United Spirits Limited — Q4 FY25 earnings call

Call held 23 May 2025

Management summary

United Spirits reported a strong FY25, marked by a 26.4% ROCE and 8.2% total value growth, with pre-exceptional EPS surpassing INR20. Strategic policy changes in UP significantly expanded retail reach, and the company continues to drive premiumization and innovation. However, subdued demand and regulatory hurdles in certain states remain challenges, with management expecting a recovery in premium segment growth within 3-4 quarters.

Highlights

  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) for FY25 stood at 26.4%, exceeding the 25% target.

  • Total value growth for FY25 was 8.2%, demonstrating healthy performance.

  • Pre-exceptional earnings per share (EPS) crossed INR20 for the first time in the company's history.

  • Productivity initiatives delivered INR388 crores in benefits for the year.

  • Policy reforms in Uttar Pradesh doubled liquor retail touch points from 6,500 to 12,500, expanding access and consumer choice.

Concerns

  • Demand remains subdued, and restrictive route-to-market policies in Delhi and other states hinder brand presence in high-potential premium markets.

  • Bureaucratic delays in a key Scotch salient state are limiting the company's full potential.

  • Luxury and Premium segment growth moderated sequentially from prior years (from 25-30% to 11%), though management views this as a temporary blip.

Key financials

2 periods

Headline

  • Return on Capital Employed
    26.4%
  • Total Value Growth
    8.2%
  • NSV Growth ex-Andhra
    5.1%
  • Pre-exceptional EPS
    ₹20
  • Productivity Benefits
    ₹388 Cr

Q4 one-time

  • Other Income
    ₹90 Cr

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 6.0%, net profit up 51.6% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue2,843 3,432 2,946 2,549 3,170 +12%3,683 +7%3,046 +3%2,703 +6%
EBITDA507 588 505 415 672 +33%618 +5%591 +17%432 +4%
Net profit335 473 451 258 472 +41%529 +12%571 +27%391 +52%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Guidance & targets

Innovation

  • Innovation contribution to NSV growth Innovation · next 3-5 years · High confidence double

    Previously high single digit, low double digitdouble

    Our target over the next 3 to 5 years is to double the innovation contribution to growth in NSV, which currently is at a high single digit, low double digit.

    — Praveen Someshwar

Pricing

  • Scotch consumer price reduction (due to UK FTA) Pricing · FY26/27 · High confidence high single-digit reduction
    reduction of duty from 150% to 75% will typically lead to about high single-digit reduction in consumer prices.

    — Pradeep Jain

  • BII portfolio price reduction (due to UK FTA) Pricing · FY26/27 · Medium confidence 4-5%
    the price reduction might be slightly lesser than high single digit. My sense is it will be in the range of 4% to 5%, right?

    — Pradeep Jain

Volume

  • Scotch volume growth (due to UK FTA) Volume · FY26/27 · High confidence high single-digit additional volume growth
    a high single-digit additional volume growth should occur, right?

    — Pradeep Jain

Profitability

  • EBITDA Margin Profitability · sustained · High confidence high-teen level
    we've always maintained that once so the idea is to sustain at this high-teen level, right?

    — Pradeep Jain

Growth

  • Luxury and Premium segment growth Growth · in 3-4 quarters · Medium confidence healthy growth

    Previously moderated to 11%healthy growth

    Luxury and Premium consumption in India. This is a temporary blip. We believe that another 3, 4 quarters down the line, we should come back to a healthy growth.

    — Pradeep Jain

What to watch in Q1 FY26

Luxury and Premium segment growth recovery

In 3-4 quarters
Current Moderated to 11% (from 25-30% in prior years)
Target Healthy growth

Why it matters

Indicates recovery of a key premiumization driver for the company, crucial for sustained value growth.

Luxury and Premium consumption in India. This is a temporary blip. We believe that another 3, 4 quarters down the line, we should come back to a healthy growth.

Risks & concerns

  • Subdued demand and restrictive route-to-market policies

    medium

    Demand is currently subdued, and restrictive policies in Delhi and other states hinder brand presence in high potential premium markets.

    Management acknowledged

  • Bureaucratic delays in key Scotch salient state

    medium

    Bureaucratic delays are limiting the full potential in a key Scotch market, though market access is expected to improve.

    Management acknowledged

  • Moderation in Luxury and Premium segment growth

    medium

    Growth in the Luxury and Premium segment has moderated sequentially, but management believes this is a temporary blip with healthy growth expected in 3-4 quarters.

    Analyst downplayed

Q&A highlights

5 direct
Impact of UK-India Free Trade Agreement on pricing and volume Direct
reduction of duty from 150% to 75% will typically lead to about high single-digit reduction in consumer prices... a high single-digit additional volume growth should occur, right?

