Skip to content

    Mahanagar Gas Limited

    MGL
    Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels·9 Feb 2026
    Management Summary

    Mahanagar Gas reported a strong Q3 FY26 with overall sales volume growing 7.19% YoY to 4.62 MMSCMD, and sequential improvements in EBITDA and PAT. The company declared an interim dividend of INR 12 per share. While infrastructure expansion continues, Mumbai's CNG growth faces headwinds from BEST fleet reduction and land availability. Management is actively managing gas sourcing to optimize costs amidst Henry Hub volatility and reassessing its battery cell project due to market changes.

    Highlights

    5
    • Overall average sales volume for Q3 FY26 increased by 7.19% YoY to 4.62 MMSCMD, driven by strong growth across all segments.

    • EBITDA from operations for Q3 FY26 was INR 352 crores, up from INR 338 crores in the previous quarter, indicating improved profitability.

    • Net profit after tax for Q3 FY26 rose to INR 202 crores, compared to INR 193 crores in the previous quarter, showing sequential earnings improvement.

    • The Board approved an interim dividend of 120% (INR 12 per equity share), reflecting confidence in financial performance.

    • MGL continues to expand its infrastructure, connecting 1.24 lakh domestic households in Q3, laying 120.3 km of pipeline, and adding 6 CNG stations, bringing the total to 491 stations.

    Concerns

    3
    • CNG volume growth in Mumbai is muted due to the BEST CNG fleet reduction and challenges in land availability for new stations, with BEST buses down from 3,000 to a few hundred, resulting in a loss of about 1 lakh kgs per day.

    • Henry Hub prices have shown sharp volatility, and while management has strategies to mitigate, it remains a key factor impacting margins.

    • The battery cell manufacturing project is undergoing reassessment due to significant declines in battery prices, leading to a delay in finalizing contractual arrangements.

    What Changed3

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items6 → 3 (-3)Risks discussed5 → 4 (-1)Q&A highlights8 → 6 (-2)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    10

    Periods

    2

    Q3

    6
    • Overall Sales Volume
      4.62 MMSCMD
      YoY+7.2%QoQ+0.6%
    • CNG Sales Volume
      3.281 MMSCMD
      YoY+5.9%
    • Domestic PNG Sales Volume
      0.604 MMSCMD
      YoY+9.0%
    • Industrial & Commercial Sales Volume
      0.735 MMSCMD
      YoY+11.6%
    • EBITDA
      ₹352 Cr
      QoQ+4.1%

    9M

    4
    • Average Gas Sales
      4.556 MMSCMD
      YoY+9.0%
    • EBITDA
      ₹1,191 Cr
    • Net PAT
      ₹715 Cr
    • EBITDA per SCM
      ₹9.5

    Segment breakdown

    Mumbai (GA-1)
    50% Volume Share
    GA-2
    45% Volume Share
    Raigarh (GA-3)
    0.3 MMSCMD Volume7.0% Volume Share
    Unison Acquired Areas (UEPL)
    0.283 MMSCMD Volume (Q3)0.194 MMSCMD Volume (Q3 Last Year)7.0% Volume Share
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹1,100 crores

    Dividend

    ₹12/share (interim)

    Guidance & targets

    3
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Overall Volume Growth
    double-digit number
    Medium
    Profitability
    EBITDA per SCM
    INR 8 to INR 8.5
    Medium
    Capex
    Total Capex
    INR 1,200 crores
    High

    Q4 FY26 Overall Volume Growth

    next quarter (Q4 FY26)
    Current7.19% YoY in Q3 FY26
    Targetdouble-digit number

    Why it matters

    To assess if MGL can achieve its revised volume growth target for the full fiscal year.

    Ashu Shinghal: "...we are expecting that Q4 will be slightly better, so we may touch around double-digit number."

    How to verify

    key_financials.metrics[label='Overall Sales Volume (Q3)']

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Henry Hub price volatility

    Sharp volatility in Henry Hub prices impacts gas sourcing costs, though MGL uses sourcing flexibility to mitigate.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Muted CNG growth in Mumbai

    Reduction in BEST CNG fleet and land availability issues are hindering CNG volume growth in the core Mumbai market.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Battery cell project viability

    Significant decline in battery prices has led to a reassessment of the project's contractual arrangements and potential delays.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Geopolitical dynamics impacting gas prices

    Geopolitical events can cause gas prices to fluctuate, impacting sourcing costs, though MGL aims for a diversified portfolio.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    6

    “Rajesh Patel: "So we tried taking as less as possible Henry Hub and replaced it either HPHT or spot. However, if you look at the average Henry Hub Index and the actual cost of Henry Hub, compared to previous quarter has hardly gone up by around $0.14. As against that, if you see APM, since Brent was lower, has seen a savings of almost $0.20.”

