Skip to content
    AFL
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    AFLAC Q2 FY26 earnings call AFL

    Aug 7, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Aflac Q2 FY26 — Solid Profitability and Strategic Portfolio Repositioning

    Aflac delivered solid Q2 FY26 results, driven by strong profitability in Japan and growth in the U.S. group business, despite a decline in Japan sales against tough prior-year comparisons and lower variable investment income. Management continues to focus on strategic capital deployment, including significant share repurchases, and is actively repositioning its investment portfolio for improved returns, while navigating inflationary pressures and product mix shifts.

    Highlights

    6
    • Aflac Incorporated adjusted EPS increased 1.1% year-over-year to $1.80 (excluding FX).

    • Aflac Japan pretax margin increased 230 basis points year-over-year to 34.3%.

    • Aflac U.S. sales increased 2.6% year-over-year in Q2, with group business (especially voluntary products and network dental/vision) showing momentum.

    • Aflac U.S. maintained a solid pretax margin of 20.9%.

    • Returned $1.3 billion to shareholders in Q2 ($983M share repurchases, $309M dividends) and $2.6 billion for the first 6 months.

    • Repositioned $4.8 billion of the investment portfolio, expected to increase net investment income by over $50 million annually.

    Concerns

    5
    • Aflac Japan sales declined 5.6% to JPY 11 billion in Q2 due to strong prior-year comparison.

    • Aflac U.S. net earned premium growth rate expected to be just below the 3% to 6% guidance range for FY26.

    • Variable investment income ran $72 million or $0.11 per diluted share below long-term expectations.

    • Adjusted book value per share (excluding FX remeasurement) decreased 4.1%.

    • Japan benefit ratio expected to be at the high end of the 60% to 63% guidance range for FY26.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Aflac Japan sales
    Exceed 2025 sales
    medium materiality
    High
    Aflac Japan benefit ratio
    High end of 60% to 63%
    high materiality
    High
    Aflac U.S. net earned premium growth rate
    Just below 3% to 6% range
    medium materiality
    High
    Aflac U.S. net earned premium CAGR
    3% to 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Dividend increases
    Extend record of dividend increases
    high materiality
    High
    Annualized Net Investment Income increase from portfolio repositioning
    Over $50 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Aflac U.S. sales
    Stronger second half, heavily weighted in Q4
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Aflac Japan
    Sales declined in Q2 due to strong prior-year comparison, but H1 sales were up 7%. Pretax margin improved significantly. Benefit ratio was higher than expected due to mix of lapsing policies. Expense ratio improved despite inflation.
    Sales (H1 FY26): up 7%Net earned premiums (yen terms): -3.7% YoYUnderlying earned premiums (yen terms, ex-reinsurance, paid-up, DPL): -1.4% YoYBenefit ratio: 64%Benefit ratio (YTD): 63.4%Expense ratio: 20.2%Adjusted net investment income (yen terms): -2.9% YoYPremium persistency: 92.7%
    JPY 11 billion-5.6%34.3%
    Aflac U.S.
    Sales and net earned premiums grew. Pretax margin remained solid. Benefit ratio increased due to incurred group disability claims. Strong performance in group products, especially Dental & Vision.
    Net earned premium: up 2.3%Premium persistency: 79.4%Premium persistency: up 20 bps YoYBenefit ratio: 49.5%Benefit ratio: up 220 bps YoYExpense ratio: 36.1%Expense ratio: down 20 bps YoYAdjusted net investment income: up 0.5% YoYGroup Life Absence Disability and Dental & Vision sales: up 7.1% YoYDental and Vision property sales: up 47% in Q2Voluntary benefits sold alongside Dental & Vision: $1.07 per $1 of D&V
    2.6%20.9%

    Operational metrics

    23
    Adjusted earnings per diluted share
    $1.75
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Adjusted earnings per diluted share (ex-FX)
    $1.80up 1.1% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Remeasurement gains on reserves
    $46 million
    Q2 FY26

    Reduced benefits.

