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    Hindalco Industries Limited

    HINDALCO
    Metals & Mining·7 Nov 2025
    Management Summary

    Hindalco Industries reported a strong Q2 FY26 with consolidated net profit after tax growing 21% year-on-year to INR4,741 crores and consolidated EBITDA up 6% to INR9,104 crores. The India business, particularly downstream aluminium, showed robust performance, while Novelis achieved an Adjusted EBITDA of $506 per ton, exceeding its $500 target despite tariff impacts. The company is progressing with significant capacity expansion plans in both India and Novelis, including the Bay Minette project, which now has a total cost of $5 billion, and is committed to maintaining a consolidated net debt to EBITDA ratio below 2.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated net profit after tax up 21% YoY to INR4,741 crores.

    • Consolidated business segment EBITDA up 6% YoY to INR9,104 crores.

    • Novelis Adjusted EBITDA at $506 per ton, exceeding $500 mark.

    • Hindalco India business segment EBITDA up 15% YoY to INR5,419 crores.

    • Indian Downstream Aluminium quarterly EBITDA up 69% YoY to INR261 crores.

    Concerns

    4
    • Copper EBITDA down 24% YoY to INR634 crores due to lower TC/RCs.

    • Annual benchmark TC/RCs for 2025 declined 73% to 5.45 cents per pound.

    • Bay Minette project cost increased to $5 billion, with 50% due to inflation and 30-40% due to complexity.

    • Specialty alumina API price dropped from $600-$700 to $350, impacting Q2.

    What Changed1

    vs Q3 FY26

    Guidance items15 → 8 (-7)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated EBITDA₹9,104 Cr+6%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated PAT₹4,741 Cr+21%YoY
    3. 03Novelis Shipments941 Kt-0.4%YoY
    4. 04Novelis Adj. EBITDA/ton506 $+3%YoY
    5. 05Hindalco India EBITDA₹5,419 Cr+15%YoY

    Segment breakdown

    YoY Growth (EBITDA)Quarterly EBITDA
    Novelis
    Hindalco India Business15%
    India Upstream Aluminium22%₹4,524 Cr
    Indian Downstream Aluminium69%₹261 Cr
    Hindalco's Copper Business-24%₹634 Cr
    Heatmap· 2 shared metrics

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹8,500 crores

    Debt

    1.2x EBITDA

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Cost Reduction
    Novelis structural cost reduction program
    $300 million
    High
    Cost Savings
    Novelis FY26 exit savings run rate
    $125 million
    High
    Profitability
    Hindalco India Downstream EBITDA
    Fourfold increase
    High
    Debt
    Consolidated net debt to EBITDA
    Below 2
    High
    Recycling Volumes
    India recycling volumes
    100 Kt
    Medium
    Renewable Energy
    Total renewable capacity
    522 MW
    High
    Alumina Sales Volume
    Alumina sales volume
    170 Kt
    High
    Alumina Sales Volume
    Alumina annual sales volume
    700-800 Kt
    High

    Novelis FY26 exit savings run rate

    FY26 exit
    Current$125 million
    TargetAchievement of $125 million

    Why it matters

    Indicates Novelis's progress on cost efficiency and margin improvement.

    With another quarter of solid execution behind us, the run rate is now $125 million as we accelerate all cost efficiency initiatives.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[metric='Novelis FY26 exit savings run rate']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Decline in TC/RCs for Copper Business

    Annual benchmark TC/RCs for 2025 declined 73% to 5.45 cents per pound, impacting copper EBITDA.Management acknowledged

    high

    Bay Minette Project Cost Overrun

    Total project cost increased to $5 billion, with 50% attributed to inflation and 30-40% to complexity.Management acknowledged

    high

    Volatility in LME Prices

    LME is volatile, hedging strategy employed for short-term price stability.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Weakness in MJP Premium Market

    MJP is currently sub 100 due to tariffs impacting Japanese/Korean auto companies and low demand in East Asia.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of Specialty Alumina API Price Drop

    Specialty alumina API price dropped from $600-$700 to $350, impacting Q2 performance.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “50% of it is inflation, standard inflation as it relates to some of the equipment and materials, but mainly around contract labor because of the significant industrial construction projects going on in the U.S. And then we have recognized that there is some complexity as well associated with some parts of the facility that we were still finalizing up until just this quarter. And so as we saw that, that also increased the cost, and that was roughly probably 30% to 40% of the additional increase.”

