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    Godrej Agrovet

    GODREJAGROMixed
    Fast Moving Consumer Goods·3 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Godrej Agrovet reported a quarter of strong profit growth driven by significant margin expansion in its Animal Feed and Vegetable Oil businesses. While overall revenue growth was moderate, operational efficiencies and favorable commodity prices boosted profitability. However, the company faced challenges in its Crop Protection segment and significantly revised down its full-year growth guidance for the Astec LifeSciences CDMO business to flat, citing customer-side postponements. Management also acknowledged investor concerns about the conglomerate structure and hinted at a potential future simplification.

    Highlights

    7
    • EBITDA margins (excluding non-recurring items) improved by 200 basis points YoY in Q3 FY25.

    • Animal Feed segment EBIT/Tn improved by 45% YoY to ₹1,925, with margins expanding from 4% to 6%.

    • Vegetable Oil segment revenue increased by 45% YoY, driven by higher CPO/PKO prices and improved Oil Extraction Ratio.

    • Astec LifeSciences reduced its EBITDA loss to ₹4 crores, a significant improvement from a loss of ₹18 crores in Q2 FY25 and ₹17 crores in Q3 FY24.

    • Dairy segment's Value Added Products (VAP) contribution reached 34% of total sales.

    • Poultry business profitability improved significantly, driven by higher live bird prices and a strategic shift towards branded products.

    • ACI Godrej (Bangladesh JV) revenue declined 13% YoY due to economic challenges in the region.

    Concerns

    2
    • Astec CDMO Business Volatility

    • Commodity Price Volatility

    Segment breakdown

    Animal Feed
    1,925 Rs EBIT/Tn6% EBITDA Margin10% Volume Growth
    Vegetable Oil
    45% Revenue Growth1,46,000 tons FFB Arrival (Q3)4,79,000 tons FFB Arrival (9M)
    Astec LifeSciences
    ₹-4 Cr EBITDA₹135 Cr CDMO Revenue (9M)
    Dairy
    1% Revenue Growth (Q3)-5.4% EBITDA Growth (Q3)34% VAP Contribution (Q3)
    Poultry
    26% Sales Mix - Live Birds (9M)54% Sales Mix - RGC (9M)20% Sales Mix - Yummiez (9M)
    List

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Margin
    Animal Feed EBIT per ton
    over ₹2,100
    High
    Margin
    Animal Feed EBIT per ton
    ₹1,800 to ₹2,000
    High
    Revenue
    Astec LifeSciences CDMO Growth
    Flat / No Growth
    High
    Revenue
    Astec LifeSciences CDMO Growth
    30% (+/-2% to 3%)
    Medium
    Volume
    Astec LifeSciences Enterprise Business Growth
    14% to 16%
    Medium
    Capex
    Consolidated Capex
    ~₹220 crores
    High
    Capex
    Consolidated Capex
    ~₹220 crores
    Medium
    Capacity
    Palm Oil Area Expansion
    13,000 to 14,000 hectares
    High

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Astec CDMO Business Volatility

    FY25 guidance was drastically cut from 30-40% growth to flat due to customer order postponements, indicating high uncertainty and poor visibility.Both acknowledged

    high

    Commodity Price Volatility

    Animal Feed margins are 'extremely dependent' on prices of corn and DORB, which are influenced by unpredictable government policies on ethanol and exports.Management acknowledged

    high

    Dairy Margin Squeeze

    There is a 4-6 week lag in passing on milk procurement price hikes to consumers, which can temporarily compress margins, as seen in Q3.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Crop Protection Seasonality and Market Dependence

    The business performance is highly dependent on monsoon patterns, pest infestation levels, and specific crop cycles (e.g., chillies), leading to lumpy performance.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Economic Instability in Bangladesh

    The ACI Godrej JV's revenue declined 13% YoY due to ongoing economic and political challenges in Bangladesh.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “I must also tell you that this year was a big disaster for us as far as Astec is concerned... But this year CDMO there will be no growth, it will be flat and next year we are expecting... 30%... will definitely happen.”

    Revealed a massive cut in FY25 guidance from 30-40% growth to flat, highlighting severe business headwinds and a major miss versus prior expectations.

    asked by Abhijit from Kotak Securities

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Animal Feed Margin Expansion Drives Profitability

    The Animal Feed segment was a standout performer, with EBIT per ton surging 45% YoY to ₹1,925 in Q3 FY25. Margins expanded significantly from 4% to 6% due to a favorable commodity environment and internal R&D initiatives. Management expressed high confidence for this to continue, guiding for an EBIT per ton of over ₹2,100 in Q4 FY25 and a sustainable range of ₹1,800-₹2,000 for FY26. However, they cautioned that performance remains highly dependent on volatile corn and DORB prices, which are subject to regulatory shifts.

    02

    Astec LifeSciences' Recovery Derailed by Severe Headwinds

    Astec LifeSciences faced what management termed a 'big disaster' of a year. The full-year FY25 CDMO revenue growth guidance was slashed from a robust 30-40% to flat, citing significant order postponements from clients. While the business managed to reduce its quarterly EBITDA loss to ₹4 crores from ₹17 crores a year ago, the outlook remains challenging. For FY26, management has guided for a rebound with 30% growth, but stated that future guidance will be more conservative and based only on confirmed purchase orders.

    03

    Vegetable Oil Segment Shines on Favorable Pricing

    The Vegetable Oil segment delivered strong results with a 45% YoY increase in revenue during Q3 FY25. This growth was entirely price and efficiency-led, driven by higher Crude Palm Oil (CPO) and Palm Kernel Oil (PKO) prices, coupled with an improved Oil Extraction Ratio (OER). The performance came despite flat fresh fruit bunch (FFB) arrivals, which stood at 1,46,000 tons for the quarter. Management also highlighted the significant expansion in plantation area, expecting to add 13,000-14,000 hectares in FY25, up from 5,000 last year.

    04

    Strategic Shift in Poultry Towards Branded Products

    The Poultry business continued its strategic pivot away from the volatile live birds segment towards higher-margin branded products. For the first nine months of FY25, the contribution from live birds fell to 26% of sales from 41% a year ago. Correspondingly, the share of branded 'Real Good Chicken' (RGC) rose to 54% (from 43%) and 'Yummiez' to 20% (from 15.9%). This shift resulted in significantly improved profitability in Q3, even as overall revenue was marginally lower.

    05

    Management Acknowledges Structural Concerns, Hints at Simplification

    In a notable exchange during the Q&A, management directly addressed analyst concerns about the company's complex consolidated structure, where underperformance in one segment often negates strong performance in another, limiting value creation. The Managing Director agreed with the assessment, stating 'Spot on,' and confirmed that the company is 'thinking about how to simplify the structure' to provide better visibility and potential for re-rating. This signals a potential strategic review of the business portfolio in the future.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.