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    Kaynes Tech

    KAYNES
    Capital Goods·28 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    Kaynes Technology reported strong Q3 FY25 results with 30% YoY revenue growth and expanded EBITDA margins. The order book saw a significant surge, driven by high-yielding sectors like aerospace and medical. The company is progressing with its OSAT and HDI PCB projects, which are expected to contribute substantially from Q4 FY26, and remains confident in exceeding 15% EBITDA for FY25 despite some execution delays in certain segments.

    Highlights

    7
    • Q3 FY25 total revenue of INR6,612 million, representing 30% YoY growth.

    • Q3 FY25 operational EBITDA of INR940 million at 14.2%, a 50 bps increase YoY.

    • Order book surged from INR54,228 million at Q2 FY25 to INR60,471 million at Q3 FY25.

    • Monthly order inflow grew from INR3,188 million in Q2 FY25 to INR4,285 million in Q3 FY25.

    • Net working capital days improved to 107 days at Dec-end from 117 days YoY.

    • OSAT and HDI PCB projects are underway, expected to yield significant revenues from Q4 FY26.

    • Acquired majority stake in AI-based railway network safety solution company, Sensonic.

    Concerns

    2
    • Rail segment and smart meter execution experienced some delays in Q3 FY25 due to election-related slowdowns and factory production issues, though expected to catch up.

    • Initial production stages for new facilities (like Hyderabad) may not maximize margins immediately, impacting blended margins in FY26.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    13

    Periods

    4

    Headline

    2
    • Net Working Capital Days (Dec-end)
      107 days
    • Inventory Days
      117 days

    Q3 FY25

    5
    • Total Revenue
      6,612 Mn
      YoY+30%
    • Operational EBITDA
      940 Mn
      YoY+35%
    • EBITDA Margin
      14.2%
    • PAT
      665 Mn
      YoY+47%
    • PAT Margin
      10.1%

    9M FY25

    4
    • Operating Revenue
      17,373 Mn
      YoY+49%
    • Operational EBITDA
      2,431 Mn
      YoY+53%
    • EBITDA Margin
      14.2%
    • PAT Margin
      10.1%

    9M FY25, adjusted

    2
    • ROE
      17.3%
    • ROCE
      17.7%

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 60,471 million

    as of 2024-12-31

    quantified
    11.5% QoQ

    Inflow this qtr

    ₹ 12,855 million

    Execution

    execution is spread over a time frame, depending on the kind of business

    Composition

    Industrial & EV(segment)
    Aerospace & Defense(segment)
    Smart Meters(segment)
    Automotive (Exports)(segment)
    Medical(segment)
    IT(segment)
    Exports(geography)
    ₹ 800 million

    Cancellations / Deferrals

    • deferred:Impact of earlier delays of ordering and projects went on slow during election time in rail segment.
    • deferred:Small delays in smart meter factory production and shipments.

    "The order book has grown significantly, driven by high-yielding sectors, and execution is a continuum, with some one-off delays expected to catch up in the coming quarters."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    5
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹48,000 million

    EMS business is self-funded. Semicon and HDI PC board projects are funded by 50-75% government subsidy and remaining equity, with small debt bridging initial phases.

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    M&A

    Sensonic

    acquisition · integrated

    M&A

    US/North America companies

    acquisition · pending regulatory

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    QIP proceeds are being used to fund strategic initiatives, and the company is exploring recourse-less financing from customers to manage working capital.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Annual Operating Revenue Growth
    > 55%
    High
    Revenue
    Annual Revenue
    INR2,800-2,900 crores
    High
    Revenue
    Smart Meters Revenue
    INR1,000 crores
    Medium
    Revenue
    OSAT and HDI PCB Revenues
    Significant revenues
    High
    Profitability
    Annual Operating EBITDA Margin
    > 15%
    High
    Profitability
    Annual Operating Margins
    15-16%
    High
    Export
    Export Share of Business
    20-25%
    Medium
    Cash Flow
    Operating Cash Flow
    Positive
    High
    Working Capital
    Net Working Capital Days
    Smaller number
    Medium

    Annual Operating Revenue Growth (FY25)

    FY25 end (Q4 FY25 results)
    Current49% (9M FY25)
    TargetExceed 55% YoY

    Why it matters

    This is a key growth target for the full fiscal year, indicating the company's ability to accelerate revenue in Q4.

    we expect to pick up the revenue growth rates such that the annual operating revenue growth would exceed 55% on year-on-year basis

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Operating Revenue (9M FY25)'].yoy_growth

