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    Gokaldas Exports

    GOKEX
    Textiles·10 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Gokaldas Exports delivered strong Q3 FY25 results, surpassing the ₹1,000 crores revenue mark with robust YoY growth in income, EBITDA, and PAT. The company is aggressively expanding its production capacity across multiple locations and is well-positioned to capitalize on global supply chain realignments and recovering demand. While initial ramp-up costs for new facilities temporarily impacted margins, management is focused on operational efficiencies and aims for continued margin improvement.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total income crossed the ₹1,000 crores milestone for the first time this quarter, growing 79% YoY and 6% sequentially.

    • Consolidated EBITDA increased by 66% YoY and PAT by 65% YoY, indicating a healthy performance.

    • The company has a strong order book and is undertaking significant capacity expansions in Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka, and Ranchi, expected to add over ₹300 crores in incremental revenue.

    • US retail apparel sales remained consistent with 3% growth in calendar 2024, and apparel imports in US/EU are picking up due to lower inventory levels.

    • Gokaldas Exports is benefiting from the global shift in sourcing away from China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh, leveraging its cost advantage and specialization in outerwear.

    Concerns

    3
    • Overall margin was slightly lower due to cost buildup in the Madhya Pradesh unit during its rapid ramp-up phase, including training costs for approximately 1,200 new people.

    • Incremental capacities tend to depress earnings initially, and it takes time for them to normalize and contribute positively to margins.

    • Atraco's margins are still a work in progress, with management aiming for 10% EBITDA margin in the next year, up from the current 7%.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items9 → 10 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    3

    Headline

    4
    • Total Income
      ₹1,000 Cr
      YoY+79%QoQ+6%
    • Total Income (excl. acquired entities)
      YoY+19%
    • Consolidated EBITDA Growth
      66%
      YoY+66%
    • PAT Growth
      65%
      YoY+65%

    9M FY24

    1
    • Volume
      20.808 Mn

    9M FY25

    1
    • Volume
      50.395 Mn

    Segment breakdown

    Atraco
    7% EBITDA Margin
    Matrix
    14% EBITDA Margin
    Gokaldas (Outerwear)
    30% Share of Revenue (9M basis)
    Matrix/Atraco (Outerwear)
    Share of Revenue
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    M&A

    BTPL (fabric unit)

    acquisition · integrated

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Margin
    Consolidated EBITDA Margin Improvement
    1%
    High
    Margin
    MP Unit Standalone Margin
    2.5% to 3% over Gokaldas standalone
    High
    Margin
    BTPL Standalone EBITDA Margin
    12%, 13%, 14%
    Medium
    Margin
    Consolidated EBITDA Margin (expanded capacities)
    around 12%
    High
    Revenue
    Incremental Revenue from New Capacities (MP, Karnataka, Ranchi)
    ₹300-odd crores
    High
    Revenue
    BTPL Peak Revenue (Standalone)
    ₹1,500+ crores
    Medium
    Revenue
    Knit Fabric Unit Annual Revenue
    ₹150-200 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Long-term Revenue Growth Rate
    10-15%
    High
    Revenue
    $1 Billion Revenue Vision
    $1 billion
    Medium
    Acquisition
    BTPL Total Acquisition Cost
    ₹588 crores
    High

    MP Unit Margin Stabilization

    Q1 FY26 onwards (Phase 1 stabilization), Phase 2 impact later
    CurrentCost buildup, lower productivity impacting Q3 margins
    TargetStabilization, 2.5-3% over Gokaldas standalone margin

    Why it matters

    Crucial for improving overall profitability as the MP unit is a significant new capacity.

