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    Shoppers Stop

    SHOPERSTOPMixed
    Consumer Services·19 Jul 2024
    Management Summary

    Shoppers Stop reported muted sales growth and a decline in EBITDA margin for Q1 FY25, primarily attributed to subdued demand influenced by fewer wedding dates, a prolonged election season, and a strong heat wave. Despite these challenges, the company saw strong performance in its Premium Brands, Beauty, and INTUNE segments, and continued its strategic expansion with 11 new store openings. Management expressed optimism for a demand recovery in H2, driven by the festive season and increased weddings, and reiterated its focus on premiumization, cost rationalization, and accelerated INTUNE expansion.

    Highlights

    8
    • Q1 sales stood at ₹1,260 crores, reflecting a 2% year-on-year growth.

    • The Premium Brands product portfolio grew by 10% on a like-for-like basis and 14% overall.

    • The Beauty and INTUNE verticals remained EBITDA positive during the quarter.

    • 11 new stores were opened in Q1, comprising 2 Departmental stores and 9 INTUNE stores.

    • The First Citizen loyal member base reached a significant milestone of 10 million.

    • Private Brand inventory was reduced by ₹65 crores compared to the same period last year.

    • Gross margins remained largely flat versus FY24, while EBITDA margin declined due to new store gestation costs.

    • Departmental stores reported a like-for-like decline of -6% for the quarter.

    Concerns

    1
    • Subdued consumer demand

    What Changed3

    vs Q2 FY25

    Tone shiftGood → MixedGuidance items14 → 12 (-2)Risks discussed3 → 5 (+2)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Revenue₹1,260 Cr+2%YoY
    2. 02Gross Margins0%YoY
    3. 03EBITDA
    4. 04Departmental LFL Growth-6%
    5. 05Private Brand Inventory Reduction₹65 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Premium Brands Product Portfolio
    14.0% Overall Growth10% Like-for-Like Growth
    Beauty (Fragrance)
    19% Growth
    Global SS Beauty (Subsidiary)
    ₹39 Cr Sales2.5x Growth
    INTUNE
    11,000 Rs Sales per Square Feet33% Customer Conversion3.8 Items per Bill (IPT)80% Full Price Sell Thru
    HomeStop (Shop-in-shop)
    Like-for-Like Growth
    List

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Store Expansion
    INTUNE Stores
    75+
    High
    Store Expansion
    INTUNE Stores
    20+
    High
    Store Expansion
    Departmental Stores
    11
    Medium
    Capex
    Total Capex
    ₹225-250 crores
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA Margin
    mid-single digit
    Medium
    Sales
    Beauty Sales
    ₹230 crores
    High
    Growth
    Beauty Growth
    12-15%
    High
    Contribution
    HomeStop Private Brands Contribution
    30%
    Medium
    Store Rationalization
    Unviable Departmental Stores
    5-6
    High
    Store Renovation
    Malad Flagship Store Opening
    before Diwali
    High
    Staffing
    Personal Shoppers
    500
    High

    Risks & concerns

    7
    RiskSeverity

    Subdued consumer demand

    Demand remains subdued due to fewer wedding dates, long election season, strong heat wave, and high cumulative inflation, impacting sales growth.Management acknowledged

    high

    EBITDA margin compression from new stores

    EBITDA margin declined as new stores take time to turn into profitability, coupled with largely fixed costs.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Delays in departmental store openings

    Regulatory delays and financial issues of local builders in Tier 2 cities are causing deferrals in opening 3-4 planned departmental stores.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Increased operating costs

    Other expenses, including rent, staff, energy, and tech investments (cybersecurity, cloud migration), have seen a sharp jump, impacting profitability.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of elections on B2C business

    Elections, especially those falling on weekends or near stores, led to market shutdowns and disrupted store operations, negatively affecting Q1 performance.Management acknowledged

    low

    Areas of Evasion(2)

    • Detailed breakdown of departmental vs. INTUNE EBITDA margins
    • Specifics on cost rationalization beyond general statements

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “I think overall business when you look at Shoppers Stop including the INTUNE business, the beauty business, the beauty distribution and the box itself I think we should be in a double-digit growth over the next two years. ... I don't think it would be such a high number because one Intune will be 5,000 to 5,500 square feet. And the large departmental stores we are now opening between 25,000 to 30,000 square feet. On the back of the envelope calculation it comes anywhere between 8 to 9 percentage not more than that the space addition.”

