Skip to content

    NHPC Ltd

    NHPC
    Power·21 May 2025
    Management Summary

    NHPC reported a mixed financial performance for FY25, with a 17% decline in PAT primarily due to lower generation from the Teesta-V shutdown and higher employee costs. However, Q4 FY25 saw a strong PAT growth of 29% YoY, aided by one-off reversals and increased capacity charges. The company achieved significant operational milestones with the full commissioning of Parbati-II (800 MW) and 107 MW of solar capacity, while also making substantial progress on its large hydro project pipeline, including Subansiri Lower.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 FY25 PAT increased by 29% YoY to ₹894 crores, driven by a 25% YoY revenue growth.

    • All 4 units of Parbati-II Hydro Electric Project (800 MW) became commercially operational in April 2025, adding significant hydro capacity.

    • 107 MW out of 300 MW Bikaner Solar Power Plant commissioned, diversifying the energy portfolio.

    • Subansiri Lower Hydro Electric Project (2000 MW) achieved 96% physical progress, with 3 units expected to be commissioned very shortly.

    • NHDC (subsidiary) reported a 24.6% YoY increase in generation to 5,575 million units and a 10.4% YoY revenue growth to ₹1,401 crores.

    Concerns

    5
    • FY25 PAT declined by 17% YoY to ₹3,084 crores.

    • FY25 generation decreased by 9% YoY to 19,862 million units, primarily due to the complete shutdown of Teesta-V Power Station.

    • FY25 Plant Availability Factor (PAF) was 73.94%, down 4% from 77.60% in the previous year.

    • Approximately ₹400 Crore PBT loss incurred from Teesta-V, TLDP-III, and TLDP-IV projects due to flash floods.

    • Employee Benefit Expenses for FY25 increased by ₹354 Crore due to provision for pay anomaly arrears.

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY26

    Guidance items14 → 26 (+12)Risks discussed4 → 5 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    8

    Periods

    2

    Q4 FY25

    4
    • Revenue from Operation
      ₹2,059 Cr
      YoY+24.9%
    • PAT
      ₹894 Cr
      YoY+29.0%
    • Generation
      2,170 Mn
      YoY-5.8%
    • Plant Availability Factor
      58.6%

    FY25

    4
    • Revenue from Operation
      ₹8,994 Cr
      YoY+7.1%
    • PAT
      ₹3,084 Cr
      YoY-17.2%
    • Generation
      19,862 Mn
      YoY-8.8%
    • Plant Availability Factor
      73.9%

    Segment breakdown

    NHDC (Subsidiary)
    5,575 Mn Generation (FY25)₹1,401 Cr Revenue from Operation (FY25)₹837 Cr PAT (FY25)
    List

    Order Book

    high confidence

    Total Value

    ₹ 97,996 crores

    as of 2025-03-31

    quantified

    Execution

    Various projects with completion timelines ranging from 2025 to 2032.

    Composition

    Mix2 project types
    • Hydro Power99.1%
    • Solar Power0.9%

    Share of order book by project type

    Pipeline

    other

    DPRs under preparation/submission for multiple Pumped Storage Projects (PSPs) and other hydro projects like Uri-I Stage-II (240 MW), Dulhasti Stage-II (260 MW), Sawalkot (1856 MW), Kirthai- II (820 MW), Teesta-IV (520 MW), Subansiri Middle (1720 MW), Subansiri Upper (1605 MW).

    "NHPC has a robust pipeline of under-construction and planned hydro and solar projects, with significant capacity additions expected in the coming years, including major projects like Subansiri Lower and Dibang."

