TCPL Packaging Limited — Q3 FY26 earnings call

Call held 16 Feb 2026

Management summary

TCPL Packaging reported a strong Q3 FY26 with consolidated revenue of INR 471 crore and EBITDA growth of 15% YoY, driven by healthy domestic demand and margin expansion to 17.2%. The company commissioned its gravure cylinder manufacturing facility, a significant backward integration step. While exports remained subdued, management expressed optimism for future growth from US and EU markets following trade developments. An exceptional loss of INR 11.57 crore impacted PAT, which stood at INR 25 crore.

Highlights

  • Consolidated revenue for Q3FY26 stood at INR 471 crore.

  • EBITDA increased by about 15% year-on-year to INR 81 crore.

  • EBITDA margins expanded to 17.2%, reflecting an improvement of over 240 basis points.

  • Commissioned gravure cylinder manufacturing facility at Silvassa, a key backward integration milestone.

  • Domestic market showed healthy double-digit growth in volume for both Q3 and 9M FY26.

  • Positive outlook on future export growth, especially from US and EU due to tariff reductions and trade developments.

Concerns

  • Decline in export volumes due to subdued international markets.

  • Exceptional one-time loss of INR 11.57 crore related to revised labour code framework.

  • Chennai plant utilization is currently less than 50%.

  • Potential negative sentiment for domestic cigarette business due to sharp tax hike, with volume impact uncertain.

Key financials

  1. Revenue ₹471 Cr
  2. EBITDA ₹81 Cr +15%YoY
  3. EBITDA Margin 17.2%
  4. PAT ₹25 Cr
  5. Cash Profit ₹56.5 Cr
  6. Domestic Volume Growth
  7. Overall Capacity Utilization 70%
  8. Chennai Plant Utilization 50%
  9. Cash Conversion Cycle 90 days

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 15.9%, net profit up 65.2% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue439 458 410 409 438 −0%453 −1%436 +6%474 +16%
EBITDA76 70 70 71 67 −12%79 +13%67 −4%81 +14%
Net profit36 38 35 23 28 −22%25 −34%21 −40%38 +65%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Capital allocation

medium confidence
  • Capex ₹100 Cr
    • Gravure cylinder manufacturing facility at Silvassa
    For FY27: "It should be along the similar lines of this year, about INR100 odd crore."

Guidance & targets

Capex

  • Capex for FY27 Capex · FY27 · Medium confidence INR 100 crore
    It should be along the similar lines of this year, about INR100 odd crore.

    — Akshay Kanoria

Revenue

  • Revenue generation from capex Revenue · year-on-year · Medium confidence INR 150 crore
    We are adding about INR150 crore, I think, to the top-line year-on-year.

    — Akshay Kanoria

Capacity

  • Chennai plant utilization scale-up Capacity · Next few months · Medium confidence Improved utilization
    Next few months.

    — Akshay Kanoria

Exports

  • Europe flexible packaging tariff Exports · Next year · High confidence Zero

    Previously high single digitZero

    It was high single digit... So that is now going to come to zero from I think next year, that will be positive.

    — Akshay Kanoria

What to watch in Q4 FY26

Chennai plant utilization improvement

Next few months / Coming quarters
Current Less than 50%
Target Improved utilization

Why it matters

Improvement in utilization will drive operating leverage and contribute to overall profitability.

Chennai utilization is less than 50% right now but we are expecting some good improvement in coming quarters. Most of our audits and all are done, so it should start improving now.

Risks & concerns

  • Decline in export volumes

    medium

    Export volumes remained subdued due to continued softness in international markets, described as a 'year of stabilization' due to customer-specific factors.

    Management acknowledged

  • Impact of sharp tax hike on domestic cigarette business

    medium

    Significant tax increase after five years creates negative sentiment, but the volume impact is uncertain due to inelastic demand, requiring a 'wait and watch' approach.

    Analyst acknowledged

  • Low utilization of Chennai plant

    medium

    Chennai plant utilization is currently less than 50%, though management expects improvement in coming quarters as audits are completed.

    Analyst acknowledged

Q&A highlights

0 direct, 5 evasive
Gross margin expansion explanation Evasive
I would advise not getting into this on a quarterly basis, because these numbers can change based on the stock movements. Quarter-to-quarter variations can be quite significant, and analysing them at that level may not be particularly helpful. It is just too granular. I would not look at it quarterly.

Management dismissed a detailed explanation for a significant margin improvement, suggesting it might not be sustainable or easily explained.

Asked by Shrinjana Mittal

Timeline for US/EU trade deal impact on exports Evasive
Now you are asking very specific. I cannot answer that.

Management is unwilling to provide specific timelines for the realization of anticipated export benefits from new trade deals.

