Detailed Narrative
T&D and Oil & Gas Drive Growth Momentum
The T&D business remains the primary growth engine, reporting 25% YoY revenue growth in Q2 FY25. Management highlighted a massive domestic pipeline, with ₹15,000 to ₹20,000 crores of HVDC tenders expected in the next 3-4 months. Simultaneously, the Oil & Gas segment saw a 170% revenue surge, primarily driven by the mobilization and start of execution on the large Saudi Aramco projects, which are expected to peak in FY26.
Water Business Headwinds Impact Guidance
The Water segment faced a 43% revenue decline due to collection delays in two key states, where receivables have been outstanding for over 180 days. This disruption led management to revise its overall FY25 revenue growth guidance from '20% plus' to 'slightly lower'. While three states have seen improved payment traction recently, normalcy across the entire business is not expected for another 2-3 months.
Strategic Asset Monetization and Fundraise
KPIL has signed definitive agreements to divest the Vindhyachal Expressway (VEPL) for an enterprise value of ₹775 crores, which is expected to result in a ₹100 crore gain over equity. To support future growth, the Board approved a ₹1,000 crore QIP. Management justified this by citing the capex-intensive nature of new projects (like Saudi Aramco) and the need for liquidity as milestone-based payments become more common.
Margin Expansion and PBT Focus
Consolidated EBITDA margins reached 8.9%, up 70 bps YoY, as the company executes higher-margin orders from the last two years. Management is shifting focus toward PBT margins, guiding for 4.5% to 5% for FY25. They expect a further 25-50 bps improvement in standalone margins next year, driven by a better project mix and moderating interest costs as a percentage of sales.
HVDC and Metro Pipeline Visibility
KPIL is currently L1 in a large HVDC project (Khavda) worth approximately ₹3,000 crores. The company is also aggressively bidding for metro projects, recently becoming L1 for a 17-km elevated metro in Nagpur. Management believes the metro sector offers attractive risk-adjusted returns due to sensible competition (5-6 players) and stable funding from multilateral agencies like JICA and ADB.