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    ADC
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    AGREE REALTY Q2 FY26 earnings call ADC

    Jul 31, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Agree Realty Q2 FY26 — Record Investment and Raised Guidance

    Agree Realty delivered a record-setting quarter, driven by robust investment activity across its three growth platforms and strong portfolio performance. The company raised its full-year investment volume and AFFO per share guidance, underscoring its ability to compound earnings growth while maintaining a conservative balance sheet. Management highlighted its differentiated market position, deep retailer relationships, and internal asset management platform as key competitive advantages, with ongoing investments in AI and technology to further enhance operational efficiency.

    Highlights

    5
    • Invested a company record of over $500 million across three growth platforms in Q2 FY26.

    • Raised full-year investment volume guidance to $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion, a 24% increase at the midpoint over initial guidance.

    • Raised full-year AFFO per share guidance by $0.02 at the midpoint to $4.57 to $4.59, implying nearly 6% year-over-year growth.

    • Achieved a lease recapture rate of approximately 105% on 760,000 square feet of GLA in Q2 FY26.

    • Occupancy rate ticked up 10 basis points sequentially to a company record of 99.8%.

    Concerns

    1
    • The 10-year treasury rate is elevated at 4.7%, posing potential future headwinds for capital costs.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year investment volume
    $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year AFFO per share
    $4.57 to $4.59
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year credit and occupancy loss assumption
    25 basis points
    medium materiality
    High
    Annual development and DFP spend
    $250 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow after dividend
    exceed $140 million
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    25
    Core FFO per share
    $1.137.5% year-over-year increase
    Q2 FY26
    AFFO per share
    $1.147.4% year-over-year increase
    Q2 FY26
    Credit and occupancy loss
    10 basis points
    Year-to-date

    Fully loaded definition.

    Forward equity shares sold
    400,000 shares
    Q2 FY26
    Existing forward equity settled
    4.3 million shares
    Q2 FY26
    Delayed draw term loan drawdown
    $100 million
    Q2 FY26

    Remaining amount drawn.

    Forward starting swaps
    $50 million
    Q2 FY26

    Additional swaps entered into during the quarter.

    Net proceeds from proactive hedging activity
    $63 million
    Past 5 years

    Excludes $300 million of outstanding forward starting swaps that are currently in the money.

    Total liquidity
    $1.9 billion
    Quarter end

    Net of amounts outstanding on commercial paper program.

    Net debt to recurring EBITDA
    3.7x
    Quarter end
    Net debt to recurring EBITDA (excluding unsettled forward equity)
    5.2x
    Quarter end
    Net debt to enterprise value
    29%
    Quarter end
    Fixed charge coverage ratio
    4.1x
    Q2 FY26

    Remains very healthy.

    Dividend per common share (monthly)
    $0.2674.3% year-over-year increase (annualized)
    April, May, June, July

    Increased during Q2 and maintained for July.

    Dividend payout ratio
    70%
    Q2 FY26

    Dividend is very well covered.

    Lease recapture rate
    105%
    Q2 FY26

    Executed new leases, extensions, or options.

    Lease recapture rate
    105%
    First half FY26

    Executed new leases, extensions, or options.

    Leases maturing
    18 leasesdown over 100 basis points from start of year
    Remainder of FY26

    Company is in excellent position for the remainder of the year.

    Occupancy rate
    99.8%up 10 basis points sequentially
    Quarter end

    Matches a company record.

    Total properties
    2,825 properties
    Quarter end
    Ground lease exposure
    268 ground leases
    Quarter end
    Investment-grade exposure
    nearly 2/3
    Quarter end

    Of portfolio.

    Weighted average cap rate on dispositions
    7%
    Q2 FY26
    Disposition proceeds
    $30 million
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily Goodyear and Advance Auto Parts stores, none investment-grade, limited term remaining of ~6.9 years.

    G&A as a percent of revenues
    compression
    Future

    Expected due to leveraging AI, improved systems, and lean processes.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Credit loss ratio10 basis pointsbps
    Investment volume and initial cash yield$451 millionUSD
    Rent recapture rate on renewals re leasing105%%
    Weighted average lease term on new investments11.2 yearsyears

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    BP North AmericaAcquisition of BP-branded travel centersapproximately $75 millionlong-term leases

    Part of the large-format C-store sector focus, located on major interstates.

    VariousAcquisition of 82 retail net lease assets$451 millionweighted average lease term of 11.2 years

    Properties leased to operators in auto parts, home improvement, grocery, farm and role supply, and convenience store sectors. Includes 3 Walmart Supercenter ground leases, a Walmart Neighborhood Market, and a Home Depot ground lease.

    Goodyear, Advance Auto PartsDisposition of 14 propertiesapproximately $30 millionlimited term remaining of approximately 6.9 years

    Primarily comprised of 3 Goodyear locations and 4 Advance Auto Parts stores. None were investment-grade credit.

