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    Macrotech Devel.

    LODHANeutral
    Realty·31 Oct 2025
    Management Summary

    Lodha delivered exceptional Q2 FY26 performance with the best ever second quarter presales of INR 45.7 billion, maintaining strong momentum with 7 consecutive quarters above INR 40 billion. The company's data center opportunity at Palava emerged as a transformational growth driver with land values appreciating to INR 30 crores per acre and potential for massive value creation through powered shell development. Despite higher JDA contribution (50% vs targeted 40%), embedded margins remained robust at 32%. The successful expansion in Pune and Bangalore continues with expected 30%+ contribution to annual presales, while NCR entry is planned for 2026. Infrastructure connectivity at Palava approaches completion, expected to drive significant premium realization starting next fiscal.

    Highlights

    7
    • Best ever Q2 presales of INR 45.7 billion, up 7% YoY with 7 consecutive quarters above INR 40 billion

    • H1 presales of INR 90 billion achieving 43% of FY26 guidance, on track for INR 210 billion

    • Strong embedded EBITDA margin of 32% despite 50% JDA contribution vs targeted 40%

    • Pro forma PAT of INR 9.3 billion with 20.3% margin and ~20% ROE

    • Data center opportunity scaling rapidly with land values moving to INR 30 crores per acre

    • Potential INR 2,500 crores annualized PAT from 250 MW powered shell development

    • Strong expansion momentum in Pune and Bangalore, expecting 30%+ contribution this year

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY26

    Tone shiftConfident and optimistic with strategic focus on profitable growth → Highly confident with transformational data center visionGuidance items6 → 5 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    9

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    8
    • H1 Presales
      ₹9,000 Cr
      YoY+12%
    • Revenue from Operations
      ₹3,800 Cr
      YoY+45%
    • Adjusted EBITDA
      ₹1,300 Cr
      YoY+37%
    • PAT
      ₹800 Cr
      YoY+87%
    • Pro Forma PAT
      ₹930 Cr
      YoY+20%

    Q2

    1
    • Presales
      ₹4,570 Cr
      YoY+7.0%

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Presales
    FY26 Presales
    INR 210 billion
    High
    Profitability
    ROE
    20%
    High
    Pricing
    Price Growth
    5-6%
    High
    Data Center Land Value
    Land Appreciation
    INR 30 crores per acre
    High
    Data Center Powered Shell
    Potential Annual PAT
    INR 2,500 crores from 250 MW
    Medium

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Higher JDA contribution impacting margins

    JDA projects carry ~27% embedded margins vs 37-38% for owned land but strategy remains flexibleOther acknowledged

    medium

    Launch concentration in H2 due to regulatory delays

    INR 120 billion launches planned in H2 vs more balanced approach preferredOther acknowledged

    medium

    Data center capex requirements and execution complexity

    Management seeking AI industry partners for expertise while evaluating funding strategiesOther acknowledged

    medium

    Palava premium positioning dependent on infrastructure completion

    Premium product launches already in market but full benefit expected next fiscalOther acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    5

    “we don't yet have a view on what would be the nature of doing the powered shell, would that only be on a BTS basis or would that be on a speculative basis or perhaps a combination of both”

    Management still developing comprehensive data center business plan, to be shared next quarter

    asked by Puneet (HSBC)

    2 min read4 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Excellence with Strong Financial Performance

    Lodha delivered its best ever Q2 performance with presales of INR 45.7 billion, marking the 7th consecutive quarter above INR 40 billion and achieving 7% YoY growth despite a challenging market environment. The H1 presales of INR 90 billion represent 43% of the full-year guidance, keeping the company well on track for INR 210 billion annual target. Non-launch weekly sales improved to INR 3 billion from lower levels at year-start, demonstrating strong brand momentum and customer walk-ins without promotional activities. The company maintained robust embedded EBITDA margins of 32% despite higher JDA contribution (50% vs targeted 40%), showcasing business model resilience.

    02

    Data Center Opportunity - A Transformational Growth Engine

    The data center opportunity at Palava emerged as a game-changing value creator with land values appreciating to INR 30 crores per acre (from INR 21 crores previously) following the Maharashtra Green DC Policy MOU. With 400 acres earmarked and 3 GW power capacity available, the total land value potential reaches INR 100 billion. The powered shell opportunity presents massive scale with potential INR 2,500 crores annualized PAT from just 250 MW development. AWS and STT anchor commitments validate the infrastructure quality, while competitive advantages include $6-7 million per MW build costs (vs $10-12 million globally), $0.07-0.08 per kWh power costs, and PUE of 1.2-1.3. Management is developing comprehensive business plans for this opportunity.

    03

    Geographic Expansion Success and NCR Entry Strategy

    The geographic diversification strategy continues to deliver exceptional results with Pune and Bangalore expected to contribute over 30% of annual presales compared to just 3% at IPO 4.5 years ago. Pune team has scaled meaningfully from INR 200 crores in FY21 to INR 2,500 crores in FY25, with H1 FY26 already at INR 1,400 crores, positioning to become the largest developer in Pune within 2 years. The systematic pilot-then-scale approach proved successful in Bangalore and is now being replicated for NCR entry in 2026, likely starting with Gurugram. This expansion strategy provides a long runway for sustained growth while maintaining the 20% annual growth and 20% ROE targets.

    04

    Infrastructure-Led Palava Transformation and Premium Positioning

    Palava's transformation from lower mid-income to premium location is progressing with key infrastructure nearing completion. The Palava-Airoli-Mulund freeway will be operational next quarter, providing access to prices less than half of Airoli while connecting to major job hubs within 30-minute driving distance. The bullet train connectivity to BKC (operational 2028-29) will make Palava just 10 minutes from Mumbai's financial district. Premium products including Golf View apartments at ~$1 million each and villa projects are already launched and under construction. Management expects significant sales and margin expansion starting next fiscal as infrastructure benefits materialize, with Palava and Upper Thane targeting 3.5% market share of the INR 235,000 crores Mumbai housing market by end of decade.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.