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    ADPT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Adaptive Biotechnologies Q2 FY26 earnings call ADPT

    Jul 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Adaptive Biotechnologies Q2 FY26 — Strong MRD Growth and Immune Medicine Separation Plan

    Adaptive Biotechnologies delivered an exceptional quarter, marked by robust performance in its MRD business, driven by strong clinical testing volumes and pharma sequencing. The company is actively pursuing the separation of its Immune Medicine business to unlock its full potential, while simultaneously strengthening its financial position. Management remains confident in the long-term trajectory of the MRD business and its ability to generate profitable growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • MRD business core revenue (excluding milestones) increased 49% year-over-year.

    • Clinical testing volume grew 43% year-over-year, with over 36,100 clonoSEQ tests delivered.

    • MRD sequencing gross margin expanded to 71%, up 9 percentage points from a year ago, and adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 14%.

    • Full-year MRD revenue guidance was raised to a range of $268 million to $278 million.

    • Strengthened balance sheet with approximately $357 million in cash after a $340 million convertible note offering.

    Concerns

    2
    • Competitive environment in DLBCL

    • Lumpiness of pharma revenue

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year MRD revenue
    $268 million to $278 million
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year clinical volume growth
    38% to 40%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year US ASP
    approximately $1,400 per test
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year sequencing gross margin
    exceed 70%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year adjusted EBITDA
    expand
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year operating expense
    $350 million to $355 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Total company adjusted EBITDA
    positive
    high materiality
    High
    Total company free cash flow
    positive
    high materiality
    High
    Immune Medicine separation path
    identify preferred path
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    MRD
    Exceptional operating performance driven by strong clinical testing and pharma sequencing, with significant margin expansion.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $9.1 millionAdjusted EBITDA margin: 14%
    49% (core, ex-milestones)71% (sequencing gross margin)
    Immune Medicine
    Revenue primarily from the Pfizer target discovery agreement, with strategic focus sharpened on proprietary TCR antigen data, AI, and target discovery for autoimmune disease.
    Adjusted EBITDA loss: $6.3 million
    8%

    Operational metrics

    29
    Clinical testing volume
    >36,100 tests43% YoY growth, 11% sequential growth
    Q2 FY26

    Primary driver of MRD growth.

    CLL sequential growth
    16%sequential
    Q2 FY26

    Benefiting from 2025 NCCN guideline update.

    Multiple myeloma sequential growth
    15%sequential
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by broader adoption of blood-based testing.

    Multiple myeloma testing volume percentage
    44%
    Q2 FY26

    Largest indication for clonoSEQ testing volume.

    Lymphoma (DLBCL and MCL) testing volume percentage
    16%
    Q2 FY26

    Combined percentage of total testing volume, both delivered healthy double-digit sequential growth.

    Blood-based testing growth
    68%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Supports more frequent MRD testing and expands opportunity in community setting.

    Blood-based testing percentage of total clonoSEQ volume
    51%
    Q2 FY26

    Exceeded half of all tests for the first time.

    Blood-based testing percentage in Multiple Myeloma
    30%
    Q2 FY26

    Increasing adoption in an indication traditionally relying on bone marrow testing.

    Blood-based testing percentage in ALL
    42%
    Q2 FY26

    Increasing adoption in an indication traditionally relying on bone marrow testing.

    Community testing percentage of total clonoSEQ volume
    36%
    Q2 FY26

    Exceeded full year target, supported by broader adoption of clinical guidelines.

    Community testing growth
    65%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Supported by broader adoption of updated clinical guidelines and EMR-enabled workflows.

    Repeat orders fulfilled (Flatiron integration)
    75%
    Q2 FY26

    Demonstrates increasing incorporation of MRD into ongoing patient management.

    Clinicians ordering clonoSEQ
    Nearly 5,20040% YoY increase
    Q2 FY26

    Indicator that MRD testing is becoming a standard part of clinical care.

    MRD pharma sequencing revenue growth
    38%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Highlights continued strength of the underlying sequencing business without milestone recognition.

    Active global clinical trials
    189
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects continued demand from biopharma partners.

    Backlog
    $245 millionup 12% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Important leading indicator of future revenue.

    Studies using MRD as regulated endpoint
    60%up from 40% a couple of years ago
    Q2 FY26

    These studies carry higher economic value and create opportunities for future milestone payments.

    EMR integrations
    31
    YTD

    Progress in making repeat testing easier for physicians.

    MRD percentage of total company revenue
    92%
    Q2 FY26

    Highlights the dominant contribution of the MRD business.

    MRD clinical percentage of MRD revenue
    75%
    Q2 FY26

    Breakdown of MRD revenue sources.

    MRD pharma percentage of MRD revenue
    25%
    Q2 FY26

    Breakdown of MRD revenue sources.

    Adjusted EBITDA loss
    $0.7 million
    Q2 FY26

    Resulting from MRD adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million and Immune Medicine adjusted EBITDA loss of $6.3 million.

    Debt extinguishment expense
    $26.4 million
    Q2 FY26

    Included in GAAP net loss, related to the settled OrbiMed financing agreement.

    Cash and investments balance
    $357 million
    Q2 FY26

    Strengthened balance sheet following convertible note offering.

    MRD milestone revenue recognized
    $9 million
    Q1 FY26

    Included in full year guidance, with no additional milestone revenue assumed for H2 FY26.

    Multiple myeloma penetration
    17%
    Q2 FY26

    Indicates a long growth runway ahead.