    Risks & concerns

    3
    RiskSeverity

    Execution delays in Rail and Smart Meter segments

    Delays in ordering and project execution due to election time slowdowns and small factory production issues, impacting Q3 FY25.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Initial margin pressure from new factory ramp-ups

    New facilities like Hyderabad may not maximize margins immediately during initial production stages, potentially affecting blended margins in FY26.Management acknowledged

    low

    Government capex cycle slowdown due to focus on consumption

    Management believes essential infrastructure investments (railway safety, telecom) will continue, with any cuts likely in non-essential areas.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “So essentially, the margins have 2 drivers. One driver is, of course, the gross margins, which is depending on blend of business... The other source of margins is also the operating leverage, which has actually deleveraged in the last quarter, but we've added newer teams... So we are confident that our EBITDA margins will definitely be better than what we had projected. And for the year, we are confident of exceeding 15% EBITDA based on these 2 trends.”

    Analyst questioned sustainability of margin improvement given rising expenses; management provided clear drivers and reiterated confidence in FY25 EBITDA target.

    asked by Sanidhya

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Q3 FY25 Performance and 9M Highlights

    Kaynes Technology reported a robust Q3 FY25 with total revenue reaching INR6,612 million, marking a 30% year-on-year growth. Operational EBITDA stood at INR940 million, reflecting a 35% increase YoY, with the margin expanding by 50 basis points to 14.2%. For the first three quarters of FY25, operating revenue grew 49% YoY to INR17,373 million, and operational EBITDA increased 53% YoY to INR2,431 million, maintaining a 14.2% margin. PAT for Q3 FY25 was INR665 million, up 47% YoY, with a margin of 10.1%.

    02

    Order Book Surge and Strategic Sector Focus

    The company's order book demonstrated significant momentum, surging from INR54,228 million at the end of Q2 FY25 to INR60,471 million by the end of Q3 FY25. Monthly order inflow also saw a healthy increase, growing from an average of INR3,188 million in Q2 FY25 to INR4,285 million in Q3 FY25. This growth is primarily driven by high-yielding sectors such as industrial, EV, aerospace, medical, automotive, aerospace & defense, smart meters, and IT, with several large orders booked in these areas.

    03

    Progress on New Manufacturing Facilities and Acquisitions

    Kaynes Technology is actively progressing with its strategic expansion initiatives. Land has been acquired and construction has commenced for both the OSAT factory in Sanand, Gujarat, and the HDI PCB factory in Oragadam, Tamil Nadu, with significant revenues expected from Q4 FY26. The integration of Iskraemeco India is underway, and the Hyderabad smart meter factory is in series production, having supplied several lakhs of meters. Additionally, the company acquired a majority stake in Sensonic, an AI-based railway network safety solution company, to enhance its ODM capabilities.

    04

    Capital Expenditure Plans and Government Support

    The company has outlined substantial capex plans, with approximately INR4,800 crores allocated for new projects until FY28-29. This includes INR3,300 crores for the semicon project and INR1,400 crores for the HDI PC board project. A significant portion of this capex, ranging from 50% to 75%, will be supported by central and state government subsidies. The EMS business, requiring INR200-300 crores per annum for capacity expansion, is expected to be self-funded through internal accruals.

    05

    Margin Outlook and Operating Leverage

    Management expressed strong confidence in achieving and exceeding a 15% EBITDA margin for FY25, driven by a favorable blend of business from high-yielding sectors and improved operating leverage as new teams and acquired businesses ramp up. Gross margins are expected to remain upward of 30%. For FY25-26, the company targets operating margins between 15-16%, anticipating further operating leverage and efficiency gains.

    06

    Strategic QIP for Future Growth and Diversification

    The potential Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) is earmarked for a three-pronged strategic growth plan, not for current business funding. This strategy includes establishing geographical beachheads in regions like the US and North America through acquisitions, enhancing ODM capabilities via inorganic acquisitions (like Sensonic), and deepening technology footprints in niche areas such as semicon and high-density PC boards. This aims to prepare the company for future growth beyond FY28-29.

    07

    Working Capital Management and Cash Flow Outlook

    Net working capital days improved to 107 days at the end of December, down from 117 days in the prior year, despite higher inventory due to advanced purchases for upcoming quarters. While Operating Cash Flow (OCF) has not met expectations until Q3 FY25, management is confident of achieving positive OCF by Q4 FY25. The company is actively working with suppliers to control inventory and exploring recourse-less financing options with customers to optimize working capital.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.