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    Jindal Saw

    JINDALSAWGood
    Capital Goods·5 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Jindal Saw reported a 'plateauing' performance in Q4 FY25, primarily due to budgetary delays in the Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) which impacted top-line execution. The quarter was dominated by significant accounting adjustments related to the JITF-NTPC litigation, though management emphasized these had zero cash impact on the parent company. Looking ahead, the company is bullish on a recovery in Q2 FY26 as government funding for water infrastructure resumes and new capacity in Seamless and DI pipes comes online.

    Highlights

    7
    • EBITDA currently in the range of ₹3,300 - ₹3,400 crores; management maintains a standalone EBITDA margin guidance of 19-20%.

    • Total order book stands at $1.3 billion (approximately 13 lakh tons), with DI pipes accounting for 6.25 lakh tons.

    • Significant non-cash accounting impact of ~₹400 crores in consolidated results due to JITF litigation adjustments (₹146cr lease receivable write-off and ₹235cr DTA de-recognition).

    • Promoter group provided financial support to repay ₹850 crores to NTPC following a Single Bench judgment, resulting in zero cash impact on Jindal Saw.

    • Term debt significantly reduced to ₹600-700 crores against a net worth of approximately ₹10,000 crores.

    • Capacity expansion underway: Nashik (Seamless) moving to 4.5 lakh tons and Haresamudram (DI) adding 1 lakh ton capacity.

    • Hunting JV contributed ₹27 crores to consolidated PAT in its first year of operations, earning a total profit exceeding ₹50 crores.

    Concerns

    1
    • Ongoing JITF-NTPC Litigation

    What Changed1

    vs Q2 FY26

    Guidance items5 → 4 (-1)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01EBITDA₹3,400 Cr
    2. 02EBITDA Margin19.5%
    3. 03Term Loan₹650 Cr
    4. 04Net Worth₹10,000 Cr
    5. 05Order Book$1.3B-7.3%QoQ

    Segment breakdown

    Ductile Iron (DI) Pipes
    6.25 lakh tons Order Book1 lakh tons Capacity Addition
    Seamless Pipes
    4.5 lakh tons Target Capacity
    Hunting JV
    ₹27 Cr PAT Contribution₹50 Cr Total JV Profit
    List

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Margin
    Standalone EBITDA Margin
    19% to 20%
    High
    Volume
    Large Dia Pipe Volume Growth
    10% to 15%
    Medium
    Capacity
    Nashik Seamless Capacity
    4.5 lakh tons
    High
    Other
    Export to Domestic Ratio
    23% to 25%
    High

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Ongoing JITF-NTPC Litigation

    While ₹850cr has been repaid, the case is now before a Double Bench; unfavorable final outcomes could impact future recoveries.Management acknowledged

    high

    Government Budgetary Allocation Delays

    Q4 performance was hit by slow fund releases for water infrastructure; future execution remains tied to government spending cycles.Both acknowledged

    medium

    Increased Competition in DI Pipes

    Management believes their locational advantage and established cost structure protect them from new entrants.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific roadmap to higher EBITDA targets (dismissed as speculative)
    • Detailed breakdown of subsidiary cash losses without the CFO's immediate intervention

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “Q2 FY2026 will see the full impact of all the water infra projects, including JJM projects coming on the growth trajectory.”

    Confirms that the Q4 dip was a temporary budgetary issue and that ₹70,000 crores have been released for the current year.

    asked by Pujan Shah, Molecule Ventures

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    JITF Litigation and Accounting Clean-up

    The company underwent a significant accounting restructuring following a surprise High Court judgment in the NTPC-JITF arbitration case. Management de-recognized ₹146 crores of lease receivables and ₹235 crores of deferred tax assets, totaling a ~₹400 crore balance sheet impact. Crucially, the ₹850 crore repayment to NTPC was funded by the promoter group, ensuring zero cash outflow from Jindal Saw Ltd. itself. The company is now appealing to a Double Bench, with the next hearing scheduled for May 22nd.

    02

    Order Book Resilience and Execution Headwinds

    The total order book remains healthy at $1.3 billion (13 lakh tons), though it saw a slight sequential dip from 6.8 to 6.3 lakh tons in certain segments as the company deliberately slowed order intake due to high capacity utilization. Q4 execution was hampered by a lack of budgetary allocations for the Jal Jeevan Mission following the election year. However, management expects a strong rebound from Q2 FY26 as the government has released ₹70,000 crores for water infrastructure projects.

    03

    Strategic Capacity Expansion in Seamless and DI

    Jindal Saw is aggressively expanding its value-added segments to drive future growth. Seamless pipe capacity at Nashik is being upgraded to 4.5 lakh tons, while DI pipe capacity at Haresamudram is adding 1 lakh ton. These expansions, along with cost-reduction initiatives like the 3rd Coke Oven Battery in Pragpur and PCI introduction, are expected to visibly impact the financials by FY26.

    04

    De-leveraging and Financial Strength

    The company has maintained a disciplined focus on debt reduction, bringing term loans down to the ₹600-700 crore range. With a net worth approaching ₹10,000 crores and working capital optimized at ₹1,800 crores, the balance sheet is robust. This financial health allowed the company to maintain its dividend payout despite the 'plateauing' annual results and the JITF litigation noise.

    05

    Hunting JV: A New Profit Engine

    The Hunting JV has emerged as a successful diversification, contributing ₹27 crores to the consolidated PAT in its first year. The JV earned a total profit of over ₹50 crores and maintains a full order book. Management highlighted their 'first mover advantage' in premium connections in India, which is expected to continue contributing high-margin revenue.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.