    Analyst questioned if the projected square footage growth (14-15%) should lead to higher than 'double-digit' overall business growth, highlighting a potential disconnect between expansion and revenue targets.

    asked by Rahul Agarwal

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q1 FY25 Performance Overview

    Shoppers Stop reported Q1 FY25 sales of ₹1,260 crores, marking a 2% year-on-year growth. The quarter experienced muted sales growth, with April declining by 1% and May by 2%, though June saw a 7% growth partly due to an early EOSS. The company's EBITDA margin declined, primarily attributed to the gestation period of new stores. Gross margins remained largely flat compared to FY24, while like-for-like growth for departmental stores was -6%.

    02

    Strategic Pillars: Premiumization & Private Brands

    The premiumization drive continues to be a key focus, with the Premium Brands product portfolio growing by 10% like-for-like and 14% overall. The company is launching its Autumn/Winter '24 season in August, aiming for 70% full fresh stocks. Private Brand inventory was successfully reduced by ₹65 crores year-on-year, and a new merchandise planning system, Goldratt, is being implemented to improve inventory turnover and customer availability. Trading margins for Private Brands increased by one percentage point, though this was offset by the overall mix.

    03

    INTUNE Business Expansion & Performance

    The INTUNE business demonstrated strong performance, with 9 new stores opened in Q1, bringing the total to 31. The sales per square foot for INTUNE stood at ₹11,000, and customer conversion was 33%. The full-price sell-through reached over 80% within a year, indicating strong brand acceptance. Due to its success, the company is accelerating its INTUNE expansion guidance from 60+ to 75+ stores for FY25, with plans to open 20+ stores in Q2.

    04

    Beauty Vertical Growth & Distribution

    The Beauty vertical remained EBITDA positive, with Fragrance outperforming with 19% growth year-on-year. The 100% subsidiary, Global SS Beauty, achieved ₹39 crores in sales, growing 2.5 times. The beauty distribution network expanded to 27 brands and 444 points of sale. The company targets ₹230 crores in Beauty sales for FY25, with an expected growth rate of 12-15% for the year, and plans to add three marquee brands in Q2.

    05

    Store Expansion & Capex Outlook

    Shoppers Stop opened 11 stores in Q1 (2 Departmental, 9 INTUNE). The guidance for departmental store openings for FY25 has been revised downwards from 15 to 11 stores due to regulatory delays and financial issues with local builders. Total capex for FY25 is projected to be ₹225-250 crores, including investments in a new warehouse in Bhiwandi and ₹20 crores for the renovation of the Malad flagship store, expected to open before Diwali. The company is also looking to rationalize 5-6 unviable stores.

    06

    Omnichannel & Customer Engagement

    Omnichannel sales remained largely flat. The company is enhancing its digital presence by updating its SS.com mobile app by the end of Q2, aiming for improved consumer experience and potential for services like same-day delivery. The First Citizen loyalty program reached 10 million members, with loyal members contributing 80% of sales. The Personal Shopper program is being expanded from 300 to 400 in Q1, with a target of 500, as personal shoppers drive 3x higher Average Transaction Value (ATV).

    07

    Outlook & Demand Recovery

    Management expressed cautious optimism for a gradual demand recovery, particularly in H2 FY25, driven by a larger festive season and increased wedding dates (50 days in H2 vs. 14 in H1). They anticipate Q2 to be better than Q1 and are confident in achieving mid-single digit EBITDA margins for the full year. The long-term outlook for Indian retail remains strong, with expectations of double-digit overall business growth over the next two years, fueled by premiumization and economic growth.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.