EMS — Q1 FY25 earnings call

Call held 16 Aug 2024

Management summary

EMS Limited reported a strong Q1 FY25 with significant YoY growth in both consolidated and standalone revenue and profitability, driven by higher execution of works. The company maintains a robust order book of over ₹1800 crore and a bid pipeline exceeding ₹4000 crore. Management reiterated its high-margin business model, attributing it to strong in-house engineering capabilities and low overheads. Key discussion points included strategic asset acquisitions to support bank guarantee requirements, planned diversification into high-margin road and real estate EPC, and addressing analyst concerns over working capital and employee compensation structure.

Highlights

  • Consolidated Revenue from Operations grew 49.50% YoY to ₹206.28 crores.

  • Consolidated Net Profit increased by 63.12% YoY to ₹37.16 crores.

  • Consolidated EBITDA rose 57.13% YoY to ₹52.53 crores.

  • Standalone Revenue from Operations surged 80.62% YoY to ₹203.72 crores.

  • The unexecuted order book stands in excess of ₹1800 crores.

  • The current bid pipeline is over ₹4000 crores.

  • Management reiterated its ability to maintain high EBITDA margins of 24-26%.

  • The company is strategically acquiring distressed assets to use as collateral for bank guarantees, not for operational diversification.

Concerns

  • Negative Cash Flow from Operations

Key financials

  1. Consolidated Revenue ₹206.28 Cr +49.5%YoY
  2. Consolidated EBITDA ₹52.53 Cr +57.1%YoY
  3. Consolidated Net Profit ₹37.16 Cr +63.1%YoY
  4. Standalone Revenue ₹203.72 Cr +80.6%YoY
  5. Standalone Net Profit ₹36.84 Cr +68.2%YoY
  6. Order Book ₹1,800 Cr

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue down 34.3%, net profit down 60.5% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue233 245 270 239 173 −26%200 −18%120 −56%157 −34%
EBITDA69 71 65 54 37 −46%31 −56%18 −72%26 −52%
Net profit50 51 47 38 28 −44%19 −63%6 −87%15 −61%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Guidance & targets

Profitability

  • EBITDA Margin Profitability · Ongoing · High confidence 24% to 26%
    Yes, sir, these are all projects with the same margins.

    — Ashish Tomar

Revenue

  • Revenue Growth Revenue · FY25 · High confidence 30%
    Right. So the 30% guidance you gave in the last phone call will be achieved, right? ... Yes, sir. Positive.

    — Ashish Tomar

  • Revenue Aspiration Revenue · FY28 · Medium confidence ₹2000+ crores
    And if we increase the building a little and increase the road, if we go to the highway, then it will be 2000 plus, very easily.

    — Ramveer Singh

  • H1 vs H2 Revenue Split Revenue · FY25 · Medium confidence 30-40% in H1, 60-70% in H2
    So I think it would be anywhere around for H1 it would be based on year-to-year 30% to 40% and for H2 it would be 60% to 70%.

    — Ashish Tomar

Operations

  • Order Book Execution Operations · next 2-2.5 years · High confidence 2 to 2.5 years
    Two years. It will be executed in two to two and a half years.

    — Ashish Tomar

Risks & concerns

  • Negative Cash Flow from Operations

    high

    Over the last 4 years, CFO is negative ₹82 crores against a net profit of ₹508 crores, indicating significant working capital absorption due to growth and retention money.

    Analyst acknowledged

  • High Key Managerial Personnel (KMP) Compensation

    medium

    A clarification revealed that of ₹23.78 crores in salaries, ₹13.76 crores (58%) went to KMP, which could be a governance concern for investors.

    Analyst deflected

  • Lack of Transparency on Acquisitions

    low

    Analysts pointed out a lack of detail in disclosures for the Brijbihari Pulp and Paper acquisition. Management promised more details once the transaction is finalized.

