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    ALK
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    ALASKA AIR GROUP Q1 FY26 earnings call ALK

    Apr 21, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Alaska Air Group Q1 FY26 — Strong Demand and Loyalty Offset Fuel Headwinds

    Alaska Air Group navigated a challenging Q1 FY26 marked by sharply higher fuel costs and regional disruptions, resulting in an adjusted net loss. Despite these headwinds, the company demonstrated resilient demand, particularly in premium and corporate travel, and made significant progress on its Alaska Accelerate strategy, including a major PSS cutover and an enhanced loyalty partnership. Management remains confident in its long-term trajectory and $10 EPS target, emphasizing strategic execution and capacity discipline to emerge stronger.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total Q1 revenues reached $3.3 billion, up 5% year-over-year on capacity growth of just 1.7%.

    • Managed corporate travel was exceptionally strong, up 19% in the first quarter.

    • Generated $615 million in cash remuneration from co-brand cards, up 12% year-over-year, with active membership growing 13%.

    • New long-term extension with Bank of America secures an additional $1 billion of total cash remuneration through 2030.

    • Achieved industry's #1 on-time performance in Q1, along with very high Net Promoter Scores.

    Concerns

    5
    • Reported an adjusted net loss of $192 million in Q1.

    • Fuel costs were more than $100 million higher in Q1, representing approximately a $0.70 impact to EPS.

    • Expect incremental fuel cost of $600 million or more in Q2, representing over $3 impact to EPS.

    • Significant headwinds in Hawaii (unprecedented storms) and Puerto Vallarta (civil unrest) reduced Q1 unit revenues by nearly 1 point.

    • Suspending full-year guide until conditions stabilize and line of sight to earnings beyond current quarter improves.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q2 Capacity Growth
    up approximately 1% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 Unit Revenue (RASM)
    high single-digit unit revenue gains with a path to 10%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 Fuel Price per Gallon
    $4.50
    high materiality
    Medium
    Q2 Fuel Cost Recovery
    approximately 1/3
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 Tax Rate
    32%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 EPS Estimate
    loss of approximately $1 per share
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full Year Guidance
    Suspended
    high materiality
    Low
    Long-term EPS Target
    $10
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    18
    Adjusted Net Loss
    $192 million
    Q1 FY26

    Excluding special items.

    Fuel Cost Impact on EPS
    $0.70
    Q1 FY26

    Impact from fuel costs being $100 million higher than planned.

    Fuel Cost Impact on EPS
    $3.00
    Q2 FY26

    Expected impact from incremental fuel costs of $600 million or more.

    Total Liquidity
    $2.9 billion
    Q1 FY26 end

    Includes cash on hand and undrawn line of credit.

    Unencumbered Assets
    $20 billion
    Q1 FY26 end

    Total value of unencumbered assets.

    Net Leverage
    3.3x
    Q1 FY26 end

    Net leverage ratio.

    Debt-to-Capital Ratio
    61%
    Q1 FY26 end

    Debt-to-capital ratio.

    Debt Repaid
    $340 million
    Q1 FY26

    Debt repaid during the quarter.

    Debt Repayment Expectation
    $65 million
    Q2 FY26

    Expected debt repayment in the second quarter.

    Share Repurchases
    $250 million
    YTD FY26

    Year-to-date share repurchases, expected to offset dilution this year. Further repurchases paused.

    Share Repurchase Authorization Remaining
    $180 million
    Current

    Remaining under the $1 billion authorization. Further repurchases paused to evaluate outlook.

    Loyalty Profit Target
    $150 million
    FY27

    Targeted loyalty profit by 2027, incremental to the new Bank of America deal economics.

    Bank of America Deal Incremental Cash Remuneration
    $1 billion
    Through 2030

    Additional cash remuneration secured through the multiyear extension with Bank of America.

    Bank of America Deal Margin Impact
    0.5 point
    FY26

    Roughly 0.5 point of margin impact in FY26, ramping to a full point in FY27.

    Pilot Attrition
    effectively 0
    Current

    Pilot attrition is effectively zero, absent retirement.

    Guest Satisfaction Improvement (Starlink)
    15 points
    Current

    Improvement in Net Promoter Scores across all Starlink equipped aircraft, with nearly 30 points on regional jets.

    Revenue from Outside Main Cabin
    more than half
    Current

    Driven by premium products, loyalty, cargo, and ancillary streams, with expectations for continued growth.

    Q2 Revenue to Book
    35%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of Q2 revenue yet to be booked.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Fuel$2.98USD/gallon
    Casm ex6.3%%
    Capacity1.7%%
    Fleet mro90%%
    Unit revenue3.5%%
    Loyalty co brand$615 millionUSD
    Demand indicators19%%
    Premium diverse revenue mix8%%

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Rome International Servicelaunch
    London International Servicelaunch
    Reykjavik International Servicelaunch
    737 Fleet Premium Retrofitsmilestone
    Starlink WiFi Installationmilestone

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Hawaiian AirlinesAcquisition of Hawaiian Airlines to strengthen the company, build a transcontinental network, and establish a Hawaii franchise.

    Acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines, which has been instrumental in shaping the company's strategy and expanding its market share in Hawaii.

    Bank of AmericaMultiyear extension of co-brand card partnership with enhanced economics and deeper collaboration.additional $1 billionmultiyear extension through 2030

    Agreement for a multiyear extension with enhanced economics and a deeper partnership, supporting continued growth in the loyalty ecosystem and reinforcing loyalty as a powerful earnings driver.

    AmazonRestructuring of existing agreement to eliminate losses and create mutual value.