    Source:
    Prepared remarks

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹11,762 crores

    Dividend

    ₹0.51/share (final)

    M&A

    Lanco Teesta Hydro Power Limited (LTHPL)

    merger · closed

    M&A

    Jal Power Corporation Limited (JPCL)

    merger · pending regulatory

    Guidance & targets

    26
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    Subansiri Lower (2000 MW) Commissioning
    3 units
    High
    Capacity
    Subansiri Lower (2000 MW) Commissioning
    5 units
    High
    Capacity
    Subansiri Lower (2000 MW) Commissioning
    all units
    High
    Capacity
    Bikaner Solar Power Plant (300 MW) Full Commissioning
    full 300 MW
    High
    Revenue
    Subansiri Lower Annual Revenue
    ₹4,500 Crore
    High
    Revenue
    Parbati-II Annual Revenue
    ₹2,000 Crore
    High
    Project Completion
    Dibang Multipurpose Project (2880 MW) Completion
    February 2032
    High
    Project Completion
    Teesta-VI Hydro Electric Project (500 MW) Commissioning
    December 2027
    High
    Project Completion
    Rangit-IV Hydro Electric Project (120 MW) Commissioning
    December 2025
    High
    Project Completion
    Ratle Hydro Electric Project (850 MW) Commissioning
    November 2028
    High
    Project Completion
    Pakaldul Hydro Electric Project (1000 MW) Commissioning
    September 2026
    High
    Project Completion
    Kiru HE Project (624 MW) Commissioning
    September 2026
    High
    Project Completion
    Kwar Hydro Electric Project (540 MW) Commissioning
    December 2027
    High
    Project Completion
    Khavda Solar Stage-3 (200 MW) Commissioning
    March 2026
    High
    Tariff
    Dibang Multipurpose Project Levelized Tariff
    ₹4.46 per unit
    High
    Tariff
    Ratle Hydro Electric Project Levelized Tariff
    ₹3.92 per unit
    High
    Tariff
    Kiru HE Project Levelized Tariff
    ₹5.68 per unit
    High
    Tariff
    Kwar Hydro Electric Project Levelized Tariff
    ₹4.44 per unit
    High
    Tariff
    Khavda Solar Stage-3 (200 MW) Tariff
    ₹2.66 per unit
    High
    Clearances
    Subansiri Middle (1720 MW) & Upper (1605 MW) Clearances
    all clearances
    High
    Investment Approval
    Subansiri Middle & Upper Investment Approval
    investment approval from GoI
    High
    Contract Awards
    Dibang Project Remaining 2 Contract Packages
    awarded
    High
    Tenders
    Uri-I Stage-II (240 MW) Hydro-mechanical & Electro-mechanical Tenders
    floated
    High
    Tenders
    Dulhasti Stage-II (260 MW) Civil Works Tender
    floated
    High
    Project Award
    Indira Sagar Omkareshwar PSP (640 MW) Award
    awarded
    High
    Regulated Equity
    Total Regulated Equity
    ₹18,000 Crore
    High

    Subansiri Lower Commissioning (3 units)

    June 2025
    CurrentDry commissioning of Unit 1 & 2 completed, Unit 3 in progress.
    Target3 units commercially operational.

    Why it matters

    Verification of this major capacity addition is crucial for future revenue and operational performance.

    The commissioning of 3 units is expected very shortly.

    How to verify

    guidance_and_targets[metric='Subansiri Lower (2000 MW) Commissioning'].target_value

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Teesta-V Power Station Shutdown

    Complete shutdown of Teesta-V due to flash floods in October 2023, resulting in a 9% drop in FY25 generation and ~₹400 Crore PBT loss from Teesta basin projects. Restoration expected by January 2026.Management acknowledged

    high

    Lower Water Availability

    Contributed to a 4% decline in FY25 Plant Availability Factor (PAF) to 73.94%.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Increased Employee Benefit Expenses

    FY25 expenses increased by ₹354 Crore due to provision for pay anomaly arrears.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of Arbitration Cases on Finance Cost

    FY25 finance cost increased by ₹421 Crore primarily due to interest on arbitration and court cases, though partly offset by unbilled revenue recognition.Management acknowledged

    medium

    MAT Credit Non-recognition

    FY25 tax expenses increased significantly as no MAT Credit was recognized, unlike the previous year (₹529 Crore recognized).Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “So, the quarterly number of Rs. 100 Crore is entirely on account of the reversal of Rs. 110 Crore on account of interest on arbitration, which has been reversed in Q4 itself... Similar kind of adjustment if you do at yearly number like Rs. 200 Crore decline in PBT, if you refer our note #5 and note #6 of our financial result, you will find that there is impact of Rs.100 Crore in pay anomaly which has impacted our PBT and Rs. 26 Crore interest on arbitration. So, Rs. 126 Crore impact is there on account of these two numbers and Rs. 100 Crore decline is there in energy charges.”

