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    Jindal Saw

    JINDALSAW
    Capital Goods·28 Apr 2026
    Management Summary

    Jindal Saw reported a challenging Q4 FY26 with significant QoQ declines in consolidated revenue, EBITDA, and PAT, primarily due to suspended export shipments to the MENA region and API audit issues impacting seamless pipe sales. Despite these headwinds, the company demonstrated strong debt reduction and is progressing with strategic investments in Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia. Management acknowledged the unpredictable environment but expressed confidence in long-term demand and the ability to ramp up operations once conditions improve.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated net debt reduced to ₹2,528 crores as of March 31, 2026, from ₹3,346 crores on December 31, 2025, indicating robust debt management.

    • Abu Dhabi subsidiary holds a strong order book of approximately $180 million (171,000 metric tons), providing 9 months of revenue visibility.

    • New investments in Abu Dhabi (carbon seamless pipe plant) and Saudi Arabia (LSAW/HSAW JV) are progressing, with land secured and equipment LCs opened.

    • Management expects margin improvement in the seamless segment due to robust demand and anticipates margin expansion in the stainless steel business from H2 FY27.

    • The company maintains high liquidity and a deleveraged balance sheet, positioning it well to fund future growth despite current challenges.

    Concerns

    5
    • Consolidated PAT for Q4 FY26 declined 50% QoQ to ₹124 crores, missing original expectations.

    • Export shipments to the MENA region, comprising 29-30% of the order book, have been suspended since March 2026 due to military conflict, impacting Q4 profitability and deferring revenue recognition to FY27.

    • The carbon seamless pipe segment faces temporary sales impact due to API audit non-conformances, with verification scheduled for May 2026.

    • The ductile iron pipe segment is experiencing oversupply and sluggish project execution under the Jal Jeevan Mission, leading to lower utilization.

    • The company incurred a ₹48 crores foreign exchange cost in Q4 due to the rupee's sharp depreciation from ₹88.88 to ₹94.84 per dollar.

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Total Income₹4,657 Cr-6.2%QoQ
    2. 02Consolidated EBITDA₹504 Cr-20.3%QoQ
    3. 03Consolidated PAT₹124 Cr-50%QoQ
    4. 04Consolidated Total Income FY26₹17,987 Cr-14.1%YoY
    5. 05Consolidated EBITDA FY26₹2,306 Cr-35.0%YoY

    Order Book

    medium confidence

    Execution

    fully booked for a couple of quarters, with some orders potentially extending 2-4 quarters out

    Composition

    Export to MENA region(geography)
    29.5%

    Cancellations / Deferrals

    • deferred:All export shipments to MENA region suspended since March '26 due to military conflict, resulting in deferment of 30,000 to 40,000 tons of material ready for shipment.
    • deferred:A 6 lakh tons job-work order has 2 lakh tons of buyer-supplied steel sitting, unable to be processed into pipes due to transport/dispatch issues.

    "The company's order book is fully booked for a couple of quarters, with significant export exposure to the MENA region currently on hold due to geopolitical conflicts, leading to deferrals rather than cancellations."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹500 crores

    Lenders have good appetite for long-term debt for projects

    Debt

    Net ₹2,528 crores · 2.5x EBITDA

    M&A

    LSAW and HSAW facility in Saudi Arabia

    joint venture · announced

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    High liquidity provides a critical buffer, with a deleveraged balance sheet and strong working capital lines available with the banking system.

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capex
    FY26 Capex
    ₹500-600 crores
    High
    Capex
    FY27 Capex
    ₹400-500 crores
    Medium
    Margin
    Seamless Segment Margins
    Improvement
    Medium
    Margin
    Stainless Steel Business Margins
    Expansion
    Medium

    Resolution of API audit for carbon seamless pipes

    next quarter
    CurrentVerification scheduled for May 2026
    TargetAPI monogram use reinstated, sales normalized

    Why it matters

    Resolution is key to restoring sales and profitability in the carbon seamless pipe segment.

    Auditors appointed by API authorities are scheduled to revisit our factory in Nashik in May 2026 for verification.

