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    Goodluck India

    GOODLUCK
    Capital Goods·16 Feb 2026
    Management Summary

    Goodluck India reported a strong Q3 FY26 with standalone revenue growing 9.51% YoY to ₹1031.58 crores and EBITDA increasing 20.9% YoY to ₹99.72 crores. The company reaffirmed its 15-20% revenue growth guidance for FY26, with significant contributions expected from the Defense & Aerospace segment starting Q1 FY27. Capex for 9M FY26 stood at ₹186 crores, with plans for further investment in defense capacity augmentation.

    Highlights

    5
    • Standalone Revenue for Q3 FY26 grew 9.51% YoY to ₹1031.58 crores.

    • EBITDA for Q3 FY26 increased by 20.9% YoY to ₹99.72 crores, with margin expanding to 9.7%.

    • PAT before exceptional items for Q3 FY26 grew 8.4% YoY to ₹43.47 crores.

    • Defense and Aerospace segment shows strong order visibility (8 months order in hand, 2 years LOI) and high revenue potential (₹900-1000 crores at full capacity) with 30-35% EBITDA margins.

    • Solar structures business is targeted to cross ₹600-700 crores in the next financial year.

    Concerns

    3
    • Geopolitical tensions and 'Trump gimmicks' created volatility in the business environment during the year.

    • Defense shell business revenue recognition for FY26 is impacted by delays in dispatch permissions, reducing the target to ₹60 crores.

    • Hydraulic tubes capacity utilization is currently low at 40-45%, though expected to improve to 60-65% in the next 2-3 quarters.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • Standalone Revenue
      ₹1,031.58 Cr
      YoY+9.5%
    • Standalone EBITDA
      ₹99.72 Cr
      YoY+20.9%
    • Standalone EBITDA Margin
      9.7%
    • Standalone PAT (before exceptional)
      ₹43.47 Cr
      YoY+8.4%QoQ+5.3%
    • Standalone EPS
      ₹12.83
      YoY+8.3%

    9M

    1
    • Standalone EBITDA Margin
      9.7%

    Order Book

    low confidence

    "The company has 8 months of orders in hand and 2 years of LOI for the aerospace and defense segment. For the infrastructure division, they are booked for the next 1-1.5 years, and the automobile division has visibility for the next two quarters."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹216 crores

    60% equity, 40% loan for defense capacity augmentation

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Working capital requirement for the peak defense business is estimated at ₹200-250 crores.

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue Growth
    FY26 Revenue Growth
    15-20%
    High
    Revenue Growth
    FY27 Revenue Growth
    Better than FY26 (15-20%)
    Medium
    Revenue
    Solar Structures Business Revenue
    ₹600-700 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Defense Artillery Products Revenue (Full Capacity)
    ₹800 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Aerospace Products Revenue (Full Capacity)
    ₹200 crores
    High
    Sales Volume
    Large Diameter Heavy Wall Pipes Annual Sales
    48,000 metric tons
    High
    Capacity Utilization
    Hydraulic Tubes Capacity Utilization
    60-65%
    High
    Product Mix
    Value-Added Mix
    60-65%
    High
    Profitability
    Defense Artillery Shells EBITDA Margin
    30-35%
    High
    Profitability
    Aerospace EBITDA Margin
    28-32%
    High
    Revenue Contribution
    Defense Revenue Contribution
    ₹60-70 crores
    High
    Revenue Contribution
    Defense Revenue Contribution
    Fully contributing
    High
    Revenue Contribution
    Defense Shell Business Revenue
    ₹60 crores
    Medium
    Working Capital
    Working Capital Requirement
    ₹200-250 crores
    High

    Defense Shell Business Revenue Contribution

    Q1 FY27
    CurrentInsignificant in Q3, ₹60 crores expected in FY26
    TargetFull contribution from Q1 FY27

    Why it matters

    To verify the commencement of full revenue contribution from the high-margin defense segment after dispatch permission delays.

