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    Rain Industries Limited

    RAIN
    Chemicals·8 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Rain Industries reported a mixed Q1 2025, with consolidated revenue growing 2.43% YoY to 37.46 billion Rupees and Adjusted EBITDA improving to 4.34 billion Rupees. The Carbon segment was a key driver of growth, benefiting from strategic initiatives and favorable market dynamics. However, the Advanced Materials and Cement segments faced significant headwinds from raw material costs, volume declines, and market competition. The company is focused on improving its net debt to EBITDA ratio from 4.5x and leveraging new investments in battery materials for future growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated net revenue increased to 37.46 billion Rupees in Q1 2025 from 36.57 billion Rupees in Q1 2024, representing a 2.43% YoY growth.

    • Adjusted EBITDA improved to 4.34 billion Rupees in Q1 2025, exceeding Q1 2024 performance and showing a slight improvement from Q4 2024.

    • Carbon segment revenue increased by 10.8% YoY, reaching 27.34 billion Rupees, and its Adjusted EBITDA increased by 1.63 billion Rupees YoY.

    • The reintroduction of non-Indian CPC into India after a six-year gap is expected to enhance competitive supply and support future growth.

    • India's cement industry is projected to grow by approximately 8% in 2025, with non-residential construction starts expected to grow by 3.6%, offering a positive outlook for the segment.

    Concerns

    5
    • Advanced Materials segment revenue decreased by 11.9% YoY to 7.24 billion Rupees, with Adjusted EBITDA declining by 432 million Rupees YoY.

    • Cement segment revenue declined by 21.5% YoY, driven by a 13.4% fall in volumes and a 9.4% reduction in realizations, leading to a 108 million Rupees downturn in Adjusted EBITDA.

    • The net debt to EBITDA ratio stood at 4.5x, which is higher than the company's anticipated target of 3.0x.

    • Persistent challenges with raw material costs continue to impact unit margins across segments, limiting the ability to fully regain expected earnings.

    • Market competition and supply constraints in certain segments have exerted pressure on both volume and margins.

    What Changed3

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items4 → 7 (+3)Risks discussed5 → 6 (+1)Q&A highlights3 → 0 (-3)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    02 metrics
    1. 01Consolidated Net Revenue$37.46B+2.4%YoY
    2. 02Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA$4.34B

    Segment breakdown

    Carbon Segment
    27.34 billion Rupees Revenue1.63 billion Rupees Adjusted EBITDA Increase-7.0% CPC Sales Volumes-4% Overall Volumes-2% Other Carbon Products Volumes9% Other Carbon Products Prices-5% Coal Tar Pitch Blended Realisation
    Advanced Materials Segment
    7.24 billion Rupees Revenue432 Mn Adjusted EBITDA Decrease-13% Segment Volumes1.3% Average Blended Realisation
    Cement Segment
    21.5% Revenue Decline0.79 billion Rupees Revenue Reduction108 Mn Adjusted EBITDA Downturn13.4% Volumes Fall9.4% Realisations Reduction
    List

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    USD 14 million

    Debt

    Gross USD 989 million · Net USD 854 million · 4.5x EBITDA

    Maturity: Next major long-term debt repayments scheduled to start in October 2028.

    Liquidity

    Cash USD 120 million · Undrawn USD 158 million

    Total liquidity of 278 million US dollars.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Debt
    Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio
    3.0x
    Medium
    Volume
    CPC Sales Volumes
    reasonable growth
    Medium
    Volume
    Cement Demand Growth
    8%
    High
    Volume
    Non-residential Construction Starts Growth
    3.6%
    High
    Volume
    Carbon Distillation Volumes
    higher volumes
    Medium
    Revenue
    Aluminum Sector Revenue Contribution
    44% to 45%
    Medium
    Capacity
    HHCR Plant Production Levels
    increased production levels
    High

    Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio

    next few quarters
    Current4.5x
    TargetApproaching 3.0x

    Why it matters

    Indicates financial leverage and ability to fund growth and manage debt obligations.

