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    LMW

    LMWMixed
    Capital Goods·29 Jan 2025
    Management Summary

    LMW is navigating one of the longest slowdowns in the textile machinery sector, with 9M revenues and profits declining sharply due to weak domestic and global demand. While the Textile Machinery Division is currently loss-making, the company is pivoting towards growth in the Machine Tool and Advanced Technology segments. Management is banking on the upcoming launch of the Auto Coner and increased capacity utilization in non-textile segments to drive recovery.

    Highlights

    8
    • 9M FY25 Revenue stood at ₹2,120 crores, a significant 41.8% decline from ₹3,645 crores YoY.

    • 9M FY25 Standalone Profit dropped 76.5% to ₹92.5 crores compared to ₹393 crores in the previous year.

    • Textile Machinery Division (TMD) revenue fell 53.7% YoY in 9M FY25 to ₹1,347 crores, posting a loss of ₹22 crores.

    • Active order book for TMD remains at ₹2,300 crores out of a total order book of ₹3,100 crores.

    • Advanced Technology Center (ATC) maintains a 90% export mix with an order book of ₹400 crores over 2.5 years.

    • Machine Tool Division (MTD) revenue for 9M FY25 was ₹728 crores, with the auto segment contributing 45%.

    • Management announced the limited launch of the 'Auto Coner' product in Q4 FY25, targeting a ₹600-1,500 crore market.

    • Capacity utilization in the textile machinery and foundry divisions remains below 50%, leading to a 5-day work week.

    Concerns

    1
    • Prolonged Textile Slowdown

    What Changed1

    vs Q1 FY26

    Tone shiftNeutral → Mixed

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Revenue₹2,120 Cr-41.8%YoY
    2. 02Standalone Profit₹92.5 Cr-76.5%YoY
    3. 03Consolidated Revenue₹2,300 Cr-28.9%YoY
    4. 04Consolidated Profit₹90 Cr-77.2%YoY
    5. 05TMD Revenue₹1,347 Cr-53.7%YoY

    Segment breakdown

    • Textile Machinery Division (TMD)₹1,347 Cr61.3%
    • Machine Tool Division & Foundry₹728 Cr33.1%
    • Advanced Technology Center (ATC)₹123 Cr5.6%
    Donut· Share of Revenue (9M)

    Guidance & targets

    3
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    ATC Turnover Target
    300-400 crores
    Medium
    Capacity
    MTD Revenue Potential
    1200 crores
    High
    Market Share
    Auto Coner Market Size (Weak Market)
    600-700 crores
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Prolonged Textile Slowdown

    Management noted this is perhaps the longest slowdown they have experienced, lasting over 1.5 years.Management acknowledged

    high

    Currency Depreciation and Import Costs

    Rupee depreciation impacts the cost of imported components for the Machine Tool Division, pressuring margins.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Issues in Export Markets

    Foreign currency issues in Bangladesh and high interest rates in Turkey are delaying order execution.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Specific growth rates of listed peers in the MTD segment.
    • Direct confirmation of status with specific global OEMs like Samsung.

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “It will start rolling out this quarter. Few Machines will be rolled out to customers. Yes.”

    The Auto Coner is a critical new product that could significantly boost TMD revenue once the market recovers.

    asked by Manish Goyal

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Textile Machinery Division Faces Historic Headwinds

    The TMD segment, LMW's core business, is struggling with a 53.7% YoY revenue decline in 9M FY25, reaching ₹1,347 crores. This has resulted in a segment loss of ₹22 crores compared to a ₹270 crore profit in the previous year. Management attributes this to the 'longest slowdown' in history, driven by high cotton prices and poor yarn spreads, forcing the division to operate on a 5-day work week with sub-50% capacity utilization.

    02

    Machine Tool Division as a Growth Lever

    The Machine Tool Division (MTD) and Foundry reported 9M revenue of ₹728 crores. While the auto segment remains a major contributor at 45%, management is aggressively targeting the Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) segment. They have developed specific machines (JD series) for the EMS ecosystem and believe the existing MTD capacity can support up to ₹1,200 crores in annual revenue, representing significant headroom for growth.

    03

    Strategic Pivot in Advanced Technology Center (ATC)

    LMW has restructured its ATC division to focus on international aerospace and defence OEMs, with exports now accounting for 90% of the business. The division reported ₹123 crores in revenue for 9M FY25 and holds an order book of approximately ₹400 crores. Management aims to scale this to ₹300-400 crores annually by deepening relationships with existing large OEMs rather than chasing new ones, focusing on high-value-add components like engine parts and composites.

    04

    Auto Coner Launch to Address Market Gap

    A key highlight of the call was the announcement of the 'Auto Coner' launch in Q4 FY25. Management estimates the annual market size for this product at ₹600-700 crores even in a weak market, potentially doubling to ₹1,200-1,500 crores in a healthy cycle. This product is expected to be a major revenue driver for the Textile Machinery Division once it moves beyond the initial limited launch phase.

    05

    Global Macro Pressures Delaying Order Execution

    LMW's export performance is being hampered by macroeconomic issues in key markets. Bangladesh is facing foreign currency shortages, while Turkey's high interest rates (where bank deposits offer higher returns than industrial investments) are discouraging capital expenditure by textile mills. These factors have led to order push-outs, with management noting a 15-20% uncertainty in the execution of the current order book.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.