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    KSB

    KSBGood
    Capital Goods·14 Nov 2024
    Management Summary

    KSB reported steady financial performance for the first nine months of 2024, supported by a robust order book of ₹2,400 crores. While the domestic standard business remains a 'bread and butter' segment with higher margins, the company is aggressively expanding into Solar, Nuclear, and Aftermarket (SupremeServ) services. Despite headwinds in exports and delays in nuclear project execution, management remains bullish on achieving a 14-15% top-line CAGR over the next three years.

    Highlights

    8
    • Revenue for 9M 2024 reached ₹1,806.7 crores (₹18,067 million), showing a continuous increasing trend.

    • Profit Before Tax (PBT) for 9M 2024 stood at ₹228.2 crores (₹2,282 million).

    • Total Orders on Hand (OOH) reached approximately ₹2,400 crores, split equally between Nuclear (₹1,200 cr) and Non-Nuclear (₹1,200 cr) segments.

    • Net cash position improved to ₹308 crores as of September 2024.

    • Export revenue share declined to 12% YTD from 16% in the previous year due to geopolitical issues and the Bangladesh crisis.

    • Solar business is expected to contribute approximately ₹120 crores in revenue for the current year.

    • Management targeting a blended EBITDA margin of 14% while pursuing aggressive growth.

    • Renewable energy now covers 71% of the company's total power requirements following the inauguration of a 6.65 MW solar project.

    Concerns

    1
    • Nuclear Execution Delays

    Key financials

    Metrics

    5

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    3
    • Net Cash Position
      ₹308 Cr
    • Order Intake Growth
      9%
      YoY+9%
    • Orders on Hand (Total)
      ₹2,400 Cr

    9M

    2
    • Revenue
      ₹1,806.7 Cr
    • Profit Before Tax
      ₹228.2 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Standard Business
    48% Order Share55% Portfolio Mix
    Valves
    21% Order Share
    Engineered Business
    16% Order Share
    SupremeServ (Aftermarket)
    15% Order Share
    List

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Top-line CAGR
    14-15%
    Medium
    Revenue
    Nuclear Revenue Target
    ₹250 crores
    Medium
    Revenue
    Solar Business Revenue
    ₹120 crores
    High
    Margin
    EBITDA Margin
    14%
    High
    Profitability
    Net Profit Margin
    10-11%
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Export Market Volatility

    Geopolitical issues and the Bangladesh crisis have pressured export margins and volumes.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Nuclear Execution Delays

    GHAB project delays due to site reasons have pushed back invoicing of nuclear pump sets.Both acknowledged

    high

    Margin Dilution from New Segments

    Solar and some engineered projects (like FGD) have lower margins than the core product business, potentially capping blended EBITDA at 14%.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific segment-wise market share numbers
    • Exact timing of upcoming NPCIL tenders

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “I feel very embarrassed in every investor call when I come and tell you those orders on hand will go next quarter, next quarter... it takes two hands to clap.”

    Highlights the execution risk and dependency on government/NPCIL timelines for the high-value nuclear segment.

    asked by Mohit Surana, Monarch Networth

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Nuclear Segment: A Massive Backlog Awaiting Execution

    KSB holds a significant nuclear order book of ₹1,200 crores, representing 50% of its total orders on hand. While revenue recognition has been stalled by site-related delays at the GHAB project, management expects to invoice at least two pump sets in the latter half of next year. The company is targeting ₹250 crores in nuclear revenue for the next fiscal year, bolstered by the Kudankulam order of ₹267 crores booked last year.

    02

    Solar Pivot and Working Capital Challenges

    The solar pump business is emerging as a key growth pillar, with an expected revenue of ₹120 crores this year. However, this segment has introduced higher working capital intensity, with receivables from Maharashtra state entities rising to ₹80-85 crores. Management attributes this to a steep learning curve in documentation and certification processes, which they expect to normalize by year-end.

    03

    Strategic Focus on SupremeServ and Aftermarket

    The company is aggressively scaling its service arm, SupremeServ, which currently accounts for 15% of order intake. By localizing mechanical seals (80% localized for standard pumps) and setting up a central warehouse in Chinchwad, KSB aims to increase the service business share to 15-20% of total revenue. This segment is critical for maintaining blended margins as the company enters lower-margin EPC-heavy segments.

    04

    Export Reorientation Amid Geopolitical Headwinds

    Exports faced significant pressure, dropping to 12% of revenue share due to the crisis in Bangladesh and broader geopolitical tensions. In response, KSB is pivoting its export strategy toward North America (USA) and the Middle East (Saudi Arabia). The company is also localizing production in semi-manufacturing locations like Indonesia and Thailand to meet 40-50% local value addition requirements.

    05

    Margin Management and Growth Trade-offs

    Management is targeting a stable EBITDA margin of 14%, a figure some analysts viewed as conservative. Rajeev Jain clarified that while the core standard business offers higher margins, aggressive growth in segments like Solar and Firefighting pump sets brings lower margins. The 14% target is a blended goal intended to balance high-volume growth with sustainable profitability.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.