    Variable investment income
    $72 millionbelow long-term expectations
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Expense contingency release (U.S. segment)
    $26 million
    Q2 FY26

    Benefited results.

    Adjusted ROE
    12.7%
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Adjusted ROE (ex-FX remeasurement)
    16.6%
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Japan benefit ratio impact from reserve reinvestment gains
    60 bpsunder plan
    Q2 FY26

    Estimated impact.

    U.S. benefit ratio impact from reserve remeasurement gains
    30 bpsabove plan
    Q2 FY26

    Estimated impact.

    Corporate and other pretax adjusted loss
    $10 milliondown from $20 million gain last year
    Q2 FY26

    Main drivers were lower adjusted net investment income from lower short-term income and reduced hedge benefits, partially offset by higher fixed rate income.

    Tax credit investments impact on adjusted net investment income
    -$6 million
    Q2 FY26

    Negative impact for U.S. GAAP purposes, with associated credit to the tax line.

    Tax credit investments benefit to net earnings
    $8 million
    Q2 FY26

    Overall benefit.

    Investment portfolio repositioning
    $4.8 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Repositioned through switch trades to capture higher yields and strengthen portfolio quality.

    U.S. statutory impairments on invested assets
    $11 million
    Q2 FY26

    Also $1 million valuation allowance on mortgage loans.

    Japan FSA securities impairment
    JPY 15.8 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Also JPY 33 million additional valuation allowance related to transitional real estate loans.

    Unencumbered liquidity
    $3.3 billion$2.3 billion above minimum balance
    Q2 FY26

    Minimum balance is $1 billion.

    Adjusted leverage
    21.8%
    Q2 FY26

    Impacted by yen-dollar exchange rate due to yen-denominated debt.

    Estimated regulatory ESR
    226%
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    Estimated regulatory ESR (with USP)
    240%
    Q2 FY26

    Decline QoQ primarily driven by significant subsidiary dividends.

    Estimated combined RBC
    slightly above 600%
    Q2 FY26

    Company-wide.

    First sector in-force
    less than 20%
    Q2 FY26

    Of total in-force.

    Concurrent sales of cancer and medical insurance with Tsumitasu
    exceeding 25%
    Q2 FY26

    Initial planning was for 25%.

    Japan inflation rate
    close to 3%
    current

    Function of domestic pressures and weakening yen.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital returns$1.3 billionUSD
    ROE operating ROE12.7%%
    Book value per share
    Net investment income-2.9%%
    Retention persistency92.7%%
    Life specific when present
    Net premiums written earned-3.7%%
    Statutory regulatory capital226%%

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Refreshed Tsumitasuupdate
    Anshin Palettelaunch

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Strong prior-year sales comparison in JapanQ2 FY26

    Aflac Japan sales declined 5.6% to JPY 11 billion in Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Continued promotion of third sector protection and innovative first sector savings-type products (Tsumitasu, Anshin Palette).

    Variable investment income below expectationsQ2 FY26

    $72 million or $0.11 per diluted share below long-term expectations.

    Mitigation: Active repositioning of $4.8 billion of the portfolio to capture higher yields and strengthen quality, expected to increase NII by over $50 million annually.

    Increased incurred group disability claims in U.S.Q2 FY26

    U.S. total benefit ratio came in at 49.5%, 220 basis points higher than Q2 2025.

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but implies ongoing monitoring and management of claims.

    Inflationary pressures in JapanCurrent

    Japan inflation running close to 3%.

    Mitigation: Strong expense management, resulting in a 40 bps YoY decrease in expense ratio to 20.2% in Q2. Monitoring Middle East situation for potential upward pressure on operating expenses and crude oil prices.

    Mix impact of lapsation on Japan benefit ratioFY26

    Japan benefit ratio for H1 FY26 was 63.4%, now expected at high end of 60-63% range for FY26.

