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    Jindal Stain.

    JSL
    Metals & Mining·30 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Jindal Stainless Limited reported its highest-ever sales in Q3 FY25, driven by robust domestic demand which grew 20% YoY and now constitutes 90% of total sales. Despite a weaker export market and pressure from low-priced imports, the company maintained stable EBITDA of INR1,003 crores and saw PAT increase 5% QoQ to INR619 crores. Strategic acquisitions like Chromeni are ramping up, and the company is focused on value-added products and sustainability initiatives, while managing debt effectively.

    Highlights

    5
    • Highest-ever sales in Q3 FY25, reflecting a 15% year-on-year growth, driven by strong domestic demand.

    • Domestic demand rose by 20% during the period, with domestic sales reaching 90% of overall sales.

    • Q3 EBITDA remained stable at INR1,003 crores, and PAT increased by 5% to INR619 crores on Q-o-Q basis.

    • Maintained a healthy leverage ratio with stand-alone net debt to equity at 0.2x and net debt to EBITDA at 0.9x.

    • Received adequate to strong ESG ratings from MSCI, CRISIL, ESG Risk, and awarded the 'Sword of Honour' from the British Safety Council.

    Concerns

    5
    • Weaker export market and ongoing pressure from low-priced imports impacted export margins in Q3 FY25.

    • Export volumes remained subdued due to geopolitical disruption and decline in demand from Western countries, particularly EU.

    • EBITDA per ton was relatively lower due to subdued exports, leading to volume chasing over margins in some instances.

    • The demand situation in Europe is described as 'very bad', impacting sales from that region.

    • Nickel prices remain subdued due to demand from stainless steel and EV markets, and China's influence.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items8 → 9 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    11

    Periods

    3

    Headline

    3
    • External Net Debt (Stand-alone)
      ₹3,344 Cr
    • Net Debt to EBITDA
      0.9 x
    • Average Realization (Blended)
      1,71,283 Rs/ton

    Q3

    6
    • Sales Volume
      5,87,658 metric tons
      YoY+15%QoQ+4%
    • Stand-alone Revenue
      ₹10,066 Cr
      QoQ+3%
    • EBITDA
      ₹1,003 Cr
      QoQ0%
    • PAT
      ₹619 Cr
      QoQ+5%
    • Subsidiary EBITDA
      ₹205 Cr

    9M

    2
    • Sales Volume
      YoY+8%
    • Domestic Sales Volume
      YoY+14.0%

    Capital allocation

    8
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹5,500 crores

    Debt

    Net ₹3,344 crores · 0.9x EBITDA

    Dividend

    ₹1/share (interim)

    M&A

    Chromeni

    acquisition · integrated

    M&A

    Indonesia SMS plant

    joint venture · pending regulatory

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Stand-alone Volume Growth
    around 10%
    High
    Volume
    Chromeni Volume
    Max 30,000 tons
    High
    Profitability
    Stand-alone EBITDA per ton
    around INR17,000 crores
    High
    Profitability
    Consolidated EBITDA
    INR20,000-plus crores
    High
    Debt
    Closing Debt
    around INR5,500 crores
    High
    Project Timeline
    Indonesia SMS Plant Operations
    begin operations in FY '27
    High
    Project Timeline
    NPI Nickel JV Ramp-up
    fully ramped up in FY26
    High
    Taxation
    Tax Shelter from Accumulated Losses
    maybe FY27
    Medium

    JCL transaction completion

    within 4-6 weeks
    CurrentAll approvals received, formalities ongoing
    TargetTransaction completed

    Why it matters

    Completion of JCL divestment will finalize capital allocation and potentially impact financial structure.

    Anurag Mantri: "Okay. So JCL, the transaction will be completed now within the probably next 4 weeks to 6 weeks. We have got all the approvals, and now we are just completing the more formalities and process steps."

