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    Indian Metals

    IMFAMixed
    Metals & Mining·4 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited reported a resilient Q3 FY25 performance despite challenging market conditions and softening ferrochrome prices. The company is actively pursuing strategic expansions in ferrochrome capacity and diversifying into ethanol production, with clear timelines and investment figures. Management anticipates a market recovery and price uptick from March 2025, supported by integrated operations and cost optimization efforts.

    Highlights

    8
    • Ferrochrome production was 65,865 tons and sales were 65,490 tons in Q3 FY25.

    • The average selling price for ferrochrome in Q3 FY25 was Rs. 96,943 per ton.

    • EBITDA cost per ton for Q3 FY25 was Rs. 77,827, expected to remain at similar levels in Q4 FY25.

    • Kalinganagar Phase-1 is expected to be operational by April-June FY27, adding 40,000-45,000 tons in FY26.

    • Total ferrochrome capacity is targeted to reach 0.5 million tons in 3-4 years.

    • A 120 KL ethanol plant, with a Rs. 150 crore investment, is projected to generate Rs. 300 crores revenue and 10% EBITDA margin, operational by Dec 2025 or Jan 2026.

    • The company generated approximately Rs. 370 crores in cash for the nine months ended December 2024.

    • IMFA holds around Rs. 890 crores in invested funds, bonds, and FDs, maintaining a debt-free status.

    Concerns

    1
    • Softening ferrochrome prices due to Chinese steel oversupply

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items15 → 14 (-1)Risks discussed4 → 3 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    10 metrics
    1. 01Ferrochrome Production65,865 tons
    2. 02Ferrochrome Sales65,490 tons
    3. 03Chrome Ore Cost9,085 Rs/ton
    4. 04Coke Cost14,628 Rs/ton
    5. 05Power Cost5.27 Rs/unit

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    Ferrochrome Production (Kalinganagar Phase-1)
    40,000-45,000 tons
    High
    Capacity
    Ferrochrome Total Capacity
    0.5 million tons
    High
    Mine Production
    Mahagiri Mine Production
    6 lakh tons
    High
    Mine Production
    Sukinda Mine Production (opencast)
    3 lakh tons
    High
    Diversification
    Ethanol Plant Capacity
    120 KL
    High
    Diversification
    Ethanol Plant Investment
    Rs. 150 crores
    High
    Diversification
    Ethanol Plant Revenue
    Rs. 300 crores
    High
    Diversification
    Ethanol Plant EBITDA Margin
    10%
    High
    Pricing
    Ferrochrome Prices
    Uptick
    Medium
    Cost
    EBITDA Cost per ton
    Remain at Q3 levels (Rs. 77,827)
    High
    Volume
    Next Financial Year Volumes
    Up by another 50,000 tons
    High
    Capex
    Kalinganagar Project Cash Outlay
    Rs. 150 crores
    High
    Capex
    Kalinganagar Project Cash Outlay
    Rs. 450-500 crores
    High
    Power
    Renewable Power Tariff
    Rs. 3.84 paisa
    High

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Softening ferrochrome prices due to Chinese steel oversupply

    Chinese steel oversupply led to lower ferrochrome consumption and prices, impacting Q3 FY25 results.Management acknowledged

    high

    Headwinds in commodity markets

    General challenging market environment for commodities impacting performance.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Market cap decline and shareholder value protection

    Analyst expressed concern over sharp decline in IMFA's market cap and requested management to address shareholder value protection.Analyst not addressed

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Commenting on competitors' business plans or market impact
    • Detailed O&M cost breakdowns for specific items

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “Because there is no drop in the Chinese prices in the last month. So, generally the free fall is stopped and there roll over happened with the same price. So, that there is a sustainable, it is not a tenability to operate at these levels. So, we are anticipating there will be a reverse of the prices.”

    Reveals management's reasoning for expecting a price recovery despite current softness, linking it to Chinese market stability and unsustainable current operating levels for non-integrated producers.

    asked by Divya Agrawal

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Overview

    IMFA reported a resilient Q3 FY25 performance despite challenging market conditions, with profits seeing some pressure due to market dynamics. The company acknowledged that performance came in 'below expectations' but emphasized a focus on long-term value creation and operational excellence. Management anticipates some further contraction in the next quarter but expects a recovery from March onwards, reinforcing their commitment to stakeholders.

    02

    Ferrochrome Production, Sales & Realization

    For Q3 FY25, ferrochrome production stood at 65,865 tons, with sales reaching 65,490 tons. The average selling price for ferrochrome during the quarter was Rs. 96,943 per ton, reflecting a steep fall due to market conditions. Approximately 60% of sales are under long-term contracts, with the remaining on a spot basis, and 90% of total sales are exports.

    03

    Cost Structure & Efficiency

    The EBITDA cost for the quarter was Rs. 77,827 per ton, and management expects it to remain at similar levels for Q4 FY25. Key input costs included chrome ore at Rs. 9,085 per ton (landed at Choudwar), coke at Rs. 14,628 per ton, and power at Rs. 5.27 per unit. Other expenses increased to Rs. 106 crores from Rs. 88 crores last year, primarily due to higher repairs, maintenance, and freight costs.

    04

    Expansion & Diversification Initiatives

    IMFA is on track with its expansion plans, including Kalinganagar Phase-1, which is expected to be operational by April-June FY27, with the second furnace by September, adding 40,000-45,000 tons in FY26. The company aims to double its ferrochrome capacity to 0.5 million tons in 3-4 years. Diversification includes a 120 KL ethanol plant with a Rs. 150 crore investment, projected to generate Rs. 300 crores in revenue with a 10% EBITDA margin, becoming operational by December 2025 or January 2026.

    05

    Mining Operations & Chrome Ore Supply

    The company has received CTE and CTO to double its mining output to 1.2 million metric tons from Sukinda and Mahagiri mines. Mahagiri is targeted to produce 6 lakh tons by FY27, up from 3 lakh tons, while Sukinda will contribute 3 lakh tons from opencast mining by FY27. The conversion of opencast to underground mining at Sukinda is a time-consuming process, taking about 5 years to start ore production.

    06

    Market Outlook & Pricing

    Ferrochrome prices experienced a steep fall in the last quarter, mainly due to Chinese steel oversupply. Management expects prices to remain similar for January and February 2025 but anticipates an 'uptick' from March onwards, citing the unsustainability of current low operating levels for non-integrated producers and stabilization in Chinese prices. The benchmark for long-term contracts is based on Tsingshan prices, with quarterly negotiations for customers like POSCO.

    07

    Financial Position & Capital Allocation

    IMFA maintains a debt-free status with approximately Rs. 890 crores invested in various funds, bonds, and FDs, which contributed to PAT. Cash generation for the nine months ended December 2024 was around Rs. 370 crores. Capital expenditure for the Kalinganagar project is projected at Rs. 150 crores by the end of FY25 and Rs. 450-500 crores for FY26. The company also secured a 25-year renewable power agreement with Jindal Group, commencing June 2026, at a tariff of Rs. 3.84 paisa per unit.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.