Detailed Narrative
Q3 & 9M FY26 Performance Overview
S H Kelkar & Co. reported a consolidated revenue of ₹1,718 crore for the 9 months ended FY26, marking a 10% year-on-year growth. However, the Q3 performance was relatively softer, attributed to a subdued operating environment and slower ramp-up in certain product categories. Gross margins remained broadly stable during the quarter at approximately 42.4%, while adjusted EBITDA margin stood at around 13%, reflecting costs associated with strategic initiatives and organizational strengthening.
Strategic Investments and Global Expansion
The company is in an investment phase aimed at positioning for future growth in global Fragrances and Flavours markets, particularly in the US, UK, Germany, and UAE. These investments include strengthening Creative Development Centres and expanding capacity. The US Creative Development Centre has secured its first customer order, with a target to achieve $2-2.5 million in business by the end of next year. Management views this as an opportune time to grow, leveraging market consolidation among larger players.
Capital Allocation and Debt Management
Current gross debt stands at approximately ₹800 crore, with an expected near-term increase of around ₹100 crore to fund ongoing capex. Planned capital expenditure includes EUR 2-3 million for Europe and ₹70-80 crore for India over the next 12-18 months, in addition to $1.5-2 million already invested in the US development center. The company expects to receive approximately ₹100 crore from insurance claims within 6-12 months and ₹50 crore from GST refunds within 2-6 months, which will aid liquidity.
Margin Outlook and Drivers
Gross margins are expected to progressively improve from Q4 FY26 onwards, as raw material at older prices is utilized and supply stabilizes. The adjusted EBITDA margin, currently at 13%, is targeted to reach 17% over the next two years, driven by operating leverage, new factory efficiencies, and growth in new markets. Flavours segment maintains a strong EBIT margin of 20-22%, while Fragrance EBIT margins, currently depressed at 6-8% due to investments, are projected to reach 13-14% in 2-3 years as new businesses ramp up.
Capacity Expansion and Operational Timelines
New manufacturing facilities are critical for future growth. The new European facility is expected to be operational by Q4 FY26 (March 2026), and the new Indian facility (replacing older ones) by Q1 FY27. Europe's capacity is planned to double or increase by 1.5x by Q1 FY27. India's current capacity of 20,000 tons will expand by an additional 9,000 tons in Q1 FY27, followed by another 15,000 tons. These expansions are crucial as the European facilities are currently operating at 85-90% utilization.
Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers
The company maintains its long-term 12% CAGR revenue growth target, with FY24-25 as the base year. Growth is anticipated to be strong in Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia. While domestic demand in India has been softer than expected post-GST changes, the company expects to recover sales momentum. The strategy focuses on leveraging innovation and technology, supported by over 25 patents, to capitalize on growth opportunities in new markets, particularly as smaller, e-commerce-driven brands emerge globally.