    That's correct because while Phase 1 will stabilize starting Q1 onwards, I think Phase 2 will start having that impact. (Page 10)

    How to verify

    key_financials.segment_breakdown[name='MP Unit'].metrics[label='EBITDA Margin']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Cost buildup and lower productivity in new units

    Rapid ramp-up of MP unit, including training ~1,200 new people, led to higher costs and lower initial productivity, impacting Q3 margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Initial margin depression from new capacities

    New capacities tend to depress earnings and margins in the initial phase until they normalize and reach optimal productivity.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Kenyan shilling appreciation impacting Atraco margins

    The appreciation of the Kenyan shilling has impacted Atraco's margins, which are being combated through operational improvements and price increases.Management acknowledged

    low

    Geopolitical tensions and trade sanctions impacting Vietnam

    Vietnam's high dependence on China for fabric makes it vulnerable to geopolitical tensions and potential trade sanctions, leading brands to diversify sourcing.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Political instability in Bangladesh

    Political instability in Bangladesh is causing some retailers to diversify away, creating opportunities for India.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So brands take a cautious approach and start diversifying. So these are some of the trends we very early days and we may see some movement going forward to other regions just so that there is a reasonable amount of diversification there.”

    Explains the macro tailwinds benefiting India and Gokaldas Exports due to geopolitical shifts, cost advantages, and instability in competing regions.

    asked by Manish Ostwal

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q3 FY25 Financial Performance

    Gokaldas Exports reported a robust Q3 FY25, achieving a total income milestone of over ₹1,000 crores. This represents a significant 79% year-on-year growth and 6% sequential growth. The company's consolidated EBITDA increased by 66% and PAT by 65% year-on-year, with EBITDA margin improving sequentially. Even excluding acquired entities, total income grew by 19% YoY, underscoring the underlying strength of the core business.

    02

    Strategic Capacity Expansion Underway

    The company is actively expanding its production capacity with new facilities under construction in Madhya Pradesh (adding 1,100 machines) and Karnataka (adding 750 machines). Additionally, an incremental unit in Ranchi (leased premises) will add 400 machine equivalents. These expansions are projected to commence operations at various points in FY26 and are expected to contribute approximately ₹300 crores in incremental revenue, with the MP unit alone contributing ₹175 crores.

    03

    Benefiting from Global Supply Chain Shifts and Demand Recovery

    Gokaldas Exports is capitalizing on the ongoing global shift in sourcing away from China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh, driven by geopolitical tensions and cost advantages in India. The US retail apparel market showed consistent 3% growth in calendar 2024, and apparel imports in both the US and EU have gained momentum since H2 CY24 due to retailers destocking and reaching optimal inventory levels. This demand recovery, coupled with supply chain diversification, provides a strong tailwind for the company.

    04

    Margin Management and Raw Material Outlook

    While overall margins were slightly impacted by initial cost buildup in the rapidly ramped-up Madhya Pradesh unit (including training costs for ~1,200 new employees), management aims for a 1% improvement in consolidated EBITDA margin over the next 1.5 years. Raw material prices, particularly cotton, are experiencing a slight downward pressure and are expected to remain range-bound. The company operates on a pass-through model for raw material costs, allowing it to maintain margins and potentially gain incremental growth from price decreases.

    05

    BTPL Acquisition and Integration Progress

    Gokaldas Exports has invested ₹175 crores in BTPL, a strategic fabric unit, which is currently operating at 40-45% capacity utilization. Integration efforts are focused on improving production quality and productivity, with the knit fabric unit expected to reach full capacity utilization by Q2 FY26. The company plans to initiate the NCLT process for a full merger of BTPL, valued at ₹588 crores, around June 2025, with the process expected to take 9-12 months.

    06

    Polyester Segment and Market Diversification

    Despite India's dominance in cotton, Gokaldas Exports is seeing traction in the polyester segment, particularly for outerwear and sportswear, leveraging its technical capabilities and cost-efficient production. The company benefits from duty-free access to the US market through its African operations for synthetic products. Geographically, while the US remains the dominant export market (over 75%), the company is also focusing on expanding its presence in Europe and has increased its share in the UK.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.