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    Sundrop Brands

    SUNDROPMixed
    Fast Moving Consumer Goods·24 Jan 2024
    Management Summary

    Agro Tech Foods Limited reported a mixed Q3 FY24, with overall foods growth being slower than desired, primarily due to pricing impacts in RTC and intense competition in spreads. Despite this, semi-urban/rural markets showed strong double-digit growth, and the RTE segment performed robustly. The company is focusing on strategic actions like increased media spend for RTC, new product launches, and significant cost reduction initiatives to improve margins and achieve its long-term growth targets.

    Highlights

    8
    • Q3 FY24 PBT stood at ₹3.4 crores and PAT at ₹2.5 crores.

    • Year-to-date (9M FY24) PBT was about ₹12 crores and PAT close to ₹9 crores.

    • Overall foods volume growth year-to-date was about 5%, with semi-urban/rural areas growing 13% in volume.

    • Ready-to-Cook (RTC) segment volumes grew 3% YTD, but value growth was 0% due to pricing adjustments.

    • Ready-to-Eat (RTE) segment showed strong performance with 20% volume growth and 19% value growth.

    • Spreads & Dips segment experienced a 3% volume decline and 6% value decline YTD due to competitive activity.

    • Foods gross contribution level was about 46% YTD, with a target to reach 48-49% in the future.

    • Management aims for a 15-20% EBITDA margin by reducing manufacturing costs by about 500 basis points.

    What Changed3

    vs Q2 FY25

    Tone shiftGood → MixedGuidance items5 → 12 (+7)Risks discussed1 → 5 (+4)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    7

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    5
    • YTD PBT
      ₹12 Cr
    • YTD PAT
      ₹9 Cr
    • Foods Gross Contribution
      46%
    • YTD Gross Contribution (increase)
      ₹18 Cr
    • YTD Gross Margin (increase)
      ₹9 Cr

    Q3

    2
    • PBT
      ₹3.4 Cr
    • PAT
      ₹2.5 Cr

    Segment breakdown

    Foods (Overall YTD)
    5% Volume Growth
    Semi-Urban/Rural Foods
    11% Revenue Growth13% Volume Growth
    Urban Foods
    1% Revenue Growth3% Volume Growth
    Ready to Cook (RTC) YTD
    3% Volume Growth0% Value Growth
    Instant Popcorn (RTC) YTD
    5% Volume Growth
    Ready to Eat (RTE)
    20% Volume Growth19% Value Growth
    Sweet Snacks (RTE)
    66% Growth8% Share of RTE Business
    Spreads & Dips YTD
    -3% Volume Growth-6% Value Growth
    Breakfast Cereals Q3
    9% Growth
    Chocolates
    17% Volume Growth60% Gross Contribution
    Premium Staples YTD
    -6% Volume Growth
    Mass Staples YTD
    9% Volume Growth
    Total Staples YTD
    -4% Value Growth
    List

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Instant Popcorn Volume Growth
    8%
    Medium
    Volume
    Spreads Volume Growth
    Positive
    High
    Volume
    Chocolates Volume Growth
    35-40%
    Low
    Volume
    Ready to Cook (RTC) Growth
    10%
    Medium
    Volume
    Overall Company Growth
    16-18%
    Medium
    Ad Spend
    Total A&P Spend (as % of foods revenue)
    7-7.5%
    Medium
    Distribution
    Peanut Butter Distribution Reach
    1 lakh stores
    Medium
    New Product Launch
    Sweet Oats Launch
    Launch
    High
    Margin
    Foods Gross Contribution
    48-49%
    Medium
    Profitability
    EBITDA Margin
    15-20%
    Medium
    Cost
    Manufacturing Cost Reduction
    500 basis points
    Medium
    Revenue
    Company Turnover
    Billion dollars
    Low

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Post-COVID hangover impacting Ready-to-Cook (RTC) growth.

    RTC volumes up only 3% YTD, value 0%, instant popcorn at 5% growth, target 8%.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Intense competitive activity in spreads, particularly from Hindustan Lever.

    Spreads & dips YTD volume down 3%, value down 6%.Management acknowledged

    medium

    High obsolescence rate, especially with new product innovation.

    Obsolescence rate of about 1.9% is considered high, balancing innovation with controlling this cost.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Supply chain complexity and product integrity for chocolates.

