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    JSW Steel

    JSWSTEELGood
    Metals & Mining·17 Oct 2025
    Management Summary

    JSW Steel delivered record Q2 FY26 results with highest-ever quarterly production and VASP sales amid seasonally weak monsoon quarter. Indian steel demand grew 8.9% YoY. JVML ramp-up and BPSL post-expansion drove strong volume growth. Management guided for H2 price improvement in November-December with coking coal cost up $3-5 QoQ. Board approved EAF project at Kadapa and CRGO expansion. Rs.69,000 crore capex planned over next 3.5 years at ~Rs.20,000 crore/year.

    Highlights

    8
    • Highest ever consolidated production at 7.9 MT, up 17% YoY and 9% QoQ

    • Highest Q2 consolidated sales at 7.34 MT, up 20% YoY and 10% QoQ despite monsoon

    • Adjusted EBITDA of Rs.7,849 crores; EBITDA/tonne Rs.10,701; margin 17.4%

    • VASP sales highest ever at 4.31 MT (64% of sales), up 20% YoY; auto sales at all-time high

    • India's first 25 MW green hydrogen electrolyser commissioned at Vijayanagar

    • BF-3 shutdown started end-September for 150-day capacity enhancement to 4.5 MT

    • Board approved 1 MT EAF at Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh by FY29; CRGO expansion to 250,000 tonnes at Nashik

    • Net debt at Rs.79,153 crores; net debt/EBITDA at 2.97x

    Concerns

    1
    • Domestic steel prices trading at discount to import parity despite safeguard duty

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    08 metrics
    1. 01Revenue₹45,152 Cr
    2. 02Adjusted EBITDA₹7,849 Cr
    3. 03EBITDA/tonne10,701 Rs/tonne
    4. 04PAT₹1,646 Cr
    5. 05Production7.9 MT+17%YoY

    Segment breakdown

    Indian Operations
    ₹7,614 Cr EBITDA10,768 Rs/tonne EBITDA/tonne18.1% Margin
    US Operations
    12.2 Mn EBITDA
    Italian Operations
    5.6 Mn EBITDA
    List

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Cost
    Q3 Coking Coal Cost
    +$3-5/tonne
    High
    Pricing
    Q3 Steel Price Outlook
    Improvement in Nov-Dec
    Medium
    Capex
    Planned Capex
    Rs.69,000 crores
    High
    Demand
    India Steel Demand
    8-9% growth
    High

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Domestic steel prices trading at discount to import parity despite safeguard duty

    Lumpy capacity additions and weak monsoon quarter drove prices below import parity; management expects H2 recoveryBoth acknowledged

    high

    Elevated Chinese steel exports impacting global pricing

    Chinese exports grew 18% Jan-Aug CY25; India imports spiked despite safeguard dutyManagement acknowledged

    medium

    BF-3 shutdown for 150 days reducing production capacity

    Shutdown started end-Sep for upgrade from 3 to 4.5 MT; return to ops by Feb 2026Management acknowledged

    medium

    Unrealized forex losses of Rs.734 crores on debt translation

    Rupee depreciation from 85.50 to 88.79 creating Rs.2,100 crore debt translation impactManagement acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “prices have been softer in a seasonally weak quarter...we are reasonably optimistic that in a seasonally stronger second half, we will see improvement”

    Unusual discount signals capacity additions overwhelming near-term demand; key to margin trajectory

    asked by Sumangal Nevatia

    1 min read4 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Q2 Operational Performance

    JSW Steel delivered highest-ever Q2 production of 7.9 MT (+17% YoY) and sales of 7.34 MT (+20% YoY) despite monsoon seasonality. JVML ramp-up contributed significantly with second converter starting in August. VASP sales hit record 4.31 MT constituting 64% of total. Domestic sales of 6.33 MT up 14% YoY, outpacing India's 8.9% demand growth.

    02

    Margin Resilience Through Product Mix

    Despite declining steel prices, adjusted EBITDA/tonne remained healthy at Rs.10,701 supported by 64% VASP share, lower coking coal ($6 decline as guided), and improved operational leverage from higher volumes. Indian ops EBITDA margin at 18.1%. Energy costs lower from renewable energy commissioning of 885 MW.

    03

    Growth Strategy Acceleration

    Board approved 1 MT EAF at Kadapa for structural steel by FY29 and CRGO capacity expansion at Nashik from 50K to 250K tonnes plus 100K at Vijayanagar. Rs.69,000 crore capex planned at Rs.20,000 crore/year funded through internal accruals. BF-3 shutdown for upgrade will add 1.5 MT by Feb 2026.

    04

    Raw Material Security Progress

    Captive iron ore at ~30% of consumption with 22-23 MT annual availability annualized. 12 iron ore mines operating with 3 new Karnataka mines expected Q1 FY27. Goa mining at Cudnem starting Q3 FY26. Acquired 20% stake in Illawarra coking coal (Australia), increasing to 30%. Mozambique coking coal acquisition expected to close this FY.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.