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    S H Kelkar & Co.

    SHKGood
    Chemicals·26 Nov 2024
    Management Summary

    S H Kelkar & Co. reported a strong H1 FY25 performance with revenues exceeding Rs. 1,000 crore, despite a subdued domestic FMCG market. Growth was propelled by small and mid-sized customers and significant global MNC orders. The company maintained resilient margins while making strategic investments in new creative centers in Europe and America, which are expected to drive future growth. Management expressed confidence in an even stronger second half and outlined substantial capacity expansion plans.

    Highlights

    8
    • H1 FY25 revenues reached Rs. 1,013 crore, driven by small/mid-sized customers and global MNC orders.

    • Adjusted EBITDA margin for H1 FY25 stood at 16.8%, despite an additional Rs. 10 crore cost for new creative centers.

    • European segment delivered impressive performance with revenues growing by 11.5% on a like-for-like basis in Q2.

    • The company expects H2 FY25 to be better than H1, with full-year sales growth exceeding the 12% CAGR target.

    • Current capacity utilization is over 85%, with plans to add 200% domestic capacity and 50% European capacity over the next two years.

    • Gross margin is expected to remain around 40%-45% for H2 FY25, with a long-term EBITDA margin target of 20% in 2-3 years.

    • Rs. 20 crore per annum is the recurring OPEX for new Creative Development Centres in Germany and Manchester.

    • Anticipated insurance payout of around Rs. 100 crore is expected by December-January.

    What Changed2

    vs Q3 FY25

    Guidance items9 → 20 (+11)Risks discussed5 → 4 (-1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • H1 FY25 Revenue
      ₹1,013 Cr
    • H1 FY25 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
      16.8%
    • H1 FY25 Reported EBITDA Margin
      15.8%
    • H1 FY25 CAPEX
      ₹47 Cr
    • Gross Margin Expectation
      40%

    Q2

    1
    • European Segment Revenue Growth
      11.5%
      YoY+11.5%

    Segment breakdown

    European Segment
    11.5% Revenue Growth (like-for-like)20.5% EBITDA Percentage57.5% Gross Margin
    Flavour Segment
    healthy qualitative Performancestrong qualitative Profitability
    Global Ingredient Segment
    continued qualitative Turnaroundimproved qualitative Profitability
    List

    Guidance & targets

    20
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Revenue
    Full Year Sales Growth
    >12% CAGR
    High
    Revenue
    H2 Sales Performance
    better than H1
    High
    Revenue
    Full Year Revenue
    around ₹2,100 crores (14% odd)
    Medium
    Margin
    H2 EBITDA Margin
    similar to H1 (16.8%)
    Medium
    Margin
    Gross Margin
    40%-45%
    Medium
    Margin
    EBITDA Margin Target
    20%
    Medium
    Capex
    Recurring OPEX for New Centres
    ₹20 crore
    High
    Capex
    H2 FY25 CAPEX
    roughly ₹50 crore
    Medium
    Capex
    H1 Next Year CAPEX
    another ₹50 crore
    Medium
    Capex
    Incremental CAPEX (after insurance)
    roughly ₹60 crore
    Medium
    Capex
    European Factory Building CAPEX
    ₹50 crore additional outlay
    Medium
    Capex
    Total CAPEX for 4 Factories
    ₹200 crore
    Medium
    Capex
    Normal Maintenance CAPEX
    <₹10-15 crore
    High
    Capacity
    Domestic Capacity Addition
    200%
    High
    Capacity
    European Capacity Addition
    50%
    High
    Capacity
    New Factories Timeline
    next two years
    High
    Capacity
    Vashivali Factory Rebuild Completion
    another 9-10 months
    Medium
    Capacity
    Vanavate Factory Commissioning
    1st Quarter calendar next year (Q4 FY25)
    Medium
    Debt
    DSO Reduction
    around 135 days
    Medium
    Other
    Insurance Payout
    around ₹100 crore
    High

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Raw Material Shortages and Price Increases

    Acute shortages expected in Q4 FY25 or Q1 FY26 for natural oils (orange, patchouli, vetiver oil), which constitute ~15% of purchase basket, potentially necessitating price adjustments.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Global Economic Order Changes & Trade Barriers

    Expectation of changes in global economic order after US administration takes charge in January, potentially leading to tariffs or trade barriers, especially impacting gross margins in Europe.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Subdued Domestic FMCG Demand

    Domestic demand for large customers remains soft, though offset by strong momentum from small/mid-sized customers and new accounts.Management acknowledged

    low

    Inventory Buildup

    High inventory levels due to new operational reality (four sites) and early-year contracts; management expects to reduce it towards year-end and improve DSO to 135 days.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “mostly we had sort of 1% price growth, remaining was volume growth across entire thing. ... The remaining mid and small have contributed roughly 40% of the growth. 40% of the growth has come from the large account, which is a global account and 20% has come from the mid-size and large corporate accounts.”

