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    Heidelberg Cem.

    HEIDELBERGMixed
    Construction Materials·18 Oct 2022
    Management Summary

    HeidelbergCement India reported a challenging Q2 FY23, marked by a significant 19% YoY volume decline attributed to unseasonal monsoons in Central India. This, coupled with a 50% surge in power and fuel costs, led to a sharp 50% drop in EBITDA per ton to ₹476. Despite these headwinds, the company highlighted progress in green initiatives, increasing its green power share to 34%, and a successful premium product strategy, with 55% of trade sales now from premium offerings. Management expressed optimism for a demand recovery in H2 FY23 and outlined strategic capacity expansion plans in Gujarat and debottlenecking projects.

    Highlights

    8
    • Volume declined 19% YoY and 10% QoQ in Q2 FY23 due to unseasonal monsoon in Central India.

    • EBITDA per ton dropped to ₹476 in Q2 FY23, a 50% decrease from ₹946 in Q2 FY22.

    • Power and fuel costs increased by 50% YoY, significantly impacting profitability.

    • Green power share increased to 34%, with Ammasandra plant operating over 90% on green power.

    • Company maintains 100% blended cement production and operates on negative net operating working capital.

    • Net debt stands at ₹109 million, with cash and bank balances of ₹2.37 billion against debt of ₹2.346 billion.

    • Premium products now constitute 55% of trade sales, a significant improvement from 20-25% previously.

    • Fuel mix shifted to 69-70% petcoke and 31% coal due to petcoke being cheaper.

    Concerns

    2
    • Volume decline due to unseasonal monsoon

    • Significant increase in fuel costs

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY23

    Tone shiftNeutral → MixedGuidance items12 → 11 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    9

    Periods

    3

    Headline

    5
    • EBITDA per Ton
      ₹476
      YoY-50%
    • Volume Growth
      -19%
      QoQ-10%
    • Net Debt
      109 Mn
    • Cash & Bank Balance
      $2.37B
    • Debt
      $2.346B

    Q2 FY22

    2
    • EBITDA per Ton
      ₹946
    • Interest Expenses
      ₹8 Cr

    Q2 FY23

    2
    • GST Incentive
      ₹5 Cr
    • Interest Expenses
      ₹20.6 Cr

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    Debottlenecking - Clinker
    3 lakh tons
    High
    Capacity
    Debottlenecking - Cement
    4.5 lakh tons
    High
    Capacity
    Gujarat Plant - Phase 1
    3.5 million tons
    Medium
    Capacity
    Gujarat Plant - Phase 2
    3 million tons
    Medium
    Capex
    Gujarat Plant - Phase 1
    200 million euros
    Medium
    Capex
    Replacement CAPEX
    50 crores
    High
    Timeline
    Gujarat Plant Environmental Clearance
    May/June next year
    High
    Timeline
    Gujarat Plant Start
    FY27
    Medium
    Volume
    Central India Demand Growth
    8-8.5%
    Medium
    Volume
    FY23 Volume Growth
    2-4% decline
    Low
    Pricing
    Premium Product Price Increase
    Rs. 5-7 per bag
    High

    Risks & concerns

    7
    RiskSeverity

    Volume decline due to unseasonal monsoon

    Volume slipped 19% YoY and 10% QoQ due to weather-related conditions and floods in Central India (UP and MP) in July.Management acknowledged

    high

    Significant increase in fuel costs

    Power and fuel costs increased by 50%, which was the biggest factor for the EBITDA per ton decline.Management acknowledged

    high

    Rising inflation and repo rates

    Rising inflation and repo rates are a major concern, affecting consumer sentiments, though demand for other products seems strong.Management acknowledged

    medium

    New capacities in Central India

    New capacities from UltraTech, JK Cement, and ACC (totaling 8-9 million tons) are coming online, potentially impacting pricing and volume growth. Management believes these will be absorbed by demand growth and new players will prioritize profitability.Analyst downplayed

    medium

    Litigation provision impacting interest expenses

    A provision of ~Rs. 10 crore was taken during the quarter for one-off litigations, causing a significant increase in interest expenses.Management acknowledged

    low

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific reasons for not pursuing JP Assets acquisition
    • Detailed plans for Heidelberg-Zuari unification

