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    Kirl. Ferrous

    KIRLFER
    Metals & Mining·5 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Kirloskar Ferrous Industries experienced a challenging Q3 FY25 marked by subdued markets and significant margin pressure in pig iron and steel, despite robust production and sales growth in casting and tubes. The company made progress on strategic projects, commissioning 69 MW of solar power and initiating trial production at Oliver. Management outlined ambitious volume targets for FY26 across all segments, supported by planned capex of INR 500-600 crores, with a strong focus on cost reduction and renewable energy expansion.

    Highlights

    5
    • Pig Iron production reached ~150,000 tons in Q3 FY25, with capacity utilization at 93% for Hiriyur and over 100% for other plants.

    • Casting production was 35,000 tons in Q3 FY25, showing improvement compared to Q3 last year.

    • Tube production significantly increased by 23% YoY to 52,465 tons in Q3 FY25.

    • Cumulative 9-month pig iron sales were up almost 26% YoY, and casting sales reached 1 lakh metric ton against 91,000 last year.

    • The company commissioned 69 MW of solar power (Phase I & II) at a cost of INR 370 crores, aiming for cost reduction.

    Concerns

    5
    • Pig iron and steel margins faced major pressure due to increased input costs and lowest possible prices across regions.

    • Steel production was 48,800 tons in Q3 FY25, a 12% QoQ decrease from 55,000 tons last year.

    • Casting profitability was lower in Q3 FY25, primarily due to higher costs from running two foundries in Solapur but selling only one foundry's quantity.

    • Pig iron EBITDA has compressed to 5-7% currently, down from a peak of 29% during the Ukraine war.

    • The second iron ore mine in Chitradurga is not yet operational due to being in a reserve/wildlife forest, requiring more time and regulatory clearances.

    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    6
    • Pig Iron Production
      1,50,000 tons
    • Casting Production
      35,000 tons
    • Tube Production
      52,465 tons
      YoY+23%
    • Steel Production
      48,800 tons
      QoQ-12%
    • Solar Power Plant Cost
      ₹370 Cr

    9M FY25

    2
    • Casting Sales
      1,00,000 MT
      YoY+9.9%
    • Pig Iron Sales
      YoY+26%

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹500 crores

    M&A

    Oliver

    acquisition · integrated

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Saleable Pig Iron Production
    570,000-600,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    Hot Metal Production
    700,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    Iron Ore Consumption (Own Mines)
    120,000 tons
    Medium
    Volume
    Casting Sales
    140,000 tons
    Medium
    Volume
    Casting Sales
    170,000-175,000 tons
    High
    Volume
    Tube Sales
    200,000 MT
    High
    Growth
    Commercial Vehicle Segment Growth
    20%
    Medium
    Capacity
    Renewable Energy Capacity Addition
    70-80 MW equivalent
    High
    Capacity
    Casting Capacity (Solapur)
    60,000 tons
    Medium
    Capacity
    Casting Capacity (Long-term)
    270,000 MT/annum
    Medium
    Capex
    Renewable Energy Capex
    INR 200 crores
    High
    Capex
    Overall Capex
    INR 500-600 crores
    High
    Savings
    Solar Power Savings
    INR 1 crore/annum per MW
    High
    Savings
    Oxygen Enrichment Savings
    INR 600/ton of hot metal
    High

    Saleable Pig Iron Production

    Next 12 months
    Current9M FY25 sales up 26% YoY
    Target570,000-600,000 tons for FY26

    Why it matters

    Pig iron is a core business segment, and achieving this target is crucial for overall revenue and profitability amidst margin pressures.

