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    JK Tyre & Indust

    JKTYRE
    Automobile and Auto Components·10 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    JK Tyre & Industries reported a flat consolidated revenue of ₹3,694 crores in Q3 FY25, with EBITDA margins contracting to 9.1% due to rising raw material costs, especially natural rubber. Despite these headwinds, the company saw strong performance in the replacement market and its subsidiary Cavendish, which achieved record sales. Net debt saw a slight reduction, and strategic capacity expansions are progressing, positioning the company for future growth as the OEM segment recovers.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated revenue for the quarter was recorded at ₹3,694 crores, remaining flat on a YoY basis.

    • Net debt reduced to ₹4,319 crores from ₹4,340 crores in the previous quarter, maintaining a healthy balance sheet with Net Debt to Equity at 0.89x and Net Debt to EBITDA at 2.4x.

    • Cavendish Industries Limited posted its highest ever top line of ₹1,025 crores for a quarter, registering an EBITDA margin of 9%.

    • The replacement market showed healthy growth on a QoQ basis, with overall replacement market growing 16% and passenger car radial growing 24% from the previous corresponding quarter.

    • JK Tornel, Mexico, maintained a steady EBITDA margin of 7.9% and achieved high capacity utilization of over 90% in the PCR category, launching new premium products and expanding its distribution network.

    Concerns

    5
    • EBITDA margins during the quarter contracted by 309 basis points QoQ to 9.1% (vs 12.2% in Q2 FY25) due to sluggish demand in OEM and higher raw material costs, particularly natural rubber.

    • Profit after tax was recorded at ₹57 crores for the quarter.

    • The overall raw material basket increased by 2% on a quarter-on-quarter basis, primarily driven by a significant rise in natural rubber prices.

    • Modest growth in the OEM segment limited overall domestic growth, although it is now on a recovery path.

    • Mexican operations saw a decline in revenue primarily due to Christmas holidays and the appreciation of the Indian rupee against the Mexican peso, despite a steady EBITDA margin.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items9 → 7 (-2)Risks discussed3 → 5 (+2)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    06 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Revenue₹3,694 Cr0%YoY
    2. 02EBITDA Margin9.1%
    3. 03EBITDA₹335 Cr
    4. 04Profit After Tax₹57 Cr
    5. 05EPS₹1.88

    Segment breakdown

    Cavendish Industries Limited
    ₹1,025 Cr Top Line₹92 Cr EBITDA9% EBITDA Margin
    JK Tornel, Mexico
    ₹507 Cr Revenue7.9% EBITDA Margin
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹1,400 crores

    Debt

    Net ₹4,319 crores · 2.4x EBITDA

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Industry Outlook
    Indian automobile industry ranking
    No. 1
    High
    Sustainability
    Renewable electricity target
    100%
    High
    Raw Material Costs
    Raw material basket increase
    1-2%
    Medium
    Finance Cost
    Finance cost reduction
    down
    Medium
    Revenue
    Peak revenue post capex
    ₹4,700 crores
    Medium
    Industry Margins
    Longer term industry margin range
    12-15%
    Medium

    Raw material price trajectory and its impact on margins

    next quarter
    CurrentRaw material basket increased 2% QoQ, impacting Q3 margins by 309 bps.
    TargetStabilization or decline in raw material prices, leading to margin improvement.

    Why it matters

    Raw material costs are a primary driver of profitability, and management expects some improvement in Q4 if prices stabilize.

    What is expected is that going forward the RM basket may further likely increase by 1% to 2% in Q4. So, whatever inventories that we have been carrying from Q3 will give some impact in Q4.

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='EBITDA Margin']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Increasing raw material costs, particularly natural rubber

    Operating margins were impacted by increasing raw material costs, with the overall raw material basket increasing 2% QoQ.Management acknowledged

    high

    Modest growth in OEM segment

    OEM segment growth was modest, limiting overall domestic growth, though it is now on a recovery path.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Global uncertainties, trade challenges, and supply chain constraints

    Exports were sustained YoY despite these challenges, indicating ongoing external pressures.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Mexican Peso depreciation against US dollar

    The Mexican Peso depreciated by 6% against the US dollar, impacting JK Tornel's reported revenues in INR terms, though expected to support exports in coming quarters.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of 25% import duty from Mexico into USA

    The US imposed a 25% import duty on Mexican goods, which is currently on hold for a month, with negotiations ongoing, creating uncertainty for JK Tornel's exports to the USA.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “Yes, actually, what happened is that in Q1 and Q2, we had taken some strategic stocking of the material which helped us to evade some of the cost in Q2. But then that strategic inventory had depleted and Q3 saw the full impact of the raw material.”