    Manufacturing process, sanitation, humidity, handling, and sealing are complex and being addressed.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Lower than desired volume growth in chocolates due to size impression of Rs.5 pack.

    Volume growth at 17% vs desired 35-40%, likely due to the size impression of the Rs.5 pack.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    3

    “we would have started this year close to about 280 thereabout stores in the low 280s and right now we would be clocking probably closer to the 295000 mark so we will be closer to the 300000 mark right now in terms of popcorn... I think the difference is about 3 or 400 basis points. You can see about 3% growth in volume and a nil growth in value so that reflects also the impact of wherever we felt it necessary we took some price hit”

    Provides specific distribution numbers for RTC and explains the gross margin squeeze due to price cuts and mix shift, crucial for profitability analysis.

    asked by Percy Panthaki

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY24 Performance Overview and YTD Financials

    Agro Tech Foods Limited reported a PBT of ₹3.4 crores and PAT of ₹2.5 crores for Q3 FY24. On a year-to-date basis, PBT stood at approximately ₹12 crores and PAT close to ₹9 crores. While Q3 gross contribution and margin were lower than the prior year by ₹3 crores and ₹6 crores respectively, year-to-date gross contribution increased by ₹18 crores and gross margin by ₹9 crores, indicating overall improvement despite quarterly fluctuations.

    02

    Foods Business Growth Dynamics and Rural Focus

    Overall foods volume growth year-to-date was about 5%. The company observed robust performance in semi-urban/rural markets, achieving 11% revenue growth and 13% volume growth, largely attributed to the success of ₹5 and ₹10 price point products. In contrast, urban areas experienced slower growth, with only 1% revenue growth and 3% volume growth. Management clarified that the overall slower foods growth was not due to a macro rural slowdown but rather specific category challenges.

    03

    Ready-to-Cook (RTC) Segment Performance and Strategy

    The Ready-to-Cook (RTC) segment, including instant popcorn, saw a 3% volume growth year-to-date, but value growth remained flat at 0% due to necessary price reductions. Instant popcorn volume growth has been steady at 5-6% monthly, with a strategic target to increase this to 8% in FY2025. This acceleration will be supported by an additional ₹4 crores in media spending, alongside the phased rollout of new products like cocoa-based Bake Treats and plant-based 1min Yum Keema.

    04

    Ready-to-Eat (RTE) and Chocolates Segment Highlights

    The Ready-to-Eat (RTE) segment demonstrated strong performance, with 20% volume growth and 19% value growth, driven by both popcorn and sweet snacks, which grew 66% and now constitute up to 8% of the total RTE business. Chocolates volume grew about 17%, although management expressed a desire for 35-40% growth, noting that the ₹5 pack's performance was below expectations due to its size impression. The company is actively addressing supply chain complexities for chocolates and successfully launched new gift packs, with the ₹100 pack showing exceptional demand post-Diwali.

    05

    Spreads & Dips and Staples Challenges

    The Spreads & Dips segment faced significant competitive activity, leading to a 3% volume decline and 6% value decline year-to-date. However, strategic actions on mid-size packs and the introduction of ₹10 blister packs have started yielding results, with general trade volumes for spreads up about 3% in Q3. Peanut butter distribution is expanding, nearing the target of 1 lakh stores. In staples, premium volumes were down 6%, while mass volumes increased by 9%, but overall staples value declined by 4% due to price drops.

    06

    Margin Improvement and Cost Reduction Initiatives

    The company's foods gross contribution currently stands at 46% year-to-date, with an ambitious target to increase this to 48-49%. Key challenges identified include high manufacturing costs for processed foods and an obsolescence rate of 1.9%. To address this, management plans to reduce manufacturing costs by approximately 500 basis points through focused capex on automation and energy efficiency, aiming to achieve a 15-20% EBITDA margin.

    07

    Ad Spend and Distribution Expansion Strategy

    Total Advertising & Promotion (A&P) spend is projected to increase from the current 6.5% range to 7-7.5% of total foods revenue for FY2025, with investments primarily directed towards instant popcorn, peanut butter, breakfast cereals, and chocolates. The company continues to prioritize distribution expansion, particularly in smaller towns and mass markets, leveraging ₹5 and ₹10 price points. Breakfast cereals now reach 134,000 stores, and chocolates are available in over 120,000 stores.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.