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    Hindustan Zinc

    HINDZINCNeutral
    Metals & Mining·19 Jan 2026
    Management Summary

    Hindustan Zinc delivered a blockbuster Q3 with all-time records across revenue, EBITDA and PAT, driven by the convergence of record production, 5-year lowest COP, and a favorable commodity environment (zinc at $3,350/ton, silver at all-time highs). The company achieved net cash position in Q3 and precious metals now contribute 44% of profits. The 2x capacity expansion is progressing with key EPC partners locked in. Cost guidance of $950-1,000/ton sustained. RE power at 20% of mix, targeting 70% by FY28. Silver guidance of 680±10 tons for FY26 maintained.

    Highlights

    8
    • All-time record quarterly revenue Rs 10,980 crores (+27% YoY), EBITDA Rs 6,087 crores (+34% YoY), PAT Rs 3,916 crores (+46% YoY)

    • Highest-ever Q3 mined metal production (276 KT) and refined metal production (270 KT) since underground transition

    • 5-year lowest zinc COP excluding royalty at $940/ton — 10% better YoY

    • Silver production 158 tons in Q3 (+10% QoQ); 9M at 451 tons. Plus 21 tons sold as lead concentrate

    • Precious metals now 44% of profits — riding silver rally ($93/oz all-time high)

    • Net cash of Rs 329 crores vs net debt Rs 2,547 crores in Sep 2025

    • 2x growth projects (250 KT zinc smelter at Debari + tailings plant) — EPC partners locked, groundwork started

    • EBITDA margin 55%. FY27 hedged: zinc 66 KT at $3,170/ton, silver 56 tons at $58/oz

    What Changed3

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items10 → 6 (-4)Risks discussed2 → 4 (+2)Q&A highlights8 → 4 (-4)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    22

    Periods

    4

    Headline

    4
    • Net Cash Position
      ₹329 Cr
    • Precious Metals % of Profits
      44%
    • RE Power Share
      20%
    • Market Cap
      ₹2.60L Cr

    Q3

    7
    • Revenue (record)
      ₹10,980 Cr
      YoY+27%
    • EBITDA (record)
      ₹6,087 Cr
      YoY+34%
    • EBITDA Margin
      55%
    • PAT (record)
      ₹3,916 Cr
      YoY+46%
    • Silver Production
      158 tons

    9M

    9
    • Revenue (record)
      ₹27,300 Cr
    • EBITDA (record)
      ₹14,415 Cr
    • PAT (record)
      ₹8,799 Cr
    • Mined Metal (record)
      799 KT
    • Silver (incl concentrate)
      472 tons

    best Q3

    2
    • Q3 Mined Metal
      276 KT
    • Q3 Refined Metal
      270 KT

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Production
    FY26 Silver Production
    680 ± 10 tons
    High
    Cost
    Sustained Zinc COP ex-royalty
    $950-$1,000/ton
    High
    Growth
    2x Zinc Smelter (Debari)
    250 KT/annum capacity, completion Q2 FY29
    Medium
    Growth
    Tailings Reprocessing Plant (Rampura Agucha)
    Completion Q4 FY28
    Medium
    Sustainability
    RE Power Share
    25% exit FY26, 35-40% FY27, 70% FY28
    High
    Capex
    FY26 Growth Capex
    $300 million total year
    High

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Silver price volatility — currently at all-time highs ($93/oz); 44% of profits from precious metals

    Silver rally driven by US critical minerals listing, India demand. Management says outlook remains bullish but highly volatile.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Hedging at below-market prices — FY26 silver hedged at $39/oz vs spot $93

    Q3 squared off 55 tons at $37. Q4 hedged 68 tons at $39. Limits upside on ~20% of volume.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Mine development costs rising as mines go deeper

    Mine development up from 14 km to 15 km. Cost offset through 58% domestic coal utilization and lower imported coal prices.Management acknowledged

    low

    Fatal mining incident — one fatality at Rajpura Dariba mine

    Safety incident undermines ESG credentials despite #1 S&P CSA ranking for 3rd year.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    4

    “FY27 hedged: zinc 66 KT at $3,170/ton, silver 56 tons at $58/oz. Policy is 10-20% of annual volume.”

    FY27 hedges locked at favorable prices provide earnings visibility; silver hedged at $58 vs spot $93

    asked by Manav Gogia (Yes Securities)

    1 min read3 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Quarter — All Metrics at All-Time Highs

    Q3 FY26 was a landmark quarter with records across revenue (Rs 10,980 crores), EBITDA (Rs 6,087 crores), and PAT (Rs 3,916 crores). Driven by best-ever Q3 mined metal (276 KT) and refined metal (270 KT) production, 5-year lowest zinc COP of $940/ton, and buoyant commodity prices (zinc $3,350/ton, silver $93/oz). EBITDA margin at 55%. Free cash flow of Rs 3,413 crores in Q3 swung balance sheet to net cash (Rs 329 crores). Precious metals now contribute 44% of profits.

    02

    Cost Leadership and RE Transition

    Zinc COP ex-royalty at $940/ton in Q3, well below $950-1,000 sustained guidance. Achieved through 58% domestic coal utilization (up), lower imported coal prices, and 20% RE power share. Additional 21 KT debottlenecking completed at Chanderiya and Dariba smelters. RE power targeting 25% exit FY26, 35-40% in FY27, and 70% in FY28 — expected to save Rs 250-300 crores annually at full ramp. Battery storage and wind capacity being commissioned.

    03

    2x Growth Strategy

    Two major expansion projects underway: (1) 250 KT zinc smelter at Debari — EPC partners locked, completion Q2 FY29; (2) Tailings reprocessing at Rampura Agucha — completion Q4 FY28. Growth capex of $300M for FY26 ($180M spent in 9M). Volume doubling would take silver from ~700 to 1,300-1,400 tons annually. Lead capacity from 200 KT to 400 KT. Pantnagar silver refinery already has 800 tons capacity; additional 600-700 tons needed. Maintenance capex ~$400M/year.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.