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    IRB InvIT Fund

    IRBINVITNeutral
    Services·29 Oct 2024
    Management Summary

    IRB InvIT Fund reported a resilient Q2 FY25 with a 4% YoY growth in toll revenue to ₹228 crore, navigating significant disruptions from severe monsoons. The management declared a stable distribution of ₹2.00 per unit. While EBITDA grew, PAT saw a marginal dip. The call was dominated by discussions on recurring farmer protests impacting the Pathankot Amritsar project, where management assured that the project's IRR is protected by NHAI's compensation mechanism. The fund maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-value ratio, positioning it for future asset acquisitions from its sponsor.

    Highlights

    8
    • Distribution Per Unit (DPU) of ₹2.00 declared for Q2 FY25.

    • Consolidated Toll Revenue stood at ₹228 crore, a 4% YoY growth despite heavy monsoon impact.

    • Total Consolidated Income was ₹271 crore, compared to ₹258 crore in Q2 FY24.

    • EBITDA for the quarter was ₹224 crore, up from ₹214 crore YoY.

    • Profit After Tax (PAT) slightly declined to ₹85 crore from ₹88 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.

    • Cumulative distribution since IPO reached ₹70.35 per unit, representing over 69% of the aggregate funds raised.

    • Net debt to value of assets is low at 0.3:1, providing significant debt capacity for new acquisitions.

    • Management addressed key investor concerns on low unit price, confirming SEBI's opposition to InvIT buybacks.

    Concerns

    1
    • Recurring farmer protests and geopolitical tensions

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Total Consolidated Income₹271 Cr+5.0%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated Toll Revenue₹228 Cr+4.6%YoY
    3. 03EBITDA₹224 Cr+4.7%YoY
    4. 04Profit After Tax₹85 Cr-3.4%YoY
    5. 05Interest Cost₹72 Cr+5.9%YoY

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Dividend
    Distribution Per Unit (DPU)
    ₹8.5 to 9
    Medium
    Dividend
    DPU Impact from Refinancing
    Increase in payouts
    Medium
    Acquisitions
    Project Completion for Acquisition Offer
    Vadodara Mumbai package-7 and Pathankot-Mandi projects
    High
    Acquisitions
    Project Completion for Acquisition Offer
    Chittoor Thachur project
    High

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Recurring farmer protests and geopolitical tensions

    Protests on the Pathankot Amritsar highway lead to temporary suspension of toll collections, impacting quarterly revenues, though long-term IRR is claimed to be protected.Analyst acknowledged

    high

    Adverse weather conditions (heavy monsoons)

    Severe monsoons and flooding significantly impacted traffic and toll collections in Q2, highlighting the portfolio's vulnerability to seasonal weather events.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Regulatory restrictions on capital return (Buybacks)

    SEBI's opposition to InvIT buybacks limits the management's tools to address the low unit price and enhance shareholder value, which is a point of investor frustration.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Ineffective tariff hikes in a low WPI environment

    The tariff formula (3% fixed + 40% of Dec WPI) combined with rounding rules can result in minimal tariff increases (~2.5% this year), failing to fully capture inflation.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “With respect to buyback, numerous InvITs, including ourselves, have approached SEBI. However, the regulator maintains that InvITs are established to distribute at least 90% of cash flows to unit holders. Allowing buyback would undermine this fundamental principle... Therefore, SEBI remains opposed to InvIT buybacks, despite representations from the Association and various InvITs.”

    This directly addresses a key investor concern about the low unit price and clarifies that a buyback is not possible due to regulatory constraints, managing shareholder expectations.

    asked by Dayalal Bhut

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q2 Performance: Navigating Monsoon Headwinds

    IRB InvIT reported a 4% YoY growth in toll revenue to ₹228 crore for Q2 FY25. Management highlighted that this modest growth was achieved despite significant operational challenges from unusually heavy monsoons and flooding across India, which suppressed traffic. The total consolidated income reached ₹271 crore. A distribution of ₹2.00 per unit was declared, broken down into ₹1.20 as interest, ₹0.23 as dividend (tax-exempt), and ₹0.57 as return of capital.

    02

    Pathankot Amritsar Project: Managing Recurring Disruptions

    A key focus of the call was the recurring farmer protests affecting the Pathankot Amritsar project, which has led to temporary tolling suspensions. Management reassured investors that the project's Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is 'fully protected' under the concession agreement. This protection comes from two forms of compensation from NHAI: an equivalent extension of the concession period and a 50% reimbursement of interest and O&M expenses, rendering the disruptions NPV-neutral to the InvIT.

    03

    Capital Management and Shareholder Returns

    Investors voiced strong concerns over the unit's low market price of around ₹62. Management directly addressed the topic of a share buyback, stating that while they have approached the regulator, SEBI remains opposed to InvITs conducting buybacks as it contradicts the core principle of distributing at least 90% of cash flows. The trust maintains a healthy balance sheet with a net debt-to-value ratio of 0.3:1, which provides ample capacity for future asset acquisitions.

    04

    Growth Outlook and Acquisition Pipeline

    Management anticipates a stronger second half of the fiscal year, consistent with historical trends. The benefits of a recently completed refinancing exercise are expected to flow through to the DPU starting from Q3 FY25, provided operational performance improves. The acquisition pipeline remains robust, with two HAM assets (Vadodara Mumbai package-7, Pathankot-Mandi) expected to be ready for offer in FY25, and the Chittoor Thachur project in FY26. Based on the current asset base, management guided for a DPU of ₹8.5 to ₹9 over the next four to five years.

    05

    Tariff Revision Mechanism and Its Limitations

    In response to questions about revenue growth, management detailed the tariff hike formula for its key assets: a 3% fixed increase plus 40% of the WPI from the preceding December. However, due to low WPI and a rule that rounds tariffs to the nearest ₹5, the effective tariff revision for the year was only about 2.5%. This structural limitation explains why revenue growth from tariff hikes has been muted in the current low-inflation environment.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.