    Going forward, we are looking that next 12 months, we should be able to produce hot metal of 7 lakh tons and saleable pig iron should come to about 6 lakh ton or 5,70,000 tons, so which will increase, but there have been some headwinds

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[metric='Saleable Pig Iron Production']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Pig Iron and Steel Margin Pressure

    Major pressure on pig iron and steel margins due to increased input costs and lowest possible prices across regions, compounded by an oversupply problem.Management acknowledged

    high

    Subdued Tractor Industry Demand

    Tractor industry demand was subdued, impacting casting sales volumes in Q3 FY25.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Solapur Casting Plant Underutilization

    Running two foundries in Solapur but selling only one foundry's quantity led to higher costs and lower profitability in the casting segment.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Regulatory Delays for Second Iron Ore Mine

    The second iron ore mine in Chitradurga is located in a reserve/wildlife forest, causing delays in its operationalization and hindering full captive iron ore benefits.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Strengthening US Dollar

    The strengthening dollar puts additional pressure on imported coal costs, despite efforts to reduce blended coal prices.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “No, one of the main reason is we are running 2 foundries in Solapur, whereas selling 1 foundry quantity. And that increases the cost substantially. I think that has been the real cost drainer. Other than that, I don't see any major issue. We have a volume growth ramp-up opportunity of at least another 20,000 tons from the 40,000 level now, another 20,000 possibility in Solapur very quickly, can happen in 2 to 3 quarters, and that can take us to 60,000 ton in Solapur, 1,10,000 in Koppal plus Oliver. So the profitability is mainly because of the higher cost in Solapur right now.”

    Addresses the reason for lower casting profitability and outlines the path to volume and margin improvement in Solapur.

    asked by Nirmam

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance and Market Headwinds

    Kirloskar Ferrous Industries faced a challenging Q3 FY25, with markets generally subdued, particularly for pig iron, which experienced significant margin pressure. Despite this, the company maintained strong production, with liquid pig iron at approximately 150,000 tons and tube production increasing by 23% YoY to 52,465 tons. However, steel production saw a 12% QoQ decline to 48,800 tons. Cumulative 9-month sales for pig iron were up almost 26%, and casting sales reached 1 lakh metric ton, a 10% increase from the previous year.

    02

    Strategic Projects and Cost Reduction Initiatives

    The company made significant progress on strategic projects aimed at cost reduction and operational efficiency. Phase I and II of the solar power plant, totaling 69 MW, were commissioned at a cost of INR 370 crores, with an expected annual saving of INR 1 crore per MW. Operations at Bharat Mines have commenced, increasing the consumption of captive iron ore. Additionally, the oxygen enrichment plant is contributing to savings of approximately INR 600 per ton of hot metal, and efforts are underway to further optimize its utilization.

    03

    Casting Segment Outlook and Capacity Expansion

    The casting segment's profitability was impacted in Q3 FY25 due to higher costs associated with underutilization at the Solapur plant. However, management is optimistic about future growth, targeting 140,000 tons for FY25 and 170,000-175,000 tons for FY26, including contributions from the Oliver acquisition. The company plans to ramp up Solapur's capacity by 20,000 tons in 2-3 quarters, aiming for 60,000 tons, and has a long-term vision to reach 270,000 MT/annum in casting within three years through debottlenecking and machining investments.

    04

    Tube Segment Growth and Capacity Enhancement

    The tubes business, despite a slight 3% decline in Q3 volume sales, is expected to perform much better in Q3 and Q4 compared to the first half of the fiscal year, which was affected by market conditions and ERP implementation. The Baramati manufacturing capacity has been enhanced to 12,500 metric tons per month from 10,000. For FY26, the company projects total tube volumes of 200,000 MT, with 150,000 tons from Baramati and 40,000-45,000 tons from Ahmednagar. Plans for higher diameter tubes are also being considered for the next couple of years.

    05

    Pig Iron and Steel Market Dynamics

    Pig iron and steel margins faced severe pressure due to increased input costs and historically low prices, exacerbated by an industry-wide oversupply. While management does not foresee an immediate major increase in pig iron prices, they anticipate cost benefits from reduced coking coal prices (with a 3-month inventory lag) and increased consumption of captive iron ore. The company's pig iron EBITDA has compressed to 5-7% currently, down from a peak of 29% during the Ukraine war, reflecting the challenging market conditions.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Future Investments

    Kirloskar Ferrous has outlined a significant capex plan of INR 500-600 crores for the next fiscal year (FY26). A substantial portion, INR 200 crores, is allocated for renewable energy expansion, targeting an additional 70-80 MW equivalent capacity. The company is also investing in capacity utilization, cost reduction, and technology upgrades across its segments, including machining and large castings. The Oliver acquisition is set to merge with KFIL in the next financial year, contributing to the company's growth strategy.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.