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “What we did is earlier what we were doing when we were doing sold rates, cement whole full sold rate, that time we were capturing it as non-trade supply. Now what we have done is, we have regularized it because we are supplying MRP bags. ... We introduced another brand which is called Mycem Primo, which is the mixed between the power and the basic bag and that has got good traction. ... Per kilo cal, Rs. 3.13. As compared to June quarter, there is slightly a reduction of softening of the coal cost as well as the petcoke prices.”

    Clarified changes in reporting methodology for trade sales, explained the growth in premium products with a new brand, and provided specific fuel cost data.

    asked by Rajesh Kumar Ravi

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q2 FY23 Performance: Volume Decline and Cost Pressures

    HeidelbergCement India experienced a challenging Q2 FY23, with volumes declining 19% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter. This was primarily attributed to unseasonal heavy monsoons and flood-like situations in Central India (UP and MP) during July. The company's EBITDA per ton plummeted by 50% from ₹946 in Q2 FY22 to ₹476 in Q2 FY23, largely driven by a 50% increase in power and fuel costs. Despite efforts to reduce fuel consumption, the significant rise in external fuel prices severely impacted profitability.

    02

    Green Initiatives and Power Security

    The company highlighted its commitment to sustainability, with the share of green power increasing to 34% in Q2 FY23. The Ammasandra plant now operates with over 90% green power, demonstrating successful integration of renewable energy. HeidelbergCement India continues to produce 100% blended cement, reinforcing its 'green and clean' message. Management is actively working on further increasing green power share and reducing fuel consumption to enhance future power security and cost efficiency.

    03

    Strategic Capacity Expansion and Debottlenecking

    HeidelbergCement India is pursuing strategic capacity enhancements. Debottlenecking projects for Line 2 and Line 3 are planned for FY24 and FY25, expected to add approximately 3 lakh tons of clinker and 4.5 lakh tons of cement capacity combined. The Gujarat expansion project is progressing, with environmental clearance anticipated by May/June next year, and the plant is projected to start operations by FY27. This project involves a first phase of 3.5 million tons capacity with a CAPEX of around 200 million euros, followed by another 3 million tons in a second phase.

    04

    Market Dynamics, Pricing, and Premium Products

    Cement prices increased by 8% YoY, though slightly down QoQ. Management noted a positive trend in prices for the coming months. The company successfully increased its premium product sales to 55% of trade sales, up from 20-25%, driven by the introduction of a new brand, Mycem Primo, which offers a mid-range price point. The strategy includes increasing premium product prices by ₹5-7 per bag annually. The fuel mix shifted to 69-70% petcoke and 31% coal, adapting to changing price dynamics.

    05

    Financial Health and Working Capital Management

    The company continues to operate on negative net operating working capital, indicating efficient cash management. Net debt stands at a manageable ₹109 million, with cash and bank balances of ₹2.37 billion against total debt of ₹2.346 billion. A dividend of ₹9 per share was distributed. Interest expenses saw a significant increase to ₹20.6 crores in Q2 FY23, primarily due to a ₹10 crore provision for one-off📎 litigations.

    06

    Outlook and Competitive Landscape

    Management anticipates a pent-up demand in Q3 FY23, particularly in November and December, driven by post-Diwali construction activity and rural housing needs in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. They project Central India demand growth of 8-8.5% for next year. While acknowledging new capacities entering the Central region, management expressed confidence that these would be absorbed by market growth and that new players would prioritize profitability over aggressive pricing. The company also confirmed that the unification of Heidelberg and Zuari entities is under consideration.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.