    Medicare population percentage of business
    high 30s%
    Q2 FY26

    Relevant for discussions on coverage expansion with MolDX.

    Top 100 users percentage of volume
    10%
    Q2 FY26

    Indicates a distributed user base for clonoSEQ.

    Providers for 80% of volume
    2,000
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects the distribution of clonoSEQ usage over time.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    FCF conversion ROICpositive
    Revenue EPS guidanceMRD revenue: $268 million to $278 million; Operating expense: $350 million to $355 million; Positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flowUSD
    Pricing price realization$1,382USD per test
    Diagnostics testing demand>36,100tests

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Morgan StanleyRetained as advisor for Immune Medicine separation

    Retained to advise on evaluating strategic and structural alternatives for the Immune Medicine business.

    PfizerCollaboration in Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA)

    Sequencing patients to identify disease-specific T cell receptors to inform potential therapeutic development. Remains an important focus for the Immune Medicine team.

    Harell Data Corp.Trial agreement for Immune Medicine assets

    An independent cloud-based marketplace founded by Harlan Robins, enabling crowd-sourcing of proprietary data sets and AI models among researchers and developers.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Competitive environment in DLBCLOngoing

    Not quantified, but acknowledged as present.

    Mitigation: Unparalleled technology platform, strong evidence base, established reimbursement, EMR integration, and plans to demonstrate clinical performance of enhanced ctDNA assay.

    Lumpiness of pharma revenueOngoing

    Not quantified, but described as dependent on timing of trial enrollment and sample arrivals.

    Mitigation: Strong trends, continued opportunity in multiple myeloma and leukemias, and increasing use of MRD as an endpoint in interventional/regulated studies.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Immune Medicine separation path

    by year-end
    CurrentEvaluating strategic and structural alternatives
    TargetIdentify preferred path

    Why it matters

    The separation is expected to unlock shareholder value and allow Immune Medicine to pursue its growth strategy independently.

    We remain on track to identify our preferred path by year-end, and we'll update you on further progress accordingly.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Despite multiple myeloma being a mature indication, it showed 15% sequential growth. What are the drivers, and how can this growth be sustained?

    The growth is driven by increased blood-based testing, which facilitates community access and interim surveillance. The company is developing data for clinical actionability use cases (e.g., avoiding transplantation, discontinuing therapy) and noted that multiple myeloma is only 17% penetrated, indicating significant future growth potential.

    We're now only 17% penetrated in multiple myeloma. So there's a long kind of growth runway ahead of us, especially as we continue to move to or incorporate more blood-based testing and penetrate the community.

    asked by David Westenberg · answered by Chad Robins

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    MRD Business Outperformance and Growth Drivers

    The MRD business delivered an exceptional quarter, with core revenue, excluding milestones, increasing 49% year-over-year. This growth was fueled by a 43% rise in clinical testing volume, reaching over 36,100 clonoSEQ tests, and strong momentum in pharma sequencing. Key drivers include blood-based testing, which now constitutes 51% of total clonoSEQ volume and grew 68% year-over-year, and community adoption, accounting for 36% of volume with 65% year-over-year growth. The company also noted 75% fulfillment of repeat orders one year post-Flatiron integration.

    02

    Strategic Separation of Immune Medicine Business

    Adaptive Biotechnologies announced plans to separate its Immune Medicine business, aiming to unlock its full potential by allowing it to pursue an independent growth strategy and access dedicated capital. Morgan Stanley has been retained as an advisor, with a preferred separation path expected to be identified by year-end. The Immune Medicine portfolio's focus has been sharpened to its proprietary TCR antigen data set, AI/machine learning models, and target discovery platform for autoimmune diseases, winding down the research use-only pharma services business.

    03

    Strengthened Financial Position and Profitability

    The company successfully completed a $340 million 0-coupon convertible note offering, which enabled the retirement of the OrbiMed agreement, simplified the capital structure, and enhanced financial flexibility. Adaptive ended the quarter with approximately $357 million in cash. Operational efficiencies contributed to a significant expansion in MRD sequencing gross margin to 71%, up 9 percentage points year-over-year, and an increase in MRD adjusted EBITDA margin to 14%.

    04

    Clinical Adoption and Pricing Progress

    Clinical revenue increased 53% year-over-year, driven by volume growth and a 7% increase in US ASP to $1,382 per test. Growth was broad-based across reimbursed indications, with CLL growing 16% sequentially and multiple myeloma, representing 44% of testing volume, growing 15% sequentially. The company is on track to achieve an ASP of approximately $1,400 per test for the full year, supported by ongoing reimbursement gains and improved revenue cycle management.

    05

    Pharma Business Momentum and Strategic Shift

    MRD pharma sequencing revenue grew 38% year-over-year, excluding milestones, and the business ended the quarter with 189 active global clinical trials and a backlog of approximately $245 million, up 12% year-over-year. A significant shift is observed, with studies using MRD as a regulated endpoint now comprising about 60% of active studies, up from 40% a couple of years ago. This trend is expected to drive higher economic value and future milestone payments.

    06

    New Monetization and Collaboration for Immune Medicine

    Beyond the separation, Immune Medicine is exploring new monetization avenues, including a trial agreement with Harell Data Corp., an independent cloud-based marketplace for proprietary data sets and AI models. The ongoing collaboration with Pfizer in RA, focused on sequencing patients to identify disease-specific T cell receptors for therapeutic development, remains a key focus for the Immune Medicine team.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.