    Analyst acknowledged

Areas of evasion (2)

  • Initial breakdown of employee costs
  • Full, immediate details of the Brijbihari Pulp and Paper acquisition

Q&A highlights

2 direct, 1 evasive
Justification for industry-high EBITDA margins (25-26%) Direct
Primarily we think we would like to see ourselves as not as an EPC company, but an engineering company... And the margins as well as execution is based on how well that engineering has been carried out... Apart from that, we operate on an asset-light model. We do not have any debt on our balance sheet.

This is the core of the company's investment thesis, and management's ability to defend and explain it is crucial for investor confidence.

Asked by Viraj Mahadevia

Discrepancy in employee costs suggesting very low salaries Evasive
Sir, I think I will issue further clarification in this, but as far as I know, it will not be this less.

The initial inability to answer a direct question on a key cost item raised a red flag. A clarification was issued at the end, revealing a high concentration of remuneration to Key Managerial Personnel (KMP), which is a key governance data point.

Asked by Viraj Mahadevia

Negative cash flow from operations despite high profitability Direct
Today, what happens is that we have 15% of the security and retention. And it's a three-month cycle. So, if we are increasing our value by 30%, then we are working with a larger use.

This question addresses a major financial risk. Management acknowledged the issue is due to growth and retention money, a typical feature of the EPC sector, but confirmed the strain on working capital.

Asked by Vijay Rawat

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strong Q1 FY25 Performance Driven by Execution

EMS Limited reported a robust start to FY25, with consolidated revenue growing 49.5% YoY to ₹206.28 crores and net profit surging 63.1% YoY to ₹37.16 crores. The performance was attributed to higher execution of works. The standalone business showed even stronger momentum, with revenue up 80.6% YoY to ₹203.72 crores. Management highlighted that despite elections in the previous quarter, they secured three significant projects, bolstering the order book.

Robust Order Book and Pipeline Provide Visibility

The company's unexecuted order book stands at over ₹1800 crores, which management expects to execute over the next two to two-and-a-half years. Furthermore, the bid pipeline is strong at more than ₹4000 crores. Management anticipates that with a historical success ratio of 10-15%, a significant portion of this pipeline will convert into firm orders in the coming months as post-election project evaluations conclude.

Defending High Margins Through Engineering Focus

When questioned about its industry-leading EBITDA margins of 24-26%, management differentiated EMS from typical EPC players. They position the company as an 'engineering company' where superior in-house design and execution drive profitability. This, combined with an asset-light model, a debt-free balance sheet, and low overheads, allows them to achieve margins significantly higher than peers who report margins in the 13-16% range.

Strategic Asset Acquisition for Collateral

Management clarified the rationale behind acquiring manufacturing entities like Brijbihari Pulp and Paper. These are not strategic diversifications but are asset takeovers of distressed properties acquired at a discount (e.g., 60-70% of market value). The primary purpose is to use these properties as collateral to secure bank guarantees required for EPC projects, thereby freeing up cash that would otherwise be locked in Fixed Deposits (FDRs) with banks.

Working Capital and Cash Flow Under Scrutiny

Analysts raised concerns about the negative cash flow from operations (CFO), which stood at minus ₹82 crores over the last four years despite cumulative profits of ₹508 crores. Management acknowledged this is a result of rapid growth, with about 15% of project value held as retention money and a three-month payment cycle. While they stated the situation will improve, no specific timeline was provided for turning CFO positive, highlighting a key financial risk for the growing company.

Diversification into Roads and Real Estate EPC

While water and sewerage projects remain the primary focus, constituting about two-thirds of the business, EMS is selectively bidding for road and real estate EPC projects. The company is currently executing a ₹325 crore housing project for the RBI in Mumbai. Management stressed that they would only enter new segments if their target margins of 24-26% are achievable, ensuring that growth does not come at the cost of profitability.

Employee Compensation Structure Clarified

Following a challenging question about low per-employee salary calculated from DRHP data, management issued a clarification at the end of the call. For the previous year, total salary expenses were ₹23.78 crores. Of this, ₹13.76 crores (approximately 58%) was paid to Key Managerial Personnel (KMP), with the remainder going to other staff. This clarification resolved the initial confusion but highlighted a high concentration of remuneration at the top management level.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.