    Sam's Club, Walmart SupercenterExecuted new leases, extensions, or options

    Covered approximately 760,000 square feet of gross leasable area in Q2 FY26, including a Sam's Club in Maryland and a Walmart Supercenter in Georgia.

    Capital programs

    5
    Development and DFP projects commencedunderway$88 million
    Start: Q2 FY26

    Benefit: 5 projects

    Includes 7-Elevens, Ross, Burlington, and TJX concepts. Total anticipated costs.

    Development and DFP projects commencedunderway
    Period spend: $105 million
    Start: Year-to-date

    More than 3x the level achieved in the prior period.

    Development and DFP projects (completed or under construction)underway$200 million
    Funding: committed capital
    Start: First half FY26

    Benefit: 20 projects

    Company record.

    Projects under constructionunderway$83 million
    Start: Q2 FY26

    Benefit: 10 projects

    Includes Burlington, Sunbelt Rentals, and Ross.

    Sunbelt Rentals project in Missouricompletedjust over $6 million

    One project completed during the quarter.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Interest rate sensitivityNear term

    10-year treasury elevated at 4.7%

    Mitigation: Proactive hedging activity with $300 million of forward starting swaps; $1.9 billion total liquidity; no material debt maturities until 2028.

    Tenant concentration / credit quality (AMCs)Ongoing

    Few AMCs in the portfolio

    Mitigation: AMCs were upgraded by S&P, raised equity capital, and show box office momentum. Overall watchlist is in a good spot, lower than prior years.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Full-year investment volume

    FY26
    Current$500M+ invested in Q2
    Target$1.6B-$1.8B

    Why it matters

    This metric indicates the company's ability to deploy capital and drive external growth, directly impacting future earnings.

    All 3 of our external growth platforms have broad and expansive pipelines, enabling us to once again raise our full year investment volume guidance to an updated range of $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    With accelerating acquisition activity in the net lease sector, are you seeing any changes in bidding behavior, especially for larger portfolios or investment-grade assets?

    Management stated no material change in bidding behavior or competitive landscape. Cap rates have remained within a consistent band for three years, and they don't anticipate significant changes despite elevated 10-year treasury rates.

    Michael, no material change as we've seen. Again, cap rates have effectively been within a band for going on 3 years now. So we haven't seen any material changes, any new entrants to the competitive set.

    asked by Michael Goldsmith · answered by Joey Agree

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Record Investment Activity and Portfolio Quality

    Agree Realty achieved a company record investment of over $500 million in Q2 FY26 across 102 properties, marking the highest quarterly activity since the depths of COVID. These acquisitions, primarily retail net lease assets, boasted a weighted average cap rate of 7% and a weighted average lease term of 11.2 years. The portfolio's quality was highlighted by over 73% of annualized base rents from investment-grade retailers and 13.5% from ground lease assets, reflecting a strategic focus on high-credit, long-term leases.

    02

    Scaling Development and DFP Platforms

    The development and Developer Funding Platform (DFP) continued to scale, setting a company record for construction start volume with five projects breaking ground, totaling approximately $88 million in anticipated costs. Year-to-date, the company commenced over $105 million of projects, more than triple the prior period, and had 20 projects completed or under construction representing $200 million of committed capital. This progress positions the company well to achieve its medium-term objective of $250 million in annual development and DFP spend.

    03

    Strategic Focus on Ground Leases and Key Sectors

    Agree Realty continues to strategically pursue ground lease opportunities, which now comprise over 10% of its annualized base rents. Management emphasized the attractive risk-adjusted returns of ground leases, where the tenant builds the structure, and the land reverts to the company if the tenant vacates. The company also maintains a deep investment focus on off-price and large-format convenience store sectors, where it is already among the largest owners nationally, leveraging these sectors for significant pipeline opportunities.

    04

    Robust Balance Sheet and Capital Management

    The company maintains a strong financial position with total liquidity of approximately $1.9 billion at quarter-end, including cash on hand, forward equity, and over $750 million available on its revolving credit facility. Pro forma net debt to recurring EBITDA stood at 3.7x, demonstrating a conservative leverage profile. Proactive hedging activities, including $300 million of forward starting swaps, have locked in attractive capital costs and provide significant visibility into medium-term funding during macro uncertainty🌐.

    05

    Operational Efficiency and Technology Integration

    Agree Realty is actively investing in technology and AI to enhance operational efficiency, streamline workflows, and accelerate transaction execution. These initiatives, combined with the upcoming launch of ARC 3.0, are expected to further strengthen operating leverage and compress G&A as a percentage of revenues. The company's lean organizational structure, with approximately 100 team members, supports its ability to execute a high volume of transactions while continuously improving processes.

    06

    Differentiated Retailer Partnerships

    The company highlighted its unique market position, built on durable competitive advantages and deep retailer relationships. Agree Realty offers a full suite of solutions to its partners, including development, sale-leaseback acquisitions, third-party acquisitions, and early lease extensions. This comprehensive value proposition, coupled with an active asset management team, distinguishes the company as a preferred partner for leading retailers, fostering a continuous pipeline of transactional activity.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.