Detailed Narrative
Q1 FY27 Financial Performance and Margin Compression
Solex Energy Limited reported Q1 FY27 revenue of ₹265.6 crore, a 1.8% increase year-on-year from ₹261 crore in Q1 FY26. However, EBITDA for the quarter stood at ₹33.8 crore, down from ₹42.7 crore in Q1 FY26, resulting in an EBITDA margin compression to 12.7% from 16.4%. Profit After Tax (PAT) was ₹8.3 crore, yielding a PAT margin of 3.1%. This margin pressure is attributed to seasonally softer volumes, coupled with the full quarter impact of increased depreciation (₹10.2 crore vs ₹4.3 crore YoY) and finance costs (₹12.5 crore vs ₹5.4 crore YoY) from recently commissioned lines and higher working capital deployment.
Robust Order Book and New Inflows
The company maintains a strong order book visibility of approximately ₹3,400 crore, spread across confirmed purchase orders, signed MSAs, and MSAs at advanced discussion stages. In Q1 FY27, Solex secured a new work order of ₹42.47 crore for N-type TOPCon solar PV modules and received an LOI for a further ₹175 crore order. These new inflows contribute to an executable order pipeline of ₹845.84 crore, targeted for execution by December 31, 2026. Management emphasized that recent market disruption🌐s led to delivery rescheduling, not cancellations, and the order book remains intact.
Strategic Cell Manufacturing Project Update
Solex is progressing with its 2.2 GW N-type TOPCon+ cell line, the first phase of a planned 5 GW cell capacity, targeting commissioning by the end of calendar year 2027. The capex plan for this project has been revised to ₹1,050 crore (from an earlier ₹1,500 crore), with funding structured as ₹700 crore debt and ₹350 crore equity, currently in advanced stages of discussion and due diligence. Land for the facility has been procured, and an application for a 30 MW electricity connection has received verbal approval, with written approval pending. The company is collaborating with ISC Konstanz and onboarding an experienced TOPCon cell manufacturer to de-risk the project.
BESS Expansion and Vision 2030
The company is actively evaluating technology partners for a containerized Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) manufacturing setup, which will be housed in a separate subsidiary. This initiative is part of Solex's ambitious Vision 2030, aiming to build 10 GW each of module and solar cell capacity, 10 GW of BESS infrastructure, and 2 GW of wafer and ingot capacity. Management highlighted the strategic importance of BESS in addressing grid stability issues arising from the rapid increase in solar generation, particularly in Western India.
Market Dynamics and ALMM Impact
The market experienced significant uncertainty due to the ALMM-2 (Approved List of Models and Manufacturers) policy. An initial expectation of extension was later clarified as non-extension, leading to project holds and customer-driven rescheduling of module deliveries. Solex has mitigated this by having supply arrangements for ALCM-compliant orders with domestic cell manufacturers and an imported cell supply chain for other orders. The company noted that the situation is improving with recent clarity and selective extensions, leading to order conversions.
Conservative Utilization and H2-Weighted Business
Solex's business is inherently H2-weighted⚖️, with the bulk of module dispatches and revenue conversion occurring in the second half of the fiscal year. For FY27, the company has adopted a conservative module capacity utilization assumption of around 55%, despite having expanded capacity to 4 GW. This conservatism is attributed to the turbulent market conditions caused by ALMM uncertainty, the wait-and-watch approach adopted by developers, and production losses experienced in the first half of the year.
Export Market Strategy and Competitiveness
Solex is strategically focusing on export markets with a preference for Indian modules, including the Middle East, Africa, and Europe, with plans to establish a presence in the US market. Management asserted that Indian modules are competitive in pricing and at par or better in quality and reliability compared to Chinese counterparts. They anticipate that the removal of grants by the Chinese government will lead to a more level playing field in the coming quarters⏳, enhancing Solex's export competitiveness, although export revenue is expected to be lower for FY27.