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    Happy Forgings Q4 FY26 earnings call

    HAPPYFORGE
    Capital Goods·22 May 2026
    Management Summary

    Happy Forgings delivered its highest ever annual profitability in FY26, driven by strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and increased machining mix. The company secured a significant new order book for value-added products and is expanding capacity to support future growth, particularly in new segments like data centers and passenger vehicles. While global market challenges persist, management is confident in its ability to pass on cost increases and leverage its diversified portfolio for continued growth.

    Highlights

    8
    • Highest ever annual profitability with revenues of ₹1,546 crores.

    • EBITDA margins at 30.4% for FY26, expanding by approximately 160 basis points.

    • PAT margins at 19.5% for FY26, improving by approximately 90 basis points year-on-year.

    • Q4 FY26 sales growth of around 20% year-on-year and EBITDA and PAT growth of approximately 30% and 24%, respectively.

    • Finished goods volume grew by 11% during FY26, with stable realizations at ₹245 per kg.

    • Machining contribution increased to 89% in FY26 compared to 87% in FY25.

    • Secured new order book of ₹950 crores for new businesses, executable in the next 2 to 3 years, with higher realizations of ₹340-₹350 per kg.

    • Strong liquid assets of ₹430 crores providing financial flexibility.

    Concerns

    4
    • Raw material price increases and other manufacturing costs due to ongoing U.S. Iran issue, though expected to be passed on to OEMs.

    • Global markets (North America and Europe) reported 9-10% decline in unit sales for the CV segment, leading to a single-digit decline in export-dependent CV sales.

    • Export markets for farm equipment declined further during the period.

    • Domestic off-highway segment saw softness on a year-on-year basis, with a 7% decline in domestic construction equipment sales.

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY27

    Guidance items9 → 16 (+7)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    14

    Periods

    2

    Q4 FY26

    5
    • Revenue
      ₹424 Cr
      YoY+20.4%
    • EBITDA
      ₹133 Cr
      YoY+30.4%
    • EBITDA Margin
      31.5%
      YoY+2.4%
    • PAT
      ₹84 Cr
      YoY+23.6%
    • PAT Margin
      19.7%

    FY26

    9
    • Revenue
      ₹1,546 Cr
      YoY+9.8%
    • EBITDA
      ₹471 Cr
      YoY+15.7%
    • EBITDA Margin
      30.4%
      YoY+1.6%
    • PAT
      ₹302 Cr
      YoY+14.8%
    • PAT Margin
      19.5%
      YoY+0.9%

    Segment breakdown

    Commercial Vehicle
    37% Revenue Contribution (FY26)
    Farm Equipment
    32% Revenue Contribution (FY26)
    Industrials
    14% Revenue Contribution (FY26)
    Off-highway
    11% Revenue Contribution (FY26)
    Passenger Vehicles
    6% Revenue Contribution (FY26)
    List

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 950 crores

    as of 2026-05-22

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 140 crores

    Execution

    executable over the next 2 to 3 years

    Composition

    Heavy businesses (data center related)(product)
    ₹ 250 crores26.3%
    Europe (new order book per annum)(geography)
    ₹ 150 crores

    "The company has secured a strong order book for new businesses, particularly in industrial, data center, and passenger vehicle segments, with higher realizations, and expects execution over the next 2-3 years."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹450 crores

    new plan · through healthy internal cash generation

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Liquidity

    Cash ₹430 crores

    Provides significant financial flexibility to fund future growth initiatives through internal accruals.

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Volume growth
    late-teen
    Medium
    Margin
    EBITDA margins
    broadly in line with FY '26 levels
    Medium
    Market Share
    PV market share with a large customer
    47%
    High
    Market Share
    Farm equipment market share
    45%
    High
    Segment Contribution
    Industrials share of business
    30%-31%
    Medium
    Segment Contribution
    Passenger Vehicles share of total revenue
    10%
    Medium
    Segment Contribution
    Commercial Vehicle share of total revenue
    27%
    Medium
    Capacity
    Forging capacity
    161,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Forging capacity
    187,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Machining capacity
    82,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Machining capacity
    87,000 tons
    High
    Growth
    CV segment growth
    35%-40%
    High
    Capex
    Total capex
    ₹450-₹500 crores
    High
    Capex
    Total capex
    ₹800 crores
    High
    Solar Plant
    Solar plant generation start
    Q4 onwards
    High
    Product Mix
    Crank shaft contribution
    58% to 60%
    Medium

    What to watch in Q1 FY27

    5

    Cost recovery from OEMs for manufacturing expenses

    Next quarter (within 10-15 days from call date)
    CurrentIn discussion, some confirmations received
    TargetConfirmation from 70-80% of customers, PO amendments

    Why it matters

    Ensures margin protection against rising input costs and validates management's ability to pass on costs.