    Clarified the drivers of revenue growth (primarily volume) and the significant contribution from global accounts and mid/small customers, offsetting softness in Tier-1 domestic clients.

    asked by Bharat from Fair Value Capital

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    H1 FY25 Performance and Growth Drivers

    S H Kelkar & Co. reported a strong H1 FY25 with revenues reaching Rs. 1,013 crore. This performance was primarily driven by steady momentum from small and mid-sized customers, alongside the execution of prestigious global MNC orders. Volume growth accounted for the majority of the overall growth, with price growth contributing approximately 1%. The company noted that 40% of the growth came from global accounts and another 40% from mid and small-sized customers, effectively offsetting softer demand from Tier-1 domestic clients.

    02

    European Segment and Strategic Investments

    The core European segment delivered an impressive 11.5% revenue growth on a like-for-like basis in Q2, supported by a favorable product mix and regional dynamics. To sustain this growth, SHK launched a Creative Development Centre in Germany in June and plans an additional center in Manchester, UK, by early next year. These centers represent an additional Rs. 10 crore cost in H1 FY25, with a recurring OPEX of Rs. 20 crore per annum, aimed at innovation and strengthening the talent base for European and American markets.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Capex Plans

    The company is currently operating at over 85% utilization across its facilities. Significant CAPEX plans are underway, with Rs. 47 crore spent in H1 FY25 and an additional Rs. 50 crore projected for H2 FY25, followed by another Rs. 50 crore in H1 FY26. This includes the rebuilding of the Vashivali factory (expected in 9-10 months) and a new factory in Vanavate (expected in Q4 FY25). Overall, SHK plans to invest approximately Rs. 200 crore for 4 factories, aiming to add 200% domestic capacity and 50% European capacity over the next two years. The Mulund factory will be closed post-Vashivali recommissioning.

    04

    Raw Material Outlook and Margins

    The H1 FY25 adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 16.8%, with management expecting H2 margins to be similar. Gross margins are anticipated to remain in the 40%-45% range. However, the company expressed caution regarding potential acute shortages and price increases for certain natural oils (orange, patchouli, vetiver oil), which constitute about 15% of their purchase basket, in Q4 FY25 or Q1 FY26. While current inventory levels are adequate, management is monitoring the situation and plans to negotiate price adjustments with customers if needed.

    05

    Global Market Dynamics and Opportunities

    The global MNC account is scaling as expected, contributing significantly to growth. Management noted that antitrust investigations against larger players like Givaudan and IFF in Europe and the US are opening up opportunities for mid-sized players like SHK. Furthermore, potential changes in the global economic order and trade barriers, particularly from the US administration, could create opportunities for India to take business away from Chinese suppliers, which SHK is actively evaluating as an additional growth area.

    06

    Inventory Management and Debt Reduction

    The company has seen a buildup in inventory, partly due to operating across four different sites and strategic procurement at good pricing. Management plans to focus on reducing overall inventory levels towards the end of the year, aiming to bring down Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) to around 135 days. Additionally, SHK expects to receive a substantial insurance payout of approximately Rs. 100 crore by December-January, which will contribute to lower debt levels by the end of the year.

    07

    Long-Term Growth and Profitability Targets

    SHK reiterated its commitment to achieving a 20% EBITDA margin in the next two to three years. With current investments in new growth areas not yet contributing to revenue, the effective EBITDA margin is estimated at 18.5% (16% reported + 2.5% for new investments). The company anticipates that the Rs. 20-30 crore annual investment in new centers will start generating additional revenues within 1-2 years, supporting the long-term margin expansion goal. Full-year sales growth is projected to exceed the midterm 12% CAGR target.

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