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    Hindustan Zinc

    HINDZINCStrong
    Metals & Mining·25 Apr 2025
    Management Summary

    Hindustan Zinc delivered a record-breaking FY25 with highest-ever production volumes and second-best financial performance. The 4-year lowest COP, 51% EBITDA margin (+400 bps YoY), and 58% ROCE showcase structural cost leadership. Management is aggressively progressing the 2x capacity expansion to 2 MT by FY31, with first phase (1.2→1.5 MT) announcement expected imminently. Silver at 700-710 ton guidance reflects zinc-lead mode strategy at current prices, with long-term path to 1,200-1,300 tons.

    Highlights

    8
    • Record mined metal production (310 KT in Q4, highest-ever Q4); record full-year mined and refined metal production

    • Second-highest ever revenue Rs. 34,083 crores (+18% YoY), EBITDA Rs. 17,465 crores (+28% YoY), PAT Rs. 10,353 crores (+33% YoY)

    • Best-ever Q4 PAT of Rs. 3,003 crores (+47% YoY); Q4 EBITDA Rs. 4,816 crores (+32% YoY) at 53% margin

    • Zinc COP of $994/ton in Q4 (16-quarter low); FY25 $1,052/ton (4-year low); FY26 guidance $1,025-1,050/ton

    • FY26 guidance: mined metal 1.125 MT +/-10 KT, refined metal 1.1 MT +/-10 KT, silver 700-710 tons

    • Free cash flow from operations Rs. 13,784 crores; dividends Rs. 12,053 crores; ROCE 58%

    • 2x expansion to 2 MT by FY31 with first phase announcement expected within 1 month; Rs. 32,000-35,000 crores total CAPEX

    • Mine reserves crossed 13 MT metals (first time since underground transition); mine life 25+ years

    What Changed3

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items18 → 7 (-11)Risks discussed3 → 4 (+1)Q&A highlights8 → 3 (-5)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    13

    Periods

    3

    Headline

    2
    • Free Cash Flow
      ₹13,784 Cr
    • ROCE
      58%

    Q4

    5
    • Revenue
      ₹9,087 Cr
      YoY+20%
    • EBITDA
      ₹4,816 Cr
      YoY+32%
    • PAT
      ₹3,003 Cr
      YoY+47%
    • Mined Metal
      310 KT
      QoQ+17%
    • Zinc COP (ex-royalty)
      994 $/ton
      YoY-6%

    FY25

    6
    • Revenue
      ₹34,083 Cr
      YoY+18%
    • EBITDA
      ₹17,465 Cr
      YoY+28.0%
    • EBITDA Margin
      51%
    • PAT
      ₹10,353 Cr
      YoY+33%
    • Zinc COP (ex-royalty)
      1,052 $/ton

    Segment breakdown

    Production (FY25)
    310 KT Q4 Mined Metal (record Q4)7.8% Q4 Grade7.5% FY25 Grade77% Domestic Zinc Market Share22% VAP Share15% RE Power (Q4)46% Domestic Coal (Q4)
    CAPEX
    ₹4,300 Cr FY25 Total CAPEX₹1,500 Cr Growth CAPEX₹2,800 Cr Sustaining CAPEX
    List

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Production
    FY26 Mined Metal
    1,125 KT +/-10 KT
    High
    Production
    FY26 Refined Metal
    1,100 KT +/-10 KT
    High
    Production
    FY26 Silver
    700-710 tons
    High
    Cost
    FY26 Zinc COP (ex-royalty)
    $1,025-1,050/ton
    High
    Growth
    2x Expansion First Phase
    1.2→1.5 MT, announcement within 1 month
    High
    Growth
    2x Expansion Total CAPEX
    Rs. 32,000-35,000 crores over 5 years
    Medium
    Sustainability
    RE Power Share FY26
    30-35% (vs 13% FY25)
    High

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Mine lease renewals for RA, RD, Zawar mines due 2030

    Key mines expire 2030 but management supremely confident of retention given $1km+ underground infrastructure; spending on expansion regardlessAnalyst downplayed

    medium

    Global zinc market potentially in surplus

    ILZSG projects surplus but management focused on India's deficit story driven by 300 MT steel target; 77% domestic market share insulatesAnalyst deflected

    low

    Fatality incident at Zawar

    Safety officer lost during telecom tower dismantling; corrective measures and protocol strengthening underwayManagement acknowledged

    medium

    Massive CAPEX cycle of Rs. 32-35K crores while maintaining high dividends

    Management confident FCF of Rs. 50K crores over 5 years covers both CAPEX and dividends; will use partial debt funding to improve equity IRRAnalyst downplayed

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Sulfuric acid pricing
    • Mine lease renewal specifics

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “1.5 million ton is the next best option, most economic option... in 3 to 4 months of time, we complete all the announcements related to 1 million tons”

    First phase (1.2→1.5 MT) announcement imminent with RA mine+mill+smelter; Rs. 32-35K crore total capex for full 2x; 24-month completion after order placement

    asked by Ashish Kejriwal

    2 min read4 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record FY25: Production and Cost Excellence

    HZL delivered record mined and refined metal production for FY25, with Q4 achieving 310 KT mined metal (highest Q4 since underground transition). Zinc COP fell to 4-year low of $1,052/ton ($994 in Q4), driven by domestic coal at 46%, RE power at 15%, and operational efficiencies. Revenue grew 18% to Rs. 34,083 crores while EBITDA surged 28% to Rs. 17,465 crores at 51% margin (+400 bps). PAT at Rs. 10,353 crores (+33%) was second-highest ever.

    02

    2x Growth: Transformative Expansion to 2 Million Tons

    Management is aggressively progressing the 2x expansion from 1 MT to 2 MT by FY31. First phase (1.2→1.5 MT) announcement expected within 1 month, covering RA mine expansion, new concentrator, and smelter at Debari. Total CAPEX of Rs. 32,000-35,000 crores over 5 years, funded through mix of internal accruals (Rs. 50,000 crores pre-CAPEX FCF projected) and debt. Peak capacity by FY31 would generate Rs. 60-65K crores revenue and Rs. 34K crores EBITDA.

    03

    Silver: Conservative Near-Term, Massive Long-Term Upside

    FY26 silver guidance of 700-710 tons reflects full-year zinc-lead mode (vs lead mode in FY24 which produced 744 tons). Management sees 1,200-1,300 tons in the 2x plan as SK mine expands, Zawar's Baroi mine contributes, and Agucha's Galena zone is accessed. Pantnagar refinery already has 800-ton capacity; will need expansion to 1,500 tons. Innovative hot acid leaching technology (alternative to fumers) being implemented at Dariba for additional 27 tons silver and 6 KT lead annually.

    04

    Shareholder Returns and Balance Sheet Strength

    Distributed Rs. 12,053 crores in dividends during FY25. Generated Rs. 13,784 crores FCF from operations. ROCE at industry-leading 58%. Total shareholder return of 68% (13x Nifty 50). Market cap rose from 62nd to 39th in Nifty ranking. Contributed Rs. 18,730 crores to exchequer including Rs. 4,200 crores royalty to Rajasthan (35% of state's total royalty income). Recently included in F&O segment on NSE.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.