    Clarified the specific one-off and operational factors contributing to the decline in full-year and quarterly profitability, providing numerical breakdowns.

    asked by Mohit Kumar, ICICI Securities

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    FY25 Financial Performance and Key Drivers

    NHPC reported a 7% increase in FY25 revenue from operations, reaching ₹8,994 crores, compared to ₹8,397 crores in the previous year. However, Profit After Tax (PAT) for FY25 declined by 17% to ₹3,084 crores from ₹3,722 crores. This decline was primarily driven by an 8.8% reduction in generation to 19,862 million units and a 4% drop in Plant Availability Factor to 73.94%, largely due to the complete shutdown of Teesta-V Power Station. Additionally, employee benefit expenses rose significantly by ₹354 crores due to pay anomaly arrears.

    02

    Q4 FY25 Performance and One-off Impacts

    Q4 FY25 demonstrated a strong rebound, with revenue from operations increasing by 25% to ₹2,059 crores and PAT growing by 29% to ₹894 crores. This quarterly performance was significantly influenced by a ₹337 crore reversal of water cess in Himachal Pradesh and Sikkim, alongside an increase in capacity charges. Finance costs in Q4 were negative ₹30 crores, benefiting from a ₹110 crore reversal of interest on arbitration cases that were capitalized during the quarter.

    03

    Major Project Commissioning and Progress

    A significant achievement for NHPC was the full commercial operation of all four units of the 800 MW Parbati-II Hydro Electric Project in April 2025, making it the company's largest operational hydro station. The company also commissioned 107 MW of solar capacity from its 300 MW Bikaner project. The 2000 MW Subansiri Lower Hydro Electric Project has reached 96% physical completion, with 3 units expected to be commissioned very shortly (by June 2025) and 5 units in the current financial year, projected to generate approximately ₹4,500 crores in annual revenue upon full commissioning.

    04

    Extensive Project Pipeline and Diversification Efforts

    NHPC is actively advancing a substantial project pipeline, including the 2880 MW Dibang Multipurpose Project, estimated at ₹31,876 crores with a scheduled completion by February 2032. The company is also progressing on several projects under Chenab Valley Power Projects Limited, totaling over 2000 MW. Diversification into solar energy continues with the award of a 200 MW project in Khavda, Gujarat, costing ₹822 crores, expected to be commissioned by March 2026. Furthermore, NHPC is exploring numerous Pumped Storage Projects across various states, with DPRs under preparation for projects like Indira Sagar Omkareshwar (640 MW).

    05

    Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    For FY25, NHPC incurred a consolidated CAPEX of ₹11,596 crores, close to its target of ₹11,762 crores. The Board recommended a final dividend of 5.10% (51 paisa per share), bringing the total dividend for FY25 to 19.10% (₹1.91 per share). The company's total regulated equity is projected to reach approximately ₹18,000 crores in the current financial year, incorporating the capitalization of the Parbati-II project.

    06

    Challenges in Teesta Basin and Recovery Outlook

    The flash floods in the Teesta Basin in October 2023 led to the complete shutdown of the Teesta-V Power Station, resulting in an estimated PBT loss of approximately ₹400 crores from the Teesta-V, TLDP-III, and TLDP-IV projects. Restoration works at Teesta-V are progressing well and are anticipated to be completed by January 2026, aiming to restore the lost generation capacity and profitability from the region.

    07

    Strategic Expansion in Indus River Basin

    In light of developments concerning the Indus Water Treaty, NHPC is strategically accelerating new projects in the Indus River basin. Tenders for civil works for Uri-I Stage-II (240 MW) and Dulhasti Stage-II (260 MW) are slated to be floated by the end of May 2025. Additionally, approvals for the 1856 MW Sawalkot Project are progressing rapidly, with tenders expected to be floated soon, signaling a significant expansion in this region.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.