    Over the next few quarters, as performance improves we anticipate this leverage ratio to gradually approach 3.0x.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.debt.net_debt_to_ebitda

    Risks & concerns

    6
    RiskSeverity

    Raw material cost volatility

    Persistent challenges with raw material costs continue to impact unit margins, limiting ability to fully regain expected earnings.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Market competition and supply constraints

    Market competition and supply constraints in certain segments have posed challenges, exerting pressure on both volume and margins.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Disruptions in Carbon Distillation raw material supply

    Stemming from the ongoing war in Europe and a weakened global steel industry, reducing local coal tar availability.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Uncertain demand recovery in Europe

    Industrial sectors across Europe are awaiting clearer signs of resurgence, leading to cautious market sentiment for 2025.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Turbulent global economic outlook

    Influenced by tariffs and ongoing conflicts, with potential for future escalations to impact operations.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Cement production costs

    Production costs continue to pose challenges for the Cement segment, requiring focus on operational efficiencies.Management acknowledged

    medium
    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Safety Performance and Commitment

    RAIN Industries concluded Q1 2025 with a Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR) of 0.06, stemming from one unusual office accident unrelated to operations. This achievement underscores the company's commitment to safety, prompting a comprehensive review across global offices to prevent similar occurrences. Management emphasized that safety is a continuous journey, shaped by awareness and the environment, reinforcing their dedication to maintaining an industry-leading safety standard.

    02

    Consolidated Financial Overview

    For Q1 2025, Rain Industries reported a consolidated net revenue of 37.46 billion Rupees, an increase of 0.89 billion Rupees (2.43% YoY) from 36.57 billion Rupees in Q1 2024. The company achieved an Adjusted EBITDA of 4.34 billion Rupees, which slightly improved from Q4 2024 results and exceeded Q1 2024 performance. This consolidated growth was primarily driven by a 2.65 billion Rupees revenue increase in the Carbon segment, partially offset by reductions in the Advanced Materials (0.97 billion Rupees) and Cement (0.79 billion Rupees) segments.

    03

    Carbon Segment Dynamics and Strategic Shifts

    The Carbon segment's revenue increased by 10.8% YoY to 27.34 billion Rupees in Q1 2025, with Adjusted EBITDA rising by 1.63 billion Rupees YoY. This growth was fueled by a significant surge in China's green petroleum coke market, leading to sharply rising CPC prices, and the strategic reintroduction of U.S.-produced CPC into India after a six-year gap. While CPC sales volumes declined 7% QoQ due to shipment timing, and overall Carbon segment volumes saw a modest 4% QoQ decline, the company anticipates reasonable growth in CPC sales volumes throughout 2025, supported by increased production capacity at its Indian vertical shaft calciner plant.

    04

    Advanced Materials Segment Challenges and Operational Improvements

    The Advanced Materials segment experienced a revenue decrease of 11.9% YoY to 7.24 billion Rupees in Q1 2025, with Adjusted EBITDA declining by 432 million Rupees YoY. This was primarily due to a 13% decline in segment volumes and margin pressure from raw material shortages and elevated costs in Europe. Despite these headwinds, the HHCR plant in Germany successfully completed routine maintenance in March, positioning it for increased production levels in Q2 2025. Efficiency improvements from recent technical innovations have also helped lower HHCR operating costs.

    05

    Cement Segment Headwinds and Positive Outlook

    The Cement segment faced a challenging Q1 2025, with revenue declining by 21.5% YoY and Adjusted EBITDA experiencing a downturn of 108 million Rupees. This was attributed to a 13.4% fall in volumes and a 9.4% reduction in realizations, primarily due to market consolidation by national players. However, the outlook for 2025 is positive, with India's cement industry projected to grow by approximately 8%, driven by increasing construction activity and government infrastructure investments, and non-residential construction starts expected to grow by 3.6%.

    06

    Debt and Liquidity Position

    As of Q1 2025, Rain Industries reported a gross debt of 989 million US dollars, including 184 million US dollars in working capital debt, leading to a net debt of 854 million US dollars. With an LTM EBITDA of 190 million US dollars, the net debt to EBITDA ratio stood at 4.5x, which the company aims to gradually reduce to 3.0x in the coming quarters. The company maintained strong liquidity with 278 million US dollars, comprising 120 million US dollars in cash and 158 million US dollars in undrawn credit facilities, and successfully repaid 44 million US dollars of Senior Secured Notes due in April 2025.

    07

    Strategic Initiatives and Future Growth

    Rain Industries is actively realigning raw materials to enhance margins and bolster profitability, leveraging the relief granted by CAQM in India, which lifted import restrictions after six years. This has reinvigorated operational efficiencies and strengthened the global blend strategy. Looking beyond 2025, the company is excited about its new research and development laboratory and demonstration plant in Canada for Energy Storage Materials and Battery Anode Materials, positioning itself as a key player in the rapidly expanding EV and battery markets.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.