inflation, which was around 4.5-5% in the quarter, and competitive intensity that limited the company's ability to pass on full price increases. While price increases of approximately 3.5% were implemented across categories (4.5-5% in Health Care, 1.5% in Personal Care, 1.6% in Beverages), the full impact was not realized. Management expects these price increases to flow through in Q1 FY26, which should aid in margin recovery.

Market Dynamics and Go-to-Market (GTM) Strategy

Rural tertiary sales showed strong growth of 13-14% in Q4 FY25, according to Nielsen data, while urban markets remained flat. The company completed an inventory correction in the previous year, reducing distributor inventory from 30 to 21 days, which impacted primary sales but ensured healthy secondary sales. The refreshed GTM strategy includes stockist consolidation in urban India, expanding distribution in Class 3 and 4 towns and rural areas, and focusing on affordable INR10/20 bundle packs to leverage its rural infrastructure.

Recycled Plastic Regulation Challenges

Dabur is currently recycling over 100% of the plastic it consumes. However, new government regulations requiring specific percentages of recycled material in packaging (10% for flexible, 30% for hard from April 1, 2025) pose challenges. The company, along with the industry, has represented to the government, citing limited capacity for recycled plastic, its higher cost compared to virgin plastic, and reluctance to use it in food, Ayurvedic, and pharmaceutical products due to health and safety concerns. The company seeks more time for the industry to develop capacity and reduce costs.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.