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    ADT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    ADT Q2 FY26 earnings call ADT

    Jul 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    ADT Q2 FY26 — Strong Cash Flow and Strategic Investments Drive Modestly Raised Outlook

    ADT delivered a solid second quarter, marked by exceptionally strong cash generation that supported significant share repurchases and a modestly raised full-year outlook. The company is actively transitioning its go-to-market strategy, focusing on lower-cost customer acquisition channels and leveraging AI to enhance service efficiency and product capabilities. While gross additions saw a temporary impact from reduced bulk purchases and dealer channel softness, core organic growth remains robust, and the ADT+ ecosystem continues to expand with new offerings like ADT Blue and present sensing technology.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted free cash flow, including interest rate swaps, was up $133 million or 48% year-over-year to $406 million.

    • Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow reached $820 million, up over $300 million or 64% versus prior year.

    • Repurchased 89 million shares year-to-date, including 29 million shares in connection with Apollo's secondary offering, with $885 million remaining under authorization.

    • Total revenue grew 2% to $1.3 billion, with installation revenue up 17%.

    • Direct DIFM residential adds were up high single digits and SMB adds were up mid-single digits for the quarter.

    Concerns

    3
    • Gross RMR additions fell 17% year-over-year and gross unit additions declined 22%, largely due to fewer bulk account purchases and softness in the dealer channel.

    • Trailing 12-month attrition remained flat at approximately 13.1%, with modest pressure from non-payment cancellations.

    • Expect higher cash taxes and cash interest in FY27, estimated at $50 million to $100 million each as headwinds.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total Revenue Growth
    approximately 2%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EPS Growth
    2%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth
    approximately 30%
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 Income vs Q3
    somewhat higher
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q3 and Q4 Revenue and Cash
    similar
    low materiality
    Medium
    Leverage Target
    2.5x
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    18
    Monitoring and Services Revenue
    down 1%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflecting revenue loss from multifamily business divestiture.

    Installation Revenue
    $230 millionup 17%
    Q2 FY26

    Due to a high mix of outright equipment sales.

    Gross New Subscribers
    190,000
    Q2 FY26

    Fewer bulk account purchases and softness in dealer channel partially offset by growth in direct.

    Gross RMR Additions
    $11.9 million
    Q2 FY26

    Associated with 190,000 gross new subscribers.

    Net Cash SAC
    $345 milliondown 7%
    Q2 FY26

    Driven primarily by fewer bulk purchases, partially offset by timing of consumer financing flows.

    Bulk Account Purchases
    10,000vs. 50,000 in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Pipeline for quality bulks can be episodic.

    New Customer Additions on ADT+
    30%
    H1 FY26

    Mix of new customer additions on the ADT+ platform.

    Dealer Channel Migration to ADT+
    3 to 4 quarter migration
    starting Q3 FY26

    Initial feedback from dealer community is very positive.

    Customer Contacts Handled by Human Agents
    20% fewer
    Q2 FY26

    Result of AI-driven call routing and virtual AI agents, with improved customer satisfaction.

    Service Tickets
    reduced by similar amount
    Q2 FY26

    Result of AI-driven call routing and virtual AI agents, with improved customer satisfaction.

    Direct DIFM Residential Adds
    high single digitsup
    Q2 FY26

    Core organic business performing well.

    SMB Adds
    mid-single digitsup
    Q2 FY26

    Core organic business performing well.

    Cash Taxes
    $142 million
    FY25

    Prior year cash taxes, used as a baseline for expected higher taxes in FY27.

    Expected Cash Taxes Headwind
    $50 million to $100 million
    FY27

    Expected increase in cash taxes for 2027.

    Expected Interest Expense Headwind
    $50 million to $100 million
    FY27

    Expected increase in interest expense for 2027 due to expiring swaps and refinancing at higher rates.

    ADT Blue Fully Monitored Package Price
    $35
    monthly

    Customers are choosing the full security package, which tends to price higher at $34.99 and above.

    ADT Blue Video Only Package Price
    $10
    monthly

    Plans starting at around $10 per month for video only.

    Code Generated by AI
    over 3/4
    last month

    Incredible uptake across software organization from an adoption and efficiency perspective.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    EPS$0.23USD
    Revenue$1.3 billionUSD
    Net income$180 millionUSD
    Adjusted EBITDA ebita$671 millionUSD
    Operating income EBIT$671 millionUSD
    Cash investments balance$7.4 billionUSD
    Share buyback capital return$594 millionUSD

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    ADT Bluelaunch
    Present Sensing Offering (WiFi-based smart plug)roadmap
    Origin AI features (motion intelligence, alarm event intelligence, zone-based intelligence, video analytics)roadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    ApolloSecondary offering of remaining holdings

    Apollo sold its remaining holdings in a secondary offering and is now no longer an ADT shareholder. ADT repurchased 29 million shares in connection with this offering.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Softness in dealer channel and fewer bulk account purchasesQ2 FY26

    Gross RMR additions fell 17% YoY; gross unit additions declined 22% YoY; 10,000 bulk units purchased in Q2 FY26 vs. 50,000 in Q2 FY25.