    Agreement reached with Amazon that eliminates losses under the legacy Hawaiian terms and creates mutual value as the relationship evolves.

    oneworldHawaiian Airlines officially joined the oneworld alliance.

    Hawaiian Airlines has officially joined oneworld, expanding benefits for loyal guests in Hawaii, attracting new oneworld guests onto the Hawaiian brand, and extending global reach.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Sharply Higher Fuel PricesQ1 FY26, Q2 FY26

    More than $100 million higher in Q1, $600 million or more incremental in Q2. Represented $0.70 impact to EPS in Q1 and over $3 impact to EPS in Q2.

    Mitigation: Proactively trimmed nearly 1 point of capacity in May and June; fare increases holding; recovering approximately 1/3 of incremental fuel costs.

    Hawaii Weather DisruptionsQ1 FY26, continuing into April and May

    Unprecedented storms with rainfall reaching as much as 3,000% of normal historical levels during March. Reduced Q1 unit revenues by nearly 1 point.

    Mitigation: Maintained near-term capacity as weather was transitory; bookings returned to last year's level in the past week.

    Puerto Vallarta Civil UnrestQ1 FY26, continuing into April and May

    Meaningful impact on demand. Reduced Q1 unit revenues by nearly 1 point.

    Mitigation: Reduced Puerto Vallarta flying by approximately 30% in the second quarter to better align capacity with demand.

    PSS Integration FrictionPast quarters, concluding Q1 FY26

    Peak friction over the last couple of quarters with integration.

    Mitigation: Single passenger service system cutover completed, expected to eliminate friction and unlock a simpler, faster-moving airline.

    West Coast JetA Supply IssueLong-term

    Structural 10-15 cent fuel disadvantage on the West Coast. Global refining capacity down 6-8% since war started.

    Mitigation: Building with partners to construct infrastructure in Seattle to take tankered fuel; exploring increasing fuel sourcing from Singapore (currently 20%).

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    Fuel price stabilization

    next quarter
    Current$4.50 per gallon (Q2 average estimate, highly volatile)
    TargetStabilized fuel prices allowing for full-year guidance

    Why it matters

    Fuel price volatility is the primary driver of current earnings uncertainty and suspended guidance.

    Given how dynamic the current fuel price and demand backdrop are, we are suspending our full year guide until conditions stabilize and we have better line of sight to earnings beyond the current quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    What would the Q2 RASM look like without the impact of synergies and initiatives, focusing on the 'core' RASM?

    Management estimated that synergies and initiatives contribute 'a couple of points' to RASM, but noted that some elements like loyalty are now embedded in the core revenue. They highlighted upcoming dynamic pricing and O&D capabilities, and the Bank of America deal, as continuing drivers of unique revenue momentum.

    It's probably a couple of points. But again, as some of these things like loyalty are just embedded in the core of our revenue now. But I would say a couple of points just to give you an answer on that.

    asked by Jamie Baker · answered by Andrew Harrison

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Alaska Accelerate Strategy & PSS Cutover

    The company is making meaningful progress on its Alaska Accelerate strategy, with the single passenger service system (PSS) cutover being a final major guest-facing milestone. This transition, effective tomorrow, eliminates the friction of a dual environment and allows for a combined and globally expanding network. Hawaiian Airlines has also officially joined oneworld, expanding benefits and global reach for loyal guests and attracting new oneworld members.

    02

    International Expansion & Premium Offerings

    Alaska is expanding its international network, launching Rome next week, and London and Reykjavik later this spring, all tracking toward full flights. The Seattle-Tokyo route reached profitability in March, less than a year after launch, with load factors exceeding 90%. Premium retrofits on the 737 fleet are over 90% complete, increasing premium seat share and driving higher premium revenue, with 1.3 million incremental premium seats to be sold ahead of peak summer.

    03

    Loyalty Program & Partnerships

    The loyalty platform continues to gain momentum, with a multiyear extension and enhanced economics with Bank of America, securing an additional $1 billion in cash remuneration through 2030. The Amazon contract was also restructured to eliminate losses under legacy Hawaiian terms, creating mutual value. Active membership in the Atmos program grew 13% year-over-year, with Hawaii loyalty metrics showing double-digit growth across members, new cardholders, and card spend.

    04

    Q1 Performance & Headwinds

    Q1 GAAP net loss was $193 million, with an adjusted net loss of $192 million. Total revenues were up 5% year-over-year on 1.7% capacity growth, and unit revenues were up 3.5%. However, fuel costs were $100 million higher, impacting EPS by $0.70. Significant headwinds from unprecedented🌐 storms in Hawaii and civil unrest in Puerto Vallarta reduced Q1 unit revenues by nearly 1 point, with effects continuing into April and May.

    05

    Capacity Discipline & Demand Resilience

    In response to the fuel environment, the company proactively trimmed nearly 1 point of capacity in May and June, primarily in Mexico and select late-night departures. Q2 capacity is expected to be up 1% year-over-year, focused entirely on long-haul international service out of Seattle, with North America capacity down slightly. Demand remains resilient, with incoming yields for Continental U.S. markets up over 20% year-over-year, pushing held unit revenues to double digits for the back half of Q2.

    06

    Financial Position & Capital Allocation

    The company maintains a strong financial position with approximately $2.9 billion in total liquidity and $20 billion in unencumbered assets. Net leverage was 3.3x, and the debt-to-capital ratio was 61%. $340 million of debt was repaid in Q1, with $65 million expected in Q2. Share repurchases totaled $250 million year-to-date, with $180 million remaining under authorization, but further repurchases are paused to evaluate the outlook.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.