    Mitigation: Expectation that lapse and reissue activity will normalize as Miraito Cancer Insurance matures (now over a year old), leading to stabilization of persistency and benefit ratio.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Aflac Japan sales growth

    Next quarter (Q3 FY26) and full year FY26.
    CurrentQ2 sales down 5.6% YoY, H1 sales up 7% YoY.
    TargetExceed 2025 sales for FY26.

    Why it matters

    Indicates the effectiveness of new product launches and distribution strategies in Japan, a key market.

    As a result, we continue to expect Aflac Japan sales to exceed 2025.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Details on the $4.8B portfolio repositioning and future opportunities.

    Management explained they harvested FX gains from the dollar portfolio to offset losses on older bonds (JGBs and dollar bonds) across Japan, U.S., and Bermuda. They see significant future opportunities due to the higher rate environment and will continue to pursue them.

    What we were able to do this quarter was harvest gains from foreign currency on our dollar portfolio in Aflac Japan and use that to offset losses on some of those older bonds, both in our U.S. dollar portfolio, but also our JGB portfolio.

    asked by Ryan Krueger · answered by Bradley Dyslin

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Investment Portfolio Repositioning

    Aflac actively repositioned $4.8 billion of its investment portfolio in Q2 FY26, primarily in Aflac Japan but also touching U.S. and Bermuda. This strategic move involved harvesting foreign currency gains from the dollar portfolio to offset losses on older bonds, including JGBs. The initiative aims to improve net investment income by over $50 million annually on a run-rate basis, while also managing taxes, liquidity, and asset-liability management with limited capital impact.

    02

    Japan First Sector Strategy

    Aflac Japan's first sector product, Tsumitasu, is playing a strategic role in expanding the customer base, particularly among younger generations seeking asset accumulation in yen. While Aflac remains primarily third-sector oriented, Tsumitasu contributes to concurrent sales of cancer and medical insurance, exceeding an initial target of 25% for cross-selling. The first sector in-force currently represents less than 20% of the total in-force, providing diversification benefits without significantly increasing overall risk.

    03

    U.S. Group Business Momentum

    Aflac U.S. is experiencing strong momentum in its group business, with Group Life Absence Disability and Dental & Vision products showing significant growth. Group Life Absence Disability and Dental & Vision sales were up 7.1% in Q2, with earned premiums for these group products increasing by 13%. The Dental and Vision property alone saw a 47% increase in Q2, heavily driven by the agency force, and is effectively driving voluntary benefits sales alongside it, with $1.07 of voluntary benefits sold for every dollar of Dental and Vision.

    04

    Japan Benefit Ratio Dynamics

    The Aflac Japan benefit ratio for the first half of FY26 was higher than expected, leading to a revised full-year expectation at the high end of the 60% to 63% range. This is primarily attributed to a shift in the mix of lapsing policies, with fewer older policies (which have significant reserve builds) lapsing and more recently issued policies (with lower reserve builds) lapsing. This mix impact, driven by product launches like Miraito, is expected to normalize📎 as newer products mature, supporting the full-year guidance.

    05

    Reinsurance Capacity Expansion

    Aflac has internally expanded its ceding limit for Japanese business to Bermuda from 10% of U.S. GAAP assets to 30% of FSA reserves. This move, shared with external constituents, aims to reduce risk, improve balance sheet efficiency, and generate higher ROE for Aflac Japan and the group. While future transactions will be lumpy and not quarterly, management views this as a significant long-term opportunity to leverage competitive advantages and improve the company's risk and return profile.

    06

    Inflation and Expense Management in Japan

    Despite inflationary pressures in Japan, with inflation running close to 3%, Aflac Japan successfully managed its expense ratio down by 40 basis points year-over-year to 20.2% in Q2. This strong performance is attributed to effective expense management, even as the revenue base is slightly shrinking. The company expects the long-term expense ratio range to remain 20% to 23%, with current performance at the lower end of this range.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.