    Mitigation: Offset by growth in direct subscriber and RMR additions; optimizing long-term economics by rationalizing spend in highest cost channels; focusing on organic growth.

    Modest pressure from non-payment cancellationsQ2 FY26

    Non-payment cancellations were modestly higher than last year.

    Mitigation: Tightened credit standards; process changes around proactive save offers.

    Higher cash taxes in 2027FY27

    Expected $50 million to $100 million headwind in FY27; FY25 cash taxes were $142 million.

    Mitigation: Always working to optimize and minimize cash taxes.

    Higher cash interest in 2027FY27

    Expected $50 million to $100 million headwind in FY27; current weighted average cost of debt approximately 4.3%; upcoming refinancing at 3.375% unlikely to be matched.

    Mitigation: Working to optimize and find other ways to generate strong cash.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    ADT Blue volume growth

    Q3 and Q4 FY26
    CurrentEarly stages, Amazon-only launch
    TargetVolumes begin to grow

    Why it matters

    Indicates success of new low-cost acquisition channel and expansion into DIY market segment.

    During the second half of the year, we will scale our presence on Amazon and build ADT Blue momentum through additional advertising. We expect volumes to begin to grow in the third and fourth quarters.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    How much of the decline in gross RMR and unit additions is intentional strategy vs. market demand, and what's the path to growth?

    The decline is primarily due to fewer bulk account purchases (10k this quarter vs. 50k last year) and intentional dialing back of expensive affiliate channels, along with some dealer channel softness. Core direct organic business (DIFM) is up high single digits for residential and mid-single digits for SMB. The company is focused on strong economics and expects new growth initiatives to contribute later this year and next.

    You're correct on the biggest difference between this quarter and Q2 of last year being related to unit bulks. We completed a 10,000 unit bulk this quarter, 50,000 bulk in Q2 of last year.

    asked by Keen Fai Tong · answered by James DeVries

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Priorities and Execution

    ADT continues to focus on three key strategic areas: product technology, service excellence, and customer acquisition efficiency. Investments in product technology include expanding the ADT+ ecosystem, launching ADT Blue for DIY customers, and advancing a new privacy-preserving presence sensing offering for security and aging-in-place use cases, with customer pilots expected in Fall 2026 and a launch in early 2027.

    02

    AI Initiatives for Efficiency and Customer Experience

    The company is seeing good momentum from AI initiatives, particularly in call centers, where AI-driven call routing and virtual AI agents have led to nearly 20% fewer customer contacts through human agents and a similar reduction in service tickets, while improving customer satisfaction. Future AI expansions include transcribing and analyzing sales/service calls, SMS engagement with virtual agents, and AI-enabled fleet safety technology, aiming for meaningful contributions to growth and margin expansion.

    03

    Customer Acquisition Strategy and ADT Blue Launch

    ADT is migrating to lower-cost sales tactics and channels, including rationalizing spend in highest-cost channels, which may temporarily affect subscriber additions but is designed to improve long-term returns. The launch of ADT Blue, a lower-cost self-installed security solution, broadens reach to value-conscious and DIY-oriented customers, with initial positive customer receptiveness. The company plans to scale its presence on Amazon and build momentum through additional advertising in H2 2026.

    04

    Dealer Channel Transition and Organic Growth

    The third-party dealer network, historically representing over one-third of gross additions, is transitioning to the ADT+ platform in phases over the next year. While this transition and reduced bulk purchases have impacted gross additions, the core direct 'do-it-for-me' (DIFM) business remains strong, with residential adds up high single digits and SMB adds up mid-single digits for the quarter. The company aims to replace volume from affiliate and dealer softness with organic muscle and new initiatives.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Financial Structure

    ADT maintains a strong capital structure and liquidity, with an undrawn $800 million revolving credit facility. The company deployed $684 million to shareholders in H1 2026, including $594 million for share repurchases and $90 million in dividends. Net debt stands at approximately $7.4 billion, with leverage at 2.8x adjusted EBITDA and a weighted average cost of debt around 4.3%. The objective is to further reduce leverage to 2.5x.

    06

    Working Capital Management and Future Cash Flow

    Strong cash generation in H1 2026 was significantly driven by tax planning progress and working capital management, including a discrete item📎 related to payroll timing and tight management of inventory and payables. While working capital is expected to be less of a benefit in H2 2026, the company will continue to optimize it. Higher cash taxes and interest are anticipated in 2027, with cash taxes potentially increasing from $142 million in the prior year and interest rates for refinancing expected to be higher than the current 3.375%.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.