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.m_and_a[target='JCL'].status

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Weaker export market and low-priced imports

    Export volumes subdued, impacting margins due to geopolitical disruption, decline in Western demand, and low-priced imports.Management acknowledged

    high

    Potential adverse duties from Trump administration in US

    Concerns about new trade barriers from the US, though management noted existing 25% tariff and domestic focus.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) in Europe

    CBAM applies to stainless steel exports to Europe; company is investing in renewable capacity to mitigate impact.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Subdued nickel prices

    Nickel prices are low due to demand from stainless steel and EV markets, and China's influence, impacting raw material costs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Abhyuday Jindal: "Yes. So Amit, steel and stainless steel has been filed separately... we are absolutely on track, and we are keeping a close watch and discussing with all the concerned authorities in the ministry.”

    Analyst inquired about the status of safeguard duty application for stainless steel, which is critical for protecting against low-priced imports. Management confirmed it's on track and positive.

    asked by Amit Dixit, ICICI Securities

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance and Domestic Market Strength

    Jindal Stainless Limited achieved its highest-ever sales volume of 587,658 metric tons in Q3 FY25, marking a 15% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter growth. This performance was primarily driven by robust domestic demand, which surged 20% during the period and now accounts for 90% of the company's overall sales. Stand-alone revenue for Q3 FY25 stood at INR10,066 crores, reflecting a 3% QoQ increase, while EBITDA remained stable at INR1,003 crores and PAT grew 5% QoQ to INR619 crores.

    02

    Export Challenges and Strategic Adjustments

    Despite strong domestic performance, the export market faced significant headwinds due to geopolitical disruptions, declining demand from Western countries (particularly the EU), and pressure from low-priced imports. These factors impacted export margins in Q3 FY25, leading to subdued export volumes. To counter this, the company is focusing on niche offerings for global customers in segments like lift, auto, and white goods, and exploring alternate freight modes, including bulk shipping.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Project Progress

    Chromeni operations have commenced, boosting cold rolling capacity and supporting overall sales. The Indonesia SMS plant is progressing well and is anticipated to begin operations in FY27, while the NPI project is currently in its ramp-up phase, operating at approximately 65% capacity utilization. The company spent INR3,800 crores on capex and acquisitions during the first nine months of FY25, with INR2,700 crores allocated to acquisitions like Chromeni and the SMS facility, and INR1,100 crores for other capex.

    04

    ESG Initiatives and Sustainability Focus

    JSL remains committed to sustainability, with the share of grid-sourced renewable energy at its plant increasing to approximately 17% in Q3 FY25, up from 1% in FY24. This progress is supported by a 3.7-megawatt rooftop solar capacity at the Hisar plant. The company has received strong ESG ratings from agencies like MSCI, CRISIL, and ESG Risk, and was awarded the 'Sword of Honour' from the British Safety Council, underscoring its dedication to occupational health and safety.

    05

    Capital Structure and Debt Management

    As of December 31, 2024, the company maintained a strong balance sheet with stand-alone external net debt at INR3,344 crores. The net debt to equity ratio stood at 0.2x, and net debt to EBITDA was 0.9x. Management reiterated its guidance to maintain closing FY25 debt around INR5,500 crores. An interim dividend of INR1 per share (face value INR2) was approved, totaling INR82.37 crores, with a record date of February 8, 2025.

    06

    Regulatory Landscape and Import Pressures

    The company has filed a safeguard duty application for stainless steel, following a similar application by the steel industry, to address the injury caused by unfairly priced imports, which account for 30% of India's stainless steel consumption, largely from China. Management expressed optimism for positive results from these applications. Additionally, the company is preparing for the potential impact of CBAM in Europe by investing in renewable energy capacity, aiming to mitigate carbon emission-related risks.

    07

    Raw Material Dynamics and Indonesian JV

    Nickel prices remained subdued due to demand factors from both the stainless steel and EV markets, with China being a significant influence. The company's investments in Indonesia, including the NPI project and SMS plant, are strategic moves to ensure raw material security and leverage Indonesia's position as a low-cost producer. The Indonesian NPI project is currently ramping up, operating at 65% capacity, and is expected to be fully ramped up in FY26.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.