    Analyst questioned how MGL managed to improve margins despite rising Henry Hub prices, leading to management explaining their gas sourcing optimization strategy.

    asked by Probal Sen

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY26 Operational Performance and Growth Drivers

    Mahanagar Gas reported an overall average sales volume of 4.62 MMSCMD in Q3 FY26, marking a 7.19% year-on-year increase from 4.31 MMSCMD. This growth was broad-based, with CNG volumes rising by 5.92% to 3.281 MMSCMD, domestic PNG by 9.04% to 0.604 MMSCMD, and industrial and commercial sales by 11.63% to 0.735 MMSCMD. For the nine months ended December 31, 2025, average gas sales stood at 4.556 MMSCMD, an 8.97% increase over the corresponding period last year.

    02

    Infrastructure Expansion and Customer Additions

    In Q3 FY26, MGL continued its infrastructure build-out, connecting 124,908 domestic households, bringing the total to approximately 3.07 million. The company laid 120.3 kilometers of steel and PE pipeline, expanding its network to over 8,182 kilometers. Six new CNG stations were added, totaling 491 stations as of December 31, 2025. Additionally, 337 industrial and commercial customers were acquired, increasing the total to 5,618, and 32,315 CNG vehicles were registered, bringing the total to over 1.25 million in MGL's geographies.

    03

    Profitability and Margin Management

    EBITDA from operations for Q3 FY26 was INR 352 crores, an increase from INR 338 crores in the previous quarter. Net profit after tax also improved to INR 202 crores from INR 193 crores sequentially. Management noted that the overall company EBITDA per SCM increased by approximately INR 0.30, benefiting from a price increase in September and optimized gas sourcing. For the nine months, EBITDA was INR 1,191 crores and net PAT was INR 715 crores, with EBITDA per SCM at INR 9.5.

    04

    Gas Sourcing Strategy and Henry Hub Volatility

    MGL actively manages its gas sourcing mix to mitigate the impact of Henry Hub (HH) price volatility. In Q3, the company reduced its reliance on HH-linked contracts, replacing them with HPHT or spot purchases. While the average HH Index increased by about $0.14, savings from lower Brent prices (around $0.20) for APM and NWG contracts helped offset this. MGL maintains flexibility to adjust drawdown from contracts and aims to postpone costlier gas intake when indices are high, with a long-term strategy of a diversified portfolio including Brent-linked contracts.

    05

    Mumbai CNG Market Challenges and Future Expansion

    CNG growth in Mumbai remains muted due to two primary factors: the reduction in the BEST CNG bus fleet (down from 3,000 to a few hundred, resulting in a loss of about 1 lakh kgs per day) and challenges in securing land for new CNG stations. To counter this, MGL is focusing on large-format CNG stations. A major station in Sion/Wadala with 60 filling points is planned, with the first phase expected by April/May. Two large stations are also planned for South Mumbai on Bombay Port Trust land, with one opening in a couple of months, and another in Goregaon on Western Express Highway within 1-1.5 years.

    06

    Zonal Unified Tariffs Impact

    The implementation of zonal unified tariffs from January 1, 2026, is expected to shift MGL's gas sourcing cost structure. Previously, 70% of gas was in Zone 1 and 30% in Zone 2. With the new system, MGL anticipates that at least 90% or more of its weighted average tariff will fall under Zone 1, with less than 10% under Zone 2, especially for industrial and commercial segments. The transportation cost per SCM may marginally increase by INR 0.10 to INR 0.20 under this new scenario.

    07

    Battery Cell Manufacturing Project

    MGL's battery cell manufacturing project, for which land is secured and technology is available, is currently under reassessment. Significant declines in global battery prices, particularly for cathode materials, have led the company to put the finalization of contractual arrangements on hold for a few months. MGL is exploring strategic partnerships to mitigate risks and ensure the project's viability under evolving market conditions. The Board had previously approved INR 380 crores for this project over two phases, to be spent over 12-18 months.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.