    So the contribution will come in this Q4, and the Q1 full contribution will come in the Q1 of next financial year. This year, it is insignificant, in this quarter.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[metric='Defense Revenue Contribution'][target_period='Q1 FY27']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Geopolitical tensions and 'Trump gimmicks'

    Geopolitical tensions and 'Trump gimmicks' created havoc and volatility in the business during the year.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Fluctuating raw material prices

    Raw material price volatility is a concern, but mitigated by value-added products and pass-through mechanisms in infrastructure and defense segments.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Delay in dispatch permission for defense shell business

    Final dispatch permission from the government is pending, delaying revenue recognition for the defense shell business in FY26, reducing its contribution to ₹60 crores.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Dividend payout vs. capex funding

    Analyst questioned the dividend payout given significant capex plans, but management stated it's for shareholder benefit.Analyst acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “We will provide you, not an issue. We will we will send you a mail because it's a lengthy part, we will send you.”

    Management declined to provide detailed segment-wise volume data on the call, indicating a lack of transparency for a key operational metric.

    asked by Harsh Vasa

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY26 Financial Performance Overview

    Goodluck India reported a robust Q3 FY26 standalone performance with revenue growing 9.51% YoY to ₹1031.58 crores, up from ₹941.98 crores in the prior year. EBITDA saw a significant increase of 20.9% YoY, reaching ₹99.72 crores, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 9.7%. PAT before exceptional item📎s also grew 8.4% YoY to ₹43.47 crores, and EPS stood at ₹12.83 per share, an 8.27% increase YoY. For the nine months of FY26, standalone sales increased by 6%, with EBITDA at ₹291.6 crores and a margin of 9.7%, up from 8.74% in the previous year.

    02

    Defense & Aerospace Segment Outlook

    The company is bullish on its Defense and Aerospace segment, which commenced production in Q3 FY26. The facility, currently at 150,000 shells annual capacity, is being augmented to 4 lakh shells, with a capital expenditure of ₹400 crores, funded 60% by equity and 40% by debt. At full capacity, this segment is projected to generate ₹900-1000 crores in revenue, with EBITDA margins of 30-35%. While Q3 contribution was insignificant, ₹60-70 crores is expected in Q4 FY26, with full contribution anticipated from Q1 FY27, despite some FY26 revenue being impacted by dispatch permission delays.

    03

    Infrastructure & Automobile Segment Performance

    Demand drivers in infrastructure engineering and broader urban infrastructure remain strong, supported by government capital expenditure of ₹12.2 lakh crore for FY27. The company is booked for the next 1-1.5 years in its infrastructure division. The automobile tubes segment continues to perform steadily, with easing US tariffs expected to boost hydraulic tubes capacity utilization from 40-45% to 60-65% in the next 2-3 quarters. The company aims for a value-added product mix of 60-65% in the coming year, up from 56-60%.

    04

    Capital Expenditure and Funding

    Total capex incurred till December 31, 2025 (9M FY26) was ₹186 crores, with an additional ₹30 crores expected in Q4 FY26. The major capex plan involves ₹400 crores for augmenting defense artillery shell capacity, which will be financed with 60% equity and 40% loan. The company expects a working capital requirement of ₹200-250 crores when the defense business reaches its peak. Future capex for FY27 and FY28 is still in the working stage, beyond natural maintenance capex.

    05

    Market Conditions and Strategic Focus

    The steel and engineering sector showed signs of strengthening in December 2025, with prices for hot rolled coil and cold rolled coil improving by almost 4% in January 2026. The company is focusing on scaling defense operations, increasing its share of high-margin value-added products, and maintaining strict cost discipline. The solar structures business is a key sunrise sector, with a target to achieve ₹600-700 crores in revenue in the next financial year, up from approximately ₹400 crores this year and ₹250 crores two years ago.

    06

    Raw Material and Margin Management

    While raw material prices have fluctuated, the company's value-added product mix and segment diversification help mitigate impact. In the infrastructure sector, there is a complete pass-through of costs due to declared price policies. For auto tubes, there is a pass-through with a time lag. The defense segment has a lower raw material contribution, making it less susceptible to price volatility. Management expects EBITDA margins to increase due to better product mix and operational efficiencies, despite high capacity utilization.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.