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    KPI Green Energy

    KPIGREEN
    Power·11 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    KPI Green Energy reported an outstanding Q3 FY25, achieving record-breaking turnover and significant profit growth across both quarterly and nine-month periods. The company's robust order book of 2.86 GW and strategic expansion into new geographies like Rajasthan and Odisha underscore its commitment to accelerating India's green energy transition. Management expressed confidence in maintaining margins and executing projects ahead of schedule, while also clarifying concerns around share pledging and supply chain resilience.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q3 FY25 total revenue reached ₹466.1 crores, marking a 40.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year.

    • Q3 FY25 profit after tax climbed to ₹85.15 crores, up by 68.26% YoY, demonstrating strong operational execution.

    • For the nine-month period, total revenue was ₹1,177.35 crores, a 59.5% increase, surpassing the full-year revenue of the previous fiscal year.

    • Nine-month EBITDA grew to ₹411.44 crores, an impressive 66% increase, and PAT reached ₹221.1 crores, up 86% YoY.

    • The company's installed capacity has grown to over 533 megawatts, supported by a robust order book of 2.86 gigawatts as of January 15, 2025.

    What Changed2

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items7 → 6 (-1)Risks discussed1 → 5 (+4)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Q3

    4
    • Revenue
      ₹466.1 Cr
      YoY+40.6%
    • EBITDA
      ₹144.54 Cr
      YoY+38%
    • PAT
      ₹85.15 Cr
      YoY+68.3%
    • EBITDA Margin
      31.0%

    9M

    4
    • Revenue
      ₹1,177.35 Cr
      YoY+59.5%
    • EBITDA
      ₹411.44 Cr
      YoY+66%
    • PAT
      ₹221.1 Cr
      YoY+86%
    • EBITDA Margin
      34.9%

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    2.86 gigawatts

    as of 2025-01-15

    quantified

    Inflow this qtr

    300 megawatts

    Execution

    Projects like Khavda are progressing ahead of schedule; IPP projects typically have a 2-year gestation but target 12-15 months.

    Composition

    Mix3 projects
    • Coal India Limited (CPP)300 megawatts46.9%
    • Khavda (IPP)240 megawatts37.5%
    • Maharashtra (CPP)100 megawatts15.6%

    Share of order book by project (derived from disclosed amounts)

    "The company has a robust order book and is well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities, with projects often completed ahead of schedule."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    2
    medium confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Revenue Growth
    60%
    High
    Capacity
    Total Participation
    10 gigawatts
    High
    Profitability
    CPP Segment EBITDA Margin
    20%
    High
    Business Mix
    IPP Component of Business
    21-22%
    High
    O&M Revenue
    O&M Revenue per MW per year
    ₹4-5 lakhs
    High
    O&M and Lease Revenue
    O&M and Lease Revenue for 362 MW
    ₹36 crores
    High

    SBI release of pledged shares

    next quarter
    CurrentIn discussion with SBI for release
    TargetProgress on release of pledged shares

    Why it matters

    Resolution of pledging concerns can improve investor sentiment and reduce perceived risk.

    SBI has already shown a positive, and they said that they will start releasing this pledge in a peaceful manner. Slowly, they will start releasing. So that proposal is already in discussion with State Bank of India for the release of the pledge.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.debt.actions[type='repayment']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions

    Management states meticulous planning, contractual safeguards for IPP, and back-to-back tie-ups for CPP mitigate risks.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Anti-provisional duty on glass impacting module prices

    IPP contracts have clauses for price adjustments, and CPP projects use back-to-back tie-ups with manufacturers.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Land acquisition challenges in new geographies

    Management acknowledges challenges but is confident due to past experience, strong team, and existing land bank of over 4,000 acres.Analyst acknowledged

    low

    Impact of US macro-economy and tariff wars

    Management states that as a developer with domestic contracts, they are insulated from international market impacts on manufacturers.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Market rumors regarding share pledging

    Management clarified that pledging is collateral from long ago, not for fund-raising, and SBI is in the process of releasing it.Analyst acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “This pledging is a collateral. We have given a collateral long back, even before the listing of the company... SBI has already shown a positive, and they said that they will start releasing this pledge in a peaceful manner. Slowly, they will start releasing.”