    How to verify

    risks_and_concerns[risk='API audit non-conformances impacting carbon seamless pipe sales'].management_stance

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Geopolitical conflict in MENA region leading to suspension of export shipments

    All export shipments to MENA, comprising 29-30% of order book, suspended since March '26, deferring revenue recognition and impacting Q4 profitability.Management acknowledged

    high

    API audit non-conformances impacting carbon seamless pipe sales

    Suspension of API monogram use due to non-conformances, with verification scheduled for May 2026, causing temporary sales impact.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Sluggish execution of Jal Jeevan Mission and overcapacity in ductile iron pipes

    Project execution remains sluggish, impacting water pipe business, and there is an oversupply of capacity in the ductile iron segment.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Foreign exchange loss due to Rupee depreciation

    Incurred ₹48 crores foreign exchange cost in Q4 FY26 due to Rupee depreciating from ₹88.88 to ₹94.84 per dollar.Management acknowledged

    low

    Raw material price volatility and inflationary pressures

    Volatility in steel, crude, and diesel prices can impact profitability, with no guarantee of passing on costs to buyers, especially for delivered products.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “So that's what we thought for -- at the call of Q3, we said that perhaps we have -- it has bottomed out, okay? And it's a function of all the things. Margins is not a function of only like raw material and steel price because if my capacity is underutilized, the fixed overheads start hitting you.”

    Analyst sought clarity on margin trajectory, but management indicated it depends on multiple factors beyond raw material costs, including utilization and external volatilities, suggesting uncertainty.

    asked by Dhananjai Bagrodia

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 FY26 Performance Overview and Full Year Trends

    Jindal Saw reported a challenging Q4 FY26, with consolidated total income declining 6.16% QoQ to ₹4,657 crores and consolidated EBITDA falling 20.25% QoQ to ₹504 crores. Consolidated PAT saw a significant 50% QoQ drop to ₹124 crores. For the full year FY26, consolidated total income was ₹17,987 crores (down 14.13% YoY), EBITDA was ₹2,306 crores (down 35.01% YoY), and PAT was ₹925 crores (down 36.55% YoY), indicating a difficult year compared to FY25.

    02

    Impact of MENA Conflict and Export Deferrals

    Geopolitical conflict in the MENA region severely impacted Q4 performance, leading to the suspension of all export shipments from India and Abu Dhabi since March 2026. This region accounts for approximately 29-30% of the company's order book. Management stated that 30,000 to 40,000 tons of material ready for shipment were deferred, resulting in lower Q4 profitability and deferring revenue recognition to FY27. The Abu Dhabi plant's sales were also restricted to customers within trucking range due to safety concerns.

    03

    API Audit and Carbon Seamless Pipe Segment Challenges

    The carbon seamless pipe segment faced a temporary setback📎 due to API audit non-conformances, leading to the suspension of the API monogram use. While all non-conformances have been addressed, a revisit by API authorities is scheduled for May 2026 for verification. This regulatory delay is expected to temporarily impact sales in this segment, although the company is leveraging flexible manufacturing capabilities to mitigate the loss by shifting production to alternative seamless pipe products.

    04

    Strategic Capital Allocation and Expansion Plans

    Despite the challenging environment, Jindal Saw is pursuing strategic expansions. In Abu Dhabi, a carbon seamless pipe plant is being set up, with land secured, equipment ordered, and LCs opened. In Saudi Arabia, a joint venture (51% Jindal Saw, 49% Buhur Group) is establishing LSAW and HSAW facilities, with land secured and LCs for some equipment. These projects are being fast-tracked, and lenders have shown good appetite for funding, leveraging the company's robust debt profile.

    05

    Domestic Market Dynamics and Jal Jeevan Mission

    The domestic water pipe business, particularly under the Jal Jeevan Mission, experienced sluggish project execution in FY26. While the macro demand for water infrastructure remains, state governments' funding arrangements and order placements have been slow. Management noted that Q4 sales for the water business were better than Q3, and recent government orders to fast-track pipe gas rollout and ONGC's $20 billion deepwater exploration projects present future opportunities, though initial hiccups are expected for Jal Jeevan Mission 2.0.

    06

    Debt Profile and Liquidity Management

    Jindal Saw maintained a robust debt profile, with consolidated net debt reducing to ₹2,528 crores as of March 31, 2026, from ₹3,346 crores on December 31, 2025. Consolidated long-term debt stood at ₹692 crores. The company emphasized its high liquidity, deleveraged balance sheet, and strong working capital lines, which provide a critical buffer to fund future growth and manage business volatility. Management projected a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2-2.5 in two years, assuming EBITDA returns to FY24/25 levels.

    07

    Segmental Outlook and Margin Expectations

    Management acknowledged overcapacity in the ductile iron pipe segment, which may lead to lower utilization until Jal Jeevan Mission gains momentum. However, other segments like longitudinal, helical, and seamless pipes are well-placed with sufficient capacity. The stainless steel business is expected to face margin challenges, but the company aims to capture the upper-end segment. Margin improvement is envisaged for the seamless segment due to robust demand, and margin expansion for stainless steel is anticipated from H2 FY27.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.