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    Vardhman Special Steels Limited

    VSSL
    Capital Goods·23 Apr 2025
    Management Summary

    Vardhman Special Steels reported a strong FY25 with record sales volume of 215,000 tons and an EBITDA of INR 177 crores. The company increased its dividend to INR 3 and successfully implemented the Kocks block for operational improvements. A significant announcement was the approval of a new INR 2,000 crore greenfield plant in Punjab, focusing on green steel. However, Q4 margins were affected by a plant shutdown, and export targets have been revised downwards.

    Highlights

    5
    • Full year FY25 sales volume of 215,000 tons, up 11% YoY, demonstrating record production and sales.

    • FY25 EBITDA of INR 177 crores and PAT of INR 93.09 crores, marginally higher than previous year, within target range.

    • Dividend increased to INR 3 per share from INR 2, maintaining a 26% payout ratio.

    • Successful implementation of Kocks block, improving product quality, reducing changeover times, and increasing rolling capacity.

    • Announcement of a new INR 2,000 crore greenfield plant in Punjab, focusing on green steel and higher diameter products.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q4 FY25 EBITDA margin impacted by a plant shutdown, leading to low production and outsourcing.

    • Difficulty in predicting precise EBITDA per ton for the new plant due to its distant commissioning timeline (FY28-29).

    • Export mix target of 27% in 2 years is now deemed 'unlikely to happen' due to current trends, requiring presentation correction.

    What Changed1

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items18 → 11 (-7)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    05 metrics
    1. 01Total Sales Volume2,15,000 tons+11%YoY
    2. 02Total Sales Value+6.2%YoY
    3. 03EBITDA (incl. other income)₹177 Cr
    4. 04EBITDA per ton₹8,200
    5. 05PAT₹93.09 Cr

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹175 crores

    New plant to be financed through a mix of equity and debt; 3 banks have expressed support for loans.

    Debt

    Debt disclosed

    Dividend

    ₹3/share (final)

    Payout ratio 26.0%

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Shareholder Returns
    Dividend Payout Ratio
    around 25%
    High
    Profitability
    EBITDA per ton (existing plant)
    INR 8,000 to INR 11,000
    High
    Capacity
    Rolling Mill Capacity
    250,000 to 260,000 tons
    High
    Sales Volume
    Sales Volume
    225,000 tons
    High
    Sales Volume
    Sales Volume
    250,000 tons
    High
    New Plant
    Production Start
    FY28-FY29
    High
    Sustainability
    Power from Solar Plant
    40-45%
    High
    Debt
    Net Debt Status
    Net debt-free
    High
    Operations
    Outsourcing Volume
    5,000 tons annually
    High
    Market Size
    Alloy Steel Market Size (India)
    10 million tons
    Medium
    Product
    Maximum Diameter
    130 mm
    High

    New Plant Land Purchase Completion

    next 2-3 months
    CurrentProcess begun
    TargetCompleted

    Why it matters

    Essential first step for the INR 2,000 crore greenfield project to proceed.

    The process of land purchase has begun. And hopefully💬, in the next 2 to 3 months, we should be able to complete the land purchase.

    How to verify

    capital_allocation.capex.purposes[description='New greenfield plant']

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Commercial Vehicle Segment Demand

    Growth in the commercial vehicle segment is not meeting forecasted expectations.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Export Market Turmoil

    Current tariff situation is causing turmoil in the export market for components, potentially leading to reduced purchasing by some customers.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Raw Material Price Volatility

    Raw material prices fluctuate, impacting quarter-to-quarter EBITDA, though annual figures are more stable.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Pricing Pressure from Commodity Steel Imports

    Large steel players face pressure from Chinese imports in commodity steels, which can indirectly affect pricing for specialty steels.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Execution Delays for New Plant

    While the process for the new plant has begun, land purchase and environmental approvals are still pending, which could cause minor delays.Management acknowledged

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “Left out capex in the next 2 years, including this FY'26 and FY'27 will be close to INR 175 crores. So out of that, about INR 55 crores, INR 60 crores for the rolling mill remaining part and the other part for the entity line, environment expenses and other expense we have expenditures. After that, this plant is almost complete. So, no major capex in this plant. And then the replacement capex at the right time will again, that's normally going on. As far as the new plant is concerned, in the next 2 years, the major capex is only going to be land, and then the advances of machinery and all will start sometime in the financial year, '26-'27.”

    Clarifies the remaining capex for the existing plant and the initial capex focus for the new INR 2,000 crore plant.

    asked by Muskan Rastogi

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    New Greenfield Plant Announcement

    Vardhman Special Steels announced the Board's decision to establish a new greenfield plant in Punjab, targeting an investment of approximately INR 2,000 crores. This plant will focus on 'green steel' production, incorporating a solar plant from the outset to achieve a lower carbon footprint (projected 0.45-0.48, down from 0.72). The new facility aims to expand into higher diameter products not currently offered and improve overall quality and cost efficiency. Funding will be a mix of equity and debt, with land purchase initiated and environmental approvals to follow.

    02

    Operational Enhancements and Capacity Expansion

    The company achieved record production and sales in FY25, testing its rated capacity of 300,000 tons per year for billet making. A significant operational improvement was the implementation of the Kocks block in the rolling mill, which provides precise diameter control, enabling higher value-added products. This upgrade was completed with a minimal 23-day shutdown, increasing rolling capacity, reducing changeover times, and consequently lowering working capital inventory. The remaining capex for the existing plant, including a reheating furnace, is INR 50-60 crores, expected to be commissioned by December.

    03

    Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns

    For the full financial year FY25, Vardhman Special Steels reported a total sales volume of 215,000 tons, an 11% increase over the previous year, with sales value up by 6.2%. EBITDA, including other income, stood at INR 177 crores, translating to an EBITDA per ton of INR 8,200, within the target range of INR 7,000-10,000. PAT was INR 93.09 crores, marginally higher YoY. The company increased its dividend from INR 2 to INR 3 per share, achieving a 26% dividend payout, aligning with its policy to maintain around 25% payout.

    04

    Market Dynamics and Outlook

    Management noted stable demand in the car and 2-wheeler segments but observed slower-than-expected growth in the commercial vehicle segment. The alloy steel market in India is currently around 4 million tons and is projected to grow to 10 million tons over the next decade. While the company previously targeted a 27% export mix, this has been revised as 'unlikely to happen' due to current trends, with a focus on domestic sales, including meeting European OEM demand from India. The company anticipates an EBITDA per ton of INR 8,000-11,000 for the existing plant in FY26-27.

    05

    Debt Management and Future Funding

    The company aims to become net debt-free within the next three years, excluding the capex for the new greenfield project. This strategy positions Vardhman Special Steels with a strong balance sheet, targeting approximately INR 1,000 crores of net worth with zero debt, to support the INR 2,000 crore new plant investment. The new plant will be financed through a combination of equity issuance and debt, with three banks already expressing support for the loan component.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.