    Addresses market rumors about share pledging, clarifying it's collateral and that SBI is in the process of releasing it, which is a positive signal for investor confidence.

    asked by Kush Pranao

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Financial Performance Highlights

    KPI Green Energy reported a strong Q3 FY25 with total revenue reaching ₹466.1 crores, marking a 40.6% year-on-year increase. The company's EBITDA stood at ₹144.54 crores, reflecting a 38% YoY growth, while profit after tax surged by 68.26% to ₹85.15 crores. This performance underscores the effectiveness of operational execution and strategic financial planning, despite a slight quarter-on-quarter dip in EBITDA margin attributed to seasonality and billing milestones.

    02

    Nine-Month FY25 Financial Performance

    For the nine months ended December 31, 2024, KPI Green Energy achieved a total revenue of ₹1,177.35 crores, representing a 59.5% increase over the previous year's corresponding period. The nine-month EBITDA grew by 66% to ₹411.44 crores, and profit after tax reached ₹221.1 crores, an 86% increase. These figures indicate that the company has already surpassed its full-year financial performance across all key parameters from the previous fiscal year.

    03

    Robust Order Book and Capacity Expansion

    As of January 15, 2025, KPI Green Energy's installed capacity has grown to over 533 megawatts, supported by a strong order book of 2.86 gigawatts. Key projects include a 300-megawatt AC solar PV project for Coal India Limited (valued at ₹1,300 crores), a 240-megawatt DC solar project at Khavda (valued at ₹900 crores), and a 100-megawatt AC solar project in Maharashtra. The company also has approximately 1.3 gigawatts from GUVNL, with a total project value of ₹2,650 crores for Coal India, Khavda, and Aditya Birla projects combined.

    04

    Strategic Expansion into New Geographies

    KPI Green Energy is actively expanding its footprint beyond Gujarat, with strategic MOUs signed with the governments of Rajasthan and Odisha. In Rajasthan, the company aims to create local employment and cater to small and medium-scale industries, with plans for 500-megawatt wind and solar capacity. Similar efforts are underway in Odisha, with a target of 1,500-megawatt solar potential. Management expressed confidence in navigating land acquisition and other challenges in these new states due to their extensive experience and strong team.

    05

    Operational Efficiency and Supply Chain Management

    The company emphasizes meticulous planning and back-to-back tie-ups with module manufacturers to mitigate supply chain risks and price fluctuations. For IPP projects, tender clauses allow for price adjustments based on module cost changes. Management highlighted that their integrated approach, including in-house manufacturing of components like MMS structures and windmill towers through KP Green Engineering, provides a competitive advantage in executing projects within or ahead of timelines.

    06

    IPP Segment Strategy and Profitability

    KPI Green Energy's IPP segment involves investing its own capital to set up plants and sell power, with sufficient order book and tied-up debt capital. The company aims to increase its IPP component from the current 13% to 21-22% going forward, which is expected to help maintain PAT margins. While current IPP realization is around ₹6 per unit, new GUVNL projects are at ₹3 per unit, leading to an average blended rate of ₹4-4.5 per unit, with lower costs ensuring sustained IRR.

    07

    Pledging Clarification and Debt Management

    Management clarified that the existing share pledging is collateral provided long ago to institutions like PFC and SBI, not for fund-raising. The total pledge is around 21-22% of the company's shares, with the loan for the Khavda project being ₹400-500 crores against a pledge amount of ₹3,000-4,000 crores. SBI has indicated a positive response and is in discussions to release the pledges, which is expected to happen gradually.

    08

    Future Growth Outlook and New Verticals (Hydrogen)

    The company is positive about future growth, targeting 10 gigawatts of participation by 2030, aligning with India's net-zero goals. Beyond solar and hybrid projects, KPI Green Energy is exploring new verticals, with a particular focus on green hydrogen. Management indicated plans to set up a smaller prototype hydrogen plant shortly, signaling a strategic move into this emerging sector and promising further surprises for the market.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.