    I think another 10, 15 days, we should be having confirmation from 70% to 80% of our customers on this where PO amendments will start.

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Raw material price volatility and other manufacturing cost inflation

    Increases in raw material prices and other manufacturing costs due to ongoing U.S. Iran issue, though expected to be passed on to OEMs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Global market challenges for export segments

    Export market segments across CV, farm, and off-highway are weathering challenges, with declines reported in North America and Europe, though moderate signs of recovery are anticipated.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Project execution delays for data center business due to external infrastructure and development lead times

    Infrastructure for data center projects is not yet fully available, and development lead times of 6-9 months are expected before revenue generation, pushing business commencement to Q3 FY28.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “we were able to acquire another Rs.140 crores of new businesses across various sectors, largely on the industrial side, which is towards the data center business and also towards the passenger vehicle business... The order book for the new businesses today stands at nearly Rs.950 crores, which will be executed in the next 2 to 3 years.”

    Provides insight into future growth segments (data center, PV, industrials) and the scale of new order wins, indicating a strategic shift.

    asked by Pankaj Tibrewal

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Financial Performance in Q4 and Full Year FY26

    Happy Forgings achieved its highest ever annual profitability in FY26, with revenues of ₹1,546 crores, marking a 9.8% YoY growth. EBITDA margins expanded by 160 basis points to 30.4%, and PAT margins improved by 90 basis points to 19.5% on an adjusted basis. The fourth quarter of FY26 also demonstrated robust performance, with sales growing 20.4% YoY to ₹424 crores, and EBITDA and PAT increasing by 30.4% and 23.6% respectively. Finished goods volume grew by 11% during the year, maintaining stable realizations at ₹245 per kg.

    02

    Strategic Diversification and Value-Added Product Mix

    The company is actively diversifying its order pipeline into industrial passenger vehicles, EV-linked programs, and export-oriented businesses to reduce reliance on traditional cyclical segments. Machining contribution increased to 89% in FY26 from 87% in FY25, reflecting a focus on higher value-added products. New businesses secured, totaling ₹950 crores, are expected to yield significantly higher realizations of ₹340-₹350 per kg, compared to the current average of ₹245 per kg, indicating future margin expansion.

    03

    Aggressive Capacity Expansion and Capex Plans

    Happy Forgings expanded its machining capacity to 68,000 metric tons in FY26, including a 9,800 metric ton addition in Q3. A new 10,000-ton forging line was commissioned in Q4 FY26, and a 4,000-ton press is slated for commissioning in H1 FY27. The company deployed ₹460 crores in capex in FY26 and plans to spend ₹450-₹500 crores in FY27, with a total capex of ₹800 crores projected over the next two years to support high-growth capabilities.

    04

    Segmental Outlook and Market Share Gains

    In FY26, Commercial Vehicles contributed 37% of revenue, Farm Equipment 32%, Industrials 14%, Off-highway 11%, and Passenger Vehicles 6%. Management expects significant market share gains in FY27, targeting CV market share to increase from 32% to 42% and Farm Equipment market share from 41% to 45%. The company also anticipates a shift in revenue mix, with Industrials growing to 30-31% (from 11%) and Passenger Vehicles to 10% (from 6%), while CV contribution is expected to moderate📎 to 27% (from 37%).

    05

    New Business Wins and Export Market Strategy

    The company secured ₹140 crores in new businesses across industrial, data center, and passenger vehicle sectors in the last four months, contributing to a total new business order book of ₹950 crores, executable over 2-3 years. Export projects for North America are expected to ramp up from Q2 FY27, and a large industrial order from Europe is slated to commence from FY29. Management expressed confidence in passing on raw material and other manufacturing cost increases to OEMs, with some confirmations already received.

    06

    Captive Solar Power Plant for Cost Optimization

    As part of its long-term ESG strategy, Happy Forgings is developing a 35 AC megawatt captive solar power plant with a total outlay of up to ₹170 crores. This initiative is expected to significantly reduce annual power costs, with partial benefits commencing from FY28 and full benefits accruing thereafter. Generation from the solar plant is anticipated to start from Q4 FY27, contributing to operational efficiency and sustainability.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.