Clarifies the expected consumer price reduction and volume uplift from the FTA, a significant market development.

Asked by Abneesh Roy

Sustainability of high-teen EBITDA margins and potential to exceed 20% Partial
we've always maintained that once so the idea is to sustain at this high-teen level, right? And once we are able to establish sustainability at this high-teen level, right, we will figure out what the next set of inflection point is, right?

Management confirms commitment to high-teen margins but defers specific targets beyond that, indicating a cautious outlook despite analyst comparison to peers.

Asked by Percy Panthaki

Moderation in Luxury and Premium segment growth Direct
Luxury and Premium consumption in India. This is a temporary blip. We believe that another 3, 4 quarters down the line, we should come back to a healthy growth.

Addresses concerns about the slowdown in a key premiumization segment, with management attributing it to temporary factors and projecting recovery.

Asked by Harit Kapoor

Outlook on commodity cost environment for FY26 Direct
by and large, stable... next inflection point will be somewhere around September, October, when government announces the ethanol fuel blending price-led prices for neutral alcohol spirit, right?

Provides clarity on input cost stability and identifies a specific future event that could influence neutral alcohol spirit pricing.

Asked by Vismaya Agarwal

Performance and rollout strategy for McDowell's X-series and UP market Direct
Rollout is slow in India, each state unique, needs legislation/clearances. Rolled out to 5 markets already... Recently, it's been around 3 months, and it's getting seeded into the market in UP.

Details the phased rollout of new products and the specific challenges and strategies for a critical growth market like UP.

Asked by Himanshu Shah

Nature of INR37 crores impairment of interest on receivables Direct
this is a one time with specificity to one particular customer, right? So therefore, it is one time. And it stays within the P&L, right?

Clarifies a specific financial adjustment as a one-time event, preventing misinterpretation as a recurring issue.

Asked by Himanshu Shah

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategic Market and Policy Advancements

United Spirits is leveraging progressive policy shifts, notably in Uttar Pradesh, where excise policy reforms for FY25-26 have doubled liquor retail touch points from 6,500 to approximately 12,500. This move is expected to enhance access and consumer choice. The company also recommenced business in Andhra Pradesh after a 5-year hiatus, quickly regaining national market share. The India-U.K. free trade agreement, halving Scotch duty from 150% to 75%, is anticipated to lead to a high single-digit reduction in consumer prices and a corresponding increase in Scotch volume, with BII portfolio prices expected to reduce by 4-5%.

Premiumization and Brand Portfolio Strength

The company's strategy focuses on premiumization, with 70% of its growth in FY25 coming from the top half of its portfolio. Key brands like Johnnie Walker, Singleton, and Godawan are being nurtured through targeted campaigns and market expansion. McDowell's, RC, and Johnnie Walker are now over INR1,000 crores NSV trademarks, while Signature, Black Dog, and Black & White exceed INR500 crores NSV. McDowell's remains the world's largest selling whiskey with 30 million cases, highlighting the portfolio's scale and value.

Innovation and Future Growth Drivers

Innovation is a core pillar, with a target to double its contribution to NSV growth from the current high single-digit/low double-digit range within the next 3-5 years. This involves both international and local trademarks, focusing on premiumizing offerings, addressing consumer repertoire, and driving occasions. New product launches like McDowell's Double Oaked Barrel and X-series, along with Royal Challenge Pocket Packs, are part of this strategy to unlock value and stay ahead of evolving consumer aspirations.

Operational Efficiency and ESG Commitments

The multiyear supply agility program, initiated in January 2023, is on track, having achieved almost two-thirds of its cost optimization benefits, contributing INR70 crores to the P&L and INR15-20 crores in working capital efficiencies. Productivity initiatives delivered INR388 crores in FY25. On the ESG front, the company has created 1.1 million cubic meters of water replenishment capacity, increased distillation efficiency to 54%, and achieved 99% renewable energy in operations, leading to a 93% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions from 2020 levels.

Employee Engagement and Social Impact

Diageo India reported strong employee engagement with an overall score of 89%, 13 points above the external benchmark. 94% of employees are proud to work for the company, and 89% recommend it. Social initiatives include the 'Learning for Life' program, which has trained over 7,000 individuals since July 2020, and 'Act Smart India' educating over 500,000 people on underage drinking. The company also employs 56 persons with disabilities across its manufacturing facilities.

UP Market Strategy and McDowell's X-series Rollout

The company acknowledges struggling to grow share in the competitive UP market in recent years. With the new excise law doubling retail outlets, United Spirits is implementing a multi-pronged strategy. This includes the recent launch of Double Oak Barrel and the McDowell's X-series, which are getting seeded into the market. Further initiatives involve strengthening route-to-market capabilities, go-to-market strategies, and the upcoming launch of a McDowell pocket-sized product to drive share in this high-potential state.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.