Detailed Narrative
Market Environment and Underwriting Discipline
The market is transitioning from broad positive pricing to a more selective environment, with increased capacity from E&S carriers, MGAs, and ILS. This has created competitive pricing pressure in certain lines, particularly property. AIG is responding by deploying capital selectively where pricing, margin, and risk quality meet its appetite, and is retaining business that meets underwriting standards while walking away from inadequate terms.
Property Market Dynamics
In North America, particularly E&S, pricing remains under pressure. AIG has intentionally contracted its Lexington property portfolio in targeted areas, resulting in a 9 percentage point reduction in premium retention in Q2. This, combined with the pricing environment, reduced overall North America growth by over 3 percentage points. International property rates are declining more moderately and remain an attractive portfolio with lower peak catastrophe exposure.
Casualty and Specialty Market Performance
North America Retail Casualty pricing is up double digits and remains above loss cost trends, while excess casualty saw mid-teen pricing increases. In Global Specialty, AIG is closely monitoring energy and aviation markets due to pricing not reflecting heightened exposure from the Middle East conflict and recent large industry losses. Political violence and terrorism rates, however, increased 9% in Q2 due to elevated risk exposure.
Strategic Priorities and AI Capabilities
AIG's growth plan is built on five strategic priorities: exceptional underwriting, efficient balance sheet/reinsurance, expanding AI capabilities, expense discipline, and talent investment. The company is scaling 'underwriting by AIG Assist' and 'claims by AIG Assist,' which are improving underwriter productivity, submission review speed, and generating valuable commercial insights into broker performance and distribution trends.
Reserve Position and Social Inflation
Management expressed confidence in its reserve position, citing a limit management strategy, comprehensive reinsurance, and a rigorous 90-day portfolio review process. While some efforts have been made in certain states, AIG has not observed any moderation in social inflation and is not incorporating such an assumption into its pricing models at this stage.