Asked by Pulkit Singhal

Plans for Creative acquisition, especially electronics packaging Evasive
So we have a lot of plans and things in motion but in the past also I have sounded too upbeat and then investors were disappointed. So then this time we would rather just keep it to ourselves until something actually happens.

Management is cautious about disclosing future plans for a key acquisition, possibly due to past over-optimism.

Asked by Resham Jain

Margin expansion from Chennai facility and gravure cylinders Evasive
We do not budget for it.

Management is not providing specific margin guidance despite commissioning new facilities expected to bring operating leverage.

Asked by Heta Vora

Percentage contribution of Europe and US to exports Evasive
I cannot divulge.

Management is not disclosing the current contribution of key growth markets, making it harder to track future progress.

Asked by Anupama S.

Impact of cigarette tax hike on volumes/realization Partial
So we have to wait and watch, but yes certainly if there was a growth happening it will hit that, but whether there will be a negative effect on the volume, we will have to see I suppose.

Highlights uncertainty around a significant product segment's future performance.

Asked by Nishant Bagrecha

Domestic business growth outlook post-GST disruption Partial
So now we will see how the performance pans out this quarter and in coming quarters. So far it is okay, I would not say there is any issue as such, but we will see how it goes now over the next few months.

Indicates a cautious, wait-and-watch approach to domestic growth despite initial recovery.

Asked by Nishant Bagrecha

Broad-based pickup in FMCG demand Partial
I hope so, but we do not know... it varies customer to customer... I would not say there has been a broad-based pickup across all customers.

Suggests a mixed demand environment within the FMCG sector, not a uniform recovery.

Asked by Pulkit Singhal

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q3 FY26 Financial Performance Overview

TCPL Packaging reported a consolidated revenue of INR 471 crore for Q3 FY26. EBITDA for the quarter increased by approximately 15% year-on-year to INR 81 crore, with margins expanding by over 240 basis points to 17.2%. This margin improvement was attributed to better gross margins, a favorable product mix, and tighter cost control. The company recorded a PAT of INR 25 crore and a cash profit of INR 56.5 crore, despite an exceptional one-time loss of INR 11.57 crore related to the revised labour code framework.

Domestic Market Performance and Outlook

The domestic market demonstrated healthy double-digit volume growth during Q3 and 9M FY26, offsetting subdued export volumes. Management noted a two-month disruption followed by a restocking bump post-GST changes, and is now monitoring performance in coming quarters. The domestic business is diversified and not heavily dependent on the tobacco segment, mitigating risks from recent tax hikes, which management is observing for volume impact.

Export Market Challenges and Future Opportunities

Export volumes remained under pressure in Q3 FY26 due to continued softness in international markets, leading to a decline. However, recent trade developments, particularly with the US and EU, are expected to improve export sentiment. The US market, previously a 'stumbling block' with 50% tariffs, is now more accessible with 18% tariffs. EU flexible packaging tariffs are also expected to reduce from high single digits to zero from next year, offering positive prospects, though the full impact will take time to materialize.

Strategic Initiatives and Operational Milestones

TCPL Packaging commissioned its gravure cylinder manufacturing facility at Silvassa through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Accura Technik Private Limited. This backward integration initiative aims to enhance process control, print precision, and quality consistency while reducing reliance on external outsourcing. The facility has surplus space for future external demand. The company also received the Most Preferred Workplace Award 2025-26 and six IFCA Star Awards 2025, highlighting its commitment to operational excellence and innovation.

Capital Expenditure and Utilization

The company incurred approximately INR 150 crore in capex in the previous fiscal year (FY25), with a similar amount capitalized. For FY26, an additional INR 100 crore is expected to be added to the gross block, with a similar capex of around INR 100 crore planned for FY27. Management anticipates adding about INR 150 crore to the top-line year-on-year for every INR 150 crore invested. Current overall capacity utilization stands at 70-75%, with the Chennai plant operating at less than 50% utilization, though improvement is expected in the next few months.

Margin Resilience and Commodity Price Management

Management addressed concerns about potential paper price volatility, noting that increased protectionism globally, including a minimum import price on virgin paperboard in India, makes a repeat of past 'dumping' scenarios less likely. While acknowledging that weak commodity markets can reduce differentiation between players, the company expressed confidence in its ability to manage price fluctuations, citing its successful navigation of significant paperboard price increases in 2022.

Leadership Transition

The Board conferred the honorary title of Chairman Emeritus on Mr. K.K. Kanoria, the founder of TCPL Packaging, recognizing his foundational role and long-term strategic thinking. Concurrently, Mr. Saket Kanoria was appointed Chairman and Managing Director, with expectations to guide the company into its next phase of sustainable growth and innovation.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.