    Clarifies that Q3 margin compression was significantly due to the consumption of previously stocked higher-cost inventory, which was depleted.

    asked by Abhishek Jain

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Overview

    JK Tyre & Industries reported a consolidated revenue of ₹3,694 crores for Q3 FY25, which remained flat on a year-on-year basis. The company's EBITDA margins contracted significantly by 309 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 9.1%, primarily due to rising raw material costs and modest growth in the OEM segment. Profit after tax stood at ₹57 crores, and earnings per share were ₹1.88. Despite the margin pressure, net debt saw a slight reduction to ₹4,319 crores, maintaining a healthy balance sheet with a Net Debt to Equity ratio of 0.89x and Net Debt to EBITDA of 2.4x.

    02

    Raw Material Headwinds & Margin Impact

    The primary factor impacting operating margins in Q3 FY25 was the increase in raw material costs, particularly natural rubber, which saw the overall raw material basket rise by 2% QoQ. Management noted that strategic stocking of materials in Q1 and Q2 helped mitigate some costs, but this inventory was depleted in Q3, leading to the full impact of higher raw material prices. The company is implementing measures like price revisions, enhancing product mix, and cost optimization to mitigate these pressures. It is anticipated that the raw material basket might increase by another 1-2% in Q4, but the consumption of high-cost inventory from Q3 is expected to lead to some margin improvement.

    03

    Mexican Operations (JK Tornel) Update

    JK Tornel, Mexico, contributed ₹507 crores (1,282 million pesos) to the consolidated revenue, with a steady EBITDA margin of 7.9%. The revenue decline QoQ was attributed to Christmas holidays and the appreciation of the Indian rupee against the Mexican peso. To counter the 6% depreciation of the Mexican Peso against the US dollar, JK Tornel plans to significantly increase exports to leverage the higher peso earnings. The company is also focusing on supplying higher rim size tyres to advanced markets for better profitability and has launched new premium products. JK Tornel plants were awarded the prestigious 'Sword of Honour' by the British Safety Council.

    04

    Capacity Expansion & Utilization

    Consolidated capacity utilization for the quarter was 78%, with radial capacity utilization remaining above 80% and PCR utilization close to 90%. The company has an ongoing capex program of ₹1,400 crores, with over ₹1,000 crores allocated for PCR expansion and approximately ₹400 crores for TBR and all steel light truck radial. These projects are progressing well with state-of-the-art equipment being installed. Management expects that upon completion of these expansions, the quarterly revenue could reach around ₹4,700 crores, up from the current ₹3,650-3,700 crores at 82-83% utilization.

    05

    Debt Management & Capital Allocation

    Net debt for the company stood at ₹4,319 crores as of December 31, 2024, a slight reduction from ₹4,340 crores in the previous quarter. The company has tied up a $100 million Sustainability-Linked Loan with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to fund ongoing expansions and refinance high-cost debt in Cavendish Industries Limited. While short-term working capital borrowings increased due to strategic inventory accumulation, management expects these to normalize in the next one or two quarters, leading to a reduction in finance costs in the next financial year. The year-to-date capex outlay is ₹800 crores, with ₹600 crores already spent.

    06

    Market Outlook & Growth Drivers

    The Indian economy continues to be a bright spot, with RBI forecasting a real GDP growth of 6.6% for FY24-25. The auto sector is showing signs of recovery, with strong growth in two and three-wheeler sales and continued growth in passenger cars. The replacement market demand remains promising, and the OEM segment is on a recovery path. Management anticipates that increased public and private capex, consumption-boosting measures, and government thrust on infrastructure will drive GDP growth and demand for TBR and PCR segments. The company's focus on premiumization, technological advancements, and digital transformation is expected to support future growth.

    07

    Sustainability Initiatives

    JK Tyre & Industries has joined the Global RE100 Club, becoming the first Indian Tyre company to target 100% renewable electricity by 2050. This initiative aligns with the company's vision to be a 'Green and trusted mobility partner' and its focus on sustainable, innovative, and value-added products. The Sustainability-Linked Loan with IFC is another step in this direction, reflecting the company's commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.

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