    Explains the reasons behind the significant cost increase of the critical Bay Minette project, providing transparency on inflation and complexity factors.

    asked by Satyadeep Jain

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q2 FY26 Consolidated Performance Overview

    Hindalco reported a robust Q2 FY26, with consolidated business segment EBITDA increasing 6% year-on-year to INR9,104 crores. The consolidated net profit after tax also saw a significant rise of 21% year-on-year, reaching INR4,741 crores. This performance underscores the resilience of the integrated business model amidst varying market conditions and global economic shifts. The company's strong cash generation in H1 FY26 stood at INR8,762 crores, marking a 45% year-on-year growth.

    02

    Novelis Performance and Strategic Initiatives

    Novelis recorded shipments of 941 Kt in Q2 FY26, nearly flat year-on-year compared to 945 Kt. Despite this, it achieved an Adjusted EBITDA of $506 per ton, surpassing the $500 mark, excluding a tariff impact🌐 of $54 million. The company raised its FY26 exit savings run rate target to $125 million, up from $100 million, and is executing a 3-year $300 million structural cost reduction program targeting FY28 exit to enhance efficiency and margins. The Bay Minette project cost has been revised to $5 billion, with 50% attributed to inflation and 30-40% to complexity, but is now 100% complete in engineering.

    03

    India Business Growth and Segment Highlights

    The India business segment delivered strong results, with EBITDA growing 15% year-on-year to INR5,419 crores and net profit after tax up 7% to INR3,059 crores. India Upstream Aluminium saw a 22% year-on-year increase in quarterly EBITDA to INR4,524 crores, with EBITDA margins at 45% and EBITDA per ton of $1,521. The Indian Downstream Aluminium business achieved a record performance, with quarterly EBITDA up 69% year-on-year to INR261 crores and shipments rising 10% to 113 Kt, achieving an EBITDA per ton of $265.

    04

    Copper Business and TC/RC Headwinds

    The copper business faced challenges, with quarterly EBITDA declining 24% year-on-year to INR634 crores. This was primarily due to a sharp 73% decline in the annual benchmark TC/RCs for 2025, which were finalized at 5.45 cents per pound, down from 20.5 cents per pound in 2024. Despite this, CCR volumes increased 8% year-on-year to 97 Kt, and the e-waste and recycling project is on track for FY27 recommissioning, reinforcing the company's commitment to sustainability-driven growth.

    05

    Capital Expenditure and Leverage Management

    Hindalco's capital expenditures rose 23% year-on-year to INR11,330 crores in H1 FY26, primarily for capacity expansions in Novelis and India. The company plans INR8,500 crores in capex for FY26 and INR11,000 crores for FY27. Management reiterated its commitment to maintaining a consolidated net debt to EBITDA ratio below 2 over the next four years, with the ratio standing at 1.23 as of September end, demonstrating a disciplined approach to capital allocation.

    06

    Sustainability and Green Initiatives

    The company continues to make strong progress on circularity and responsible waste management, achieving 78% recycling/reuse of total waste generated. Specific recycling rates included 104% for bauxite residue (ex-Utkal), 96% for ash, and 119% for copper slag. Hindalco's renewable energy capacity reached 292 MW and is projected to increase to 522 MW by the end of FY26, including 130 MW of storage-based power, reflecting a strong commitment to clean energy and reducing carbon intensity.

    07

    Market Outlook and India Demand

    Global aluminium supply and demand grew by 1% in the first 9 months of CY25, with China showing a cumulative deficit of 1.6 million tons and the rest of the world a surplus of 1.5 million tons, resulting in a broadly balanced market. India's aluminium demand is projected to grow 8% year-on-year to 1.5 million tons in Q2 FY26, driven by strong performance in electrical, solar, and automotive sectors. The MJP premium, currently sub-100 due to regional tariffs, is expected to